Who Will Win The Presidency? Here is Our Verdict

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We continue our state-by-state analysis below. You can find our reasoning and predictions for the other states here.

22. Massachusetts

Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump loses by 22.6 points

Actual result: Trump lost by 27.2 points

Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump loses by 34.3 points

Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump loses by 38.9 points

Trump: 118 – Biden:124

23. Michigan**

Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump loses by 4.1 points

Actual result: Trump won by 0.2 points

Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump loses by 8.3 points

Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump loses by 2.6 points (This is another battleground state. Biden has the edge now, but Trump might be able to close the gap over the next 3 weeks)

Trump: 118 – Biden:140

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