Target (TGT)’s Comeback Quarter had Nearly $1 Billion in Help From Trump’s Tariff Refunds

On August 20, 2026, Target Corporation (NYSE:TGT) reported its second straight quarter of comparable sales gains, with a $994 million tariff refund contributing meaningfully to a profit beat. It happened after the US Supreme Court ruled earlier this year that President Trump overstepped his authority in imposing the tariffs.

Why This Matters

Target’s turnaround under new CEO Michael Fiddelke looks real on the surface, but a chunk of this quarter’s profit strength came from a one-time government refund rather than pure operational improvement.

How much of Target’s comeback is Fiddelke’s strategy actually working, and how much is a tariff windfall that won’t repeat?

Target (TGT)'s Comeback Quarter Had Nearly $1 Billion in Help From Trump's Tariff Refunds

What Drove Success for The Company

Comparable sales grew 3.8%, beating the 2.5% guess, driven by a 3.6% rise in store visits and an 8.7% jump in online sales. Target Corporation (NYSE:TGT) raised its yearly sales forecast for the second time this year to about 5% from 4%. As of August 20, shares have jumped over 57% in 2026, beating the S&P 500 Consumer Staples index. Target has cut prices on more than 10,000 items over the past year while putting in an extra $2 billion in March on top of a previously promised $4 billion to fix its store and product mix. Target isn’t alone in getting this kind of tariff help either. Walmart booked nearly $2.9 billion in similar refunds this same quarter and used the money the same way, on price cuts. It shows the whole retail sector is getting a temporary boost that eventually runs out for everyone at once.

What Failed for The Company

The nearly $1 billion tariff refund did real work to boost this quarter’s profit, a boost that goes away once the refund cycle ends and makes next year’s comparison much harder to beat. Clothes and home goods, two of Target Corporation (NYSE:TGT)’s classic strong areas, grew only a little this quarter, showing the turnaround is still uneven across the store even as the headline numbers look better. Target was also hurt in recent years by shoppers focusing more on groceries and basics instead of the clothes and home goods that built its reputation. Even though political backlash tied to last year’s changes to diversity policies also weighed on demand, a reputation problem that one strong quarter doesn’t automatically fix.

Conclusion

Target’s underlying traffic and digital growth are genuine signs of a turnaround taking hold. Investors should separate the real operational wins from the roughly $1 billion tariff refund that flattered this particular quarter.

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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.