Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. (NYSE:SSD) Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. (NYSE:SSD) Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript October 23, 2023

Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. beats earnings expectations. Reported EPS is $2.44, expectations were $2.25.

Operator: Greetings. Welcome to the Simpson Manufacturing Co. Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I will now turn the conference over to your host, Kim Orlando with ADDO Investor Relations. You may begin.

Kim Orlando: Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Simpson Manufacturing Co.’s third quarter 2023 earnings conference call. Any statements made on this call that are not statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements. Such statements are based on certain estimates and expectations and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties. Actual future results may vary materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. We encourage you to read the risks described in the Company’s public filings and reports, which are available on the SEC’s or the Company’s corporate website. Except to the extent required by applicable securities laws, we undertake no obligation to update or publicly revise any of the forward-looking statements that we make here today, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.

Please note that the Company’s earnings press release was issued today at approximately 4:15 PM Eastern Time. The earnings press release is available on the Investor Relations page of the Company’s website at ir.simpsonmfg.com. Today’s call is being webcast, and a replay will also be available on the Investor Relations page of the Company’s website. Now, I would like to turn the conference over to Mike Olosky, Simpson’s President and Chief Executive Officer.

Michael Olosky: Thanks, Kim. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining today’s call. With me today is Brian Magstadt, our Chief Financial Officer. My remarks today will provide an overview of our financial performance, key growth initiatives and capital allocation priorities. Brian will then walk you through our Q3 financials and fiscal 2023 outlook in greater detail. We delivered another quarter of solid performance in a challenging operating environment with third quarter net sales of $580.1 million, increasing 4.8% over Q3 2022. North American volumes increased approximately 7%, partially offset by price decreases earlier in 2023, leading to a growth in net sales of 4.4% year-over-year to $456.8 million. To further break down our North American performance, we achieved double-digit volume improvements year-over-year in our commercial, national retail and building technology markets.

We have continued to execute on our strategies, enabling us to win new applications and customers. In our residential market, our volumes improved in the low-single-digit range with notable strength in the Southwest and Southeast regions of the U.S. compared to last year. While 2023 U.S. housing starts will likely finish below 2022 levels, we continue to believe in sustainable strength of the housing market in the mid-to-long term, given the shortage of new housing. In fact, we estimate a shortage of approximately 2 million homes in the U.S., after more than a decade of under-building. Further, we are confident our unique business model will enable us to continue to outperform the market given: first, our increasingly diverse portfolio of products and software and a commitment to developing complete solutions for the markets we serve; second, our longstanding reputation, relationships and engagement with engineers, building officials and contractors to design safer, stronger structures and improve construction practices; third, a dedication to innovation, extensive product engineering and rigorous research and testing in our nine state-of-the-art labs; fourth, best-in-class field support, technical expertise, digital tools and training to make it easy to select, specify, install and purchase our products; fifth, industry-leading product availability and delivery standards on our vast product offerings across multiple distribution channels with typical delivery within 24 to 48 hours; and six, a deep commitment to trades education and partnering with organizations that provide training and career opportunities to attract more people to the construction industry and alleviate labor shortages.

Turning to Europe, while our third quarter sales were relatively flat year-over-year on a local currency basis, our Europe gross margin has continued to improve versus historical levels. As reported, Europe sales totaled $119 million, up 6.4% year-over-year, primarily due to the benefit of $7.9 million in foreign currency translation. ETANCO continues to perform well in a challenging market with relatively flat sales, while our integration efforts continue to progress. Our business associated with the residential housing market was down due to lower housing starts. We continue to believe in the longer-term potential of the European market, given ongoing housing shortage, increasing use of wood construction and new regulations that drive new applications and specifications.

Our consolidated gross margin for the third quarter improved to 48.8%, primarily reflecting lower raw material costs, offset by higher fixed costs in our factory tooling and warehouses. Brian will further elaborate on the key drivers of our margin performance shortly. I’ll now turn to an update on our key growth initiatives within our five end use markets in line with one of our key Company ambitions to be the partner of choice. Beginning with the residential market, we continue to improve our market share by completing the conversion of a large 13-location pro dealer chain in the Northeast. In addition, we are pressing forward on a shorter path to market by completing the opening of three regional warehouses in the Northwest. In the commercial market, our announced alliance with Structural Technologies continues to drive record revenue of our concrete strengthening solutions.

In the OEM market, our dedicated OEM team remains focused on new opportunities, including wood-to-wood connections for shed manufacturers. It’s an opportunity for us to sell our complete product line and offer a broad range of solutions, including truss plates, fasteners, connectors and our new EasyFrame saws. We’ve had a couple of nice wins validating that approach. Also in the OEM space, we continue to focus on mass timber construction. We are launching new solutions specific to mass timber, including fasteners, connectors and our new Timber Drive fastening system, which won the 2023 Pro Tool Innovation Award. Within the national retail space, we are very pleased to have been named the 2023 Vendor Partner of the Year for the building materials division by Lowe’s.

Vendor Partner of the Year status is awarded to those partners who support Lowe’s vision by putting customers’ needs first, bringing innovation, fresh ideas and value to the market, delivering on commitments, and investing in Lowe’s journey and contributing to their success. And finally, in building technology, we continue to make good progress with new and existing truss component manufacturers, including the conversion of a top 10 component manufacturer based in the Midwest with 15 locations. We are pleased with the traction we’ve made on our growth initiatives to date as we seek to extend our mission to help people design and build safer, stronger structures into new applications. Further, we remain focused on implementing our Company ambitions, which include strengthening our values-based culture, being the partner of choice, being an innovation leader in the markets we operate, continuing above-market growth relative to U.S. housing starts, maintaining our operating income margin within the top quartile of our proxy peers, and integrating ETANCO and returning our ROIC to be within the top quartile of our proxy peers.

Turning now to capital allocation, our priorities remain centered on growth opportunities both organically and through tuck-in M&A and returning value to our shareholders via quarterly dividends and opportunistic share repurchases and paying down the debt we incurred to finance the acquisition of ETANCO. Our organic growth initiatives have been aimed at further strengthening our business model and expanding our operations and manufacturing capacity to achieve great supply chain efficiencies and uphold our best-in-class customer service standards. As noted previously, we are continuing to evaluate potential M&A opportunities to accelerate traction of our key growth initiatives, the majority of which are smaller opportunities to expand our product line or solution set or help us achieve better manufacturing and supply chain efficiencies.

Before I conclude, I’d like to briefly comment on the cybersecurity incident that occurred a couple of weeks ago. While our operations were mostly down for approximately three days throughout most of the Company, our swift actions and commitment to our customers led us to make up for the downtime and allowed us to resume shipments to clear backlog within just one week. I’d like to thank our dedicated Simpson team for all of the hard work that made this possible, as well as our valued customers for their support during this time. In summary, I am very pleased with our third quarter performance in a challenging market. Based on the current interest rate environment and the resultant impact on the housing market, we anticipate that our fourth quarter 2023 results will start reflecting some downward pressure due to these factors.

In addition to typical seasonality, relative to the third quarter of 2023, though we expect the fourth quarter to be up compared to the prior year quarter. Looking ahead, we continue to believe that we have ample opportunities to pursue our growth initiatives and enhance stockholder value over time. With that, I’d like to turn the call over to Brian, who will discuss our third quarter financial results in greater detail.

Brian Magstadt: Thanks, Mike, and good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us to discuss our third quarter financial results today. Before I begin, I’d like to mention that unless otherwise stated, all financial measures discussed in my prepared remarks referred to the third quarter of 2023, and all comparisons will be year-over-year comparisons versus the third quarter of 2022. Now, beginning with our third quarter results. As Mike highlighted, our consolidated net sales increased 4.8% to $580.1 million. Within the North America segment, net sales increased 4.4% to $456.8 million, primarily due to higher sales volumes. And in Europe, net sales increased 6.4% to $119 million, primarily due to the positive effect of $7.9 million in foreign currency translation, which was partly offset by lower sales volumes.

Wood construction products represented 85.4% of our total third quarter sales compared to 86.4%, and concrete construction products were 14.5% of total sales, up from 13.5%. And in North America, wood product volume was up 7.6% and concrete product volume was up 3.3%. Consolidated gross profit increased 15.7% to $282.9 million, resulting in a gross margin of 48.8% compared to 44.2% last year. On a segment basis, our gross margin in North America increased to 51.8% compared to 47.5%, primarily due to lower raw material costs, which were partially offset by higher warehouse and freight costs as a percentage of net sales. Our gross margin in Europe increased to 37.9% from 31.5%, also primarily due to lower raw material costs as a percentage of net sales.

As you may also recall, our raw material costs in the prior-year period included a $2.9 million inventory fair value adjustment for the acquisition of ETANCO, representing 2.6 percentage points of Europe gross margin. From a product perspective, our third quarter gross margin on wood products was 49.1% compared to 44.1% in the prior-year quarter and was 47.9% for our concrete products compared to 43.8% in the prior-year quarter. Now, turning to our third quarter costs and operating expenses, operating expenses were $141.9 million, an increase of $22 million or approximately 18.3%, driven primarily by increased personnel costs to support our growth, as well as higher variable compensation. As a percentage of net sales, total operating expenses were 24.5% compared to 21.7%.

Our third quarter research and development and engineering expenses increased 44.9% to $24.8 million, primarily due to our strategic growth initiatives, including higher personnel costs and software development initiatives to further our building technology offerings. Selling expenses increased 23.2% to $52.4 million, primarily due to increased commissions and personnel in North America. On a segment basis, selling expenses in North America were up 26%, and in Europe, they were up 14%. General and administrative expenses increased 7.4% to $64.8 million, primarily due to professional fees, personnel costs and software licensing. As a result, our consolidated income from operations totaled $140.2 million, a significant increase of 14.2% from $122.8 million.

In North America, income from operations increased 6.5% to $135.6 million, primarily due to higher gross profit, partly offset by increased personnel and variable compensation. In Europe, income from operations was $15.5 million compared to $6.1 million due to higher gross profit, partly due to the prior year’s $2.9 million inventory fair value adjustment, as well as lower year-over-year acquisition and integration costs, which were partially offset by increases in personnel costs and variable compensation. On a consolidated basis, our operating income margin was 24.2%, an increase of 200 basis points from 22.2%. Our effective tax rate increased slightly to 25.7% from 25.3%. Accordingly, net income totaled $104.2 million or $2.43 per fully diluted share, which is inclusive of $1.3 million of net interest income.

This compares to $88.2 million or $2.06 per fully diluted share, which included $3 million of net interest expense. Now, turning to our balance sheet and cash flow, our balance sheet remained healthy with cash and cash equivalents totaling $571 million as of September 30, 2023, up $163 million from our balance as of June 30, 2023. Our debt balance was approximately $561.6 million, net of capitalized finance costs, and our net cash position ex-debt was $9.4 million. We have $300 million remaining available for borrowing on our primary line of credit. Our inventory position as of September 30, 2023 was $504.4 million, which was down $17.7 million compared to our balance as of June 30, 2023. Effective management of the on-hand volume and cost of our inventory remains a key element of our business model as we strive to ensure on-time delivery standards and superior customer service levels that set Simpson apart.

During the third quarter, we generated cash flow from operations of $204.6 million compared to $124.9 million. We invested $22.5 million for capital expenditures and paid $11.5 million in dividends to our stockholders. While we did not repurchase any shares of our common stock during the quarter, we continue to evaluate opportunistic share repurchases as part of our capital allocation strategy. Next, turning to our 2023 financial outlook, based on business trends and conditions as of today, October 23, we are updating certain elements of our guidance for the full year ending December 31, 2023 as follows. We now expect our operating margin to be in the range of 22% to 22.5%. Key assumptions include higher U.S. housing starts relative to our assumptions earlier in the year.

Although we expect our fourth quarter will be slightly stronger than the prior year period, we are starting to see additional headwinds for the first half of 2024. Higher overall gross margin based on improved volumes, as noted above in material cost assumptions. Increased operating expenses we believe are necessary to position the Company to make meaningful share gains in our markets and growth initiatives. $6 million to $7 million in expected total integration costs associated with ETANCO. We are continuing to make progress on our integration efforts for ETANCO in order to realize previously identified offensive and defensive synergies in the years ahead, subject to macroeconomic changes, which will delay the realization of some of the offensive synergies.

Next, our 2023 effective tax rate is expected to be in the range of 25% to 26%, including both federal and state income tax rates and assuming no tax law changes are enacted. Lastly, we now expect capital expenditures to be approximately $100 million, subject to possible weather, delaying the construction of our Columbus expansion and supply chain-related issues. In summary, we were pleased with our financial and operational performance during the third quarter in a challenging operating environment. We remain focused on providing excellent value, innovation and service to our customers by expanding our broad solution set throughout our five key end use markets. We are continuing to diligently manage our expenses as the macro environment evolves.

And our strong balance sheet and cash flow enable us to make investments to support our organic growth initiatives. Thanks again to our team at Simpson for the strong performance and to all of our stakeholders for your support of the Company. With that, I would like to turn the call over to the operator to begin the Q&A session.

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Q&A Session

Operator: [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Daniel Moore with CJS Securities. Proceed with your question.

Daniel Moore: Thank you. Good afternoon, Mike. Good afternoon, Brian. Thanks for taking the questions. Start with your core markets, in North American housing operations, you said Q4 would start to, to reflect some of the downward pressure in the housing market, but you also said that it would be up versus prior year. I assume you’re referring to consolidated revenue when you say we’ll be up versus prior year and maybe just talk a little bit more about, your expectations for market growth versus share gains? And whether you see some of that pressure perhaps persisting into the first quarter or two of ’24.

Michael Olosky: Good question, Dan. So let me start with where it is today and how we think the market is going to finish the year. So housing starts roughly down 12% year to date, we think it’ll finish the year down 12%. And then when you look at our business, July and August for us was pretty strong versus prior year. September started to slow down a little bit and October is off a little soft. We do think on a consolidated level, fourth quarter will be above prior year fourth quarter. And then when we look out into next year, what we’re hearing from our customers is the first half is expected to be a little soft, second half is expected to pick up depending upon interest rates of the economy and a bunch of other stuff, Dan, that’s kind of how we see it today.

Daniel Moore: And when you say a little soft, is there any way you can sort of compare that to the down twelve that we’ve experienced so far, just in terms of your expectations?

Brian Magstadt: Yes. Right now, Dan, it’s Brian – just down slightly from October of last year – sorry, October this year to October of last year. And as we’re thinking about the, the balance of the quarter, to Mike’s point having a pretty good quarter compared to Q4 last year both on the revenue and the operating margin which leads us to that updated guidance on operating margin that we provided.

Daniel Moore: Okay. Helpful. Maybe looking at the markets you’ve targeted for increased penetration and are seeing some pretty good success. I think you called out commercial, national retail and building tech. Can you just maybe dig a little deeper into each of those three? Describe, in each market where you’re seeing success, what’s enabling you to take share and your confidence to those tailwinds will continue as we look into next year.

Brian Magstadt: Yes. So Dan, we’re pleased to say, actually across all five market segments in quarter three, revenue growth was above prior year Q3. So we’re seeing good performance in all of them again in a challenging environment. In the commercial space, one of the things that we touched on was our partnership with Structural Technologies, so that’s using our concrete repair systems to work with Structural Technologies to go after infrastructure repair opportunities. We’re seeing good growth there on the national retail side. We continue to invest in people to send into our national retail customers to help train their sales associates to work on the sets to clean them up and make sure they’re easy to shop – to work with our customers on merchandising end cap opportunities. And we’re seeing that investment continue to pay off with those customers by seeing good point of sales data from our national retail customers.

Daniel Moore: Got it. Last for me and I’ll jump out the queue for now at least, just, guidance implies I – by my math, gross margin is somewhere in the 47% range give or take for the year. Just talk about the biggest puts and takes in your mind that would cause that to move higher or lower as we look to 2024. Certainly, we’re going to finish the year above where – well above where we started from an expectations perspective. But when you look at, steel costs, the overall macro, et cetera, mix – your thoughts, if any, as we kind of look out beyond maybe one more quarter. Thanks.