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Who Will Win The Presidency? Here is Our Verdict (Update 1)

We continue our state-by-state analysis below. You can find our reasoning and predictions for the other states here.

22. Massachusetts

Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump loses by 22.6 points

Actual result: Trump lost by 27.2 points

Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump loses by 35.5 points

Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump loses by 40.1 points

Trump: 118 – Biden:125

23. Michigan**

Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump loses by 4.1 points

Actual result: Trump won by 0.2 points

Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump loses by 7.9 points

Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump loses by 2.2 points (This is another battleground state. Biden has the edge now, but Trump might be able to close the gap over the next 3 weeks. He already closed the gap by 0.4 points over the last week)

Trump: 118 – Biden:141