Who Will Win The Presidency? Here is Our Verdict (Update 2)

Page 1 of 15

We continue our state-by-state analysis below. You can find our reasoning and predictions for the other states here.

22. Massachusetts

Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump loses by 22.6 points

Actual result: Trump lost by 27.2 points

Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump loses by 35.7 points

Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump loses by 40.3 points

Trump: 118 – Biden:125

23. Michigan**

Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump loses by 4.1 points

Actual result: Trump won by 0.2 points

Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump loses by 7.7 points

Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump loses by 2.0 points (This is another battleground state. Biden has the edge now, but Trump might be able to close the gap over the next 9 days. He already closed the gap by 0.6 points over the last couple of week)

Trump: 118 – Biden:141

Page 1 of 15