Is George Soros Still Good At Picking Stocks At The Age of 90?

In this article, we reviewed George Soros’ returns from his top ten stock positions to determine whether he is still good at picking stocks?

Age doesn’t matter when it comes to investing in stock markets. Legendary investor and hedge fund manager George Soros is now 90 years old, but his stock holdings are still outperforming the market at a hefty rate. Soros Fund Management’s top 10 13F stock positions generated an average return of 22.7% since the end of September and outperformed SPY’s return of 13.6% during the same period. Its top ten stock holdings account for close to 50% of Soros Fund Management’s overall 13F portfolio.

The man who broke the Bank of England in 1992 announced retirement from managing investors’ money in 2011. He, however, continues to invest in publicly traded stocks through Soros Fund Management, which he turned into a family office fund.  

George Soros has been considered as one of the most successful hedge fund managers; he managed outside money from 1969 to 2011. George Soros’ Quantum Group of Funds, a family of funds investing mainly in public equity, foreign exchange, fixed income markets worldwide as well as commodity markets, had unmatched success in the past decades. The fund has generated an average 20% annual rate of return since its inception to fiscal 2010. Our brains aren’t wired to understand intuitively the magnitude of this accomplishment. If you had invested $1 million in Soros’ hedge fund in 1969 and let it grow for 42 years, you puny $1 million investment would have turned into a $2 billion stake. There are very few fund managers who have a similar track record and they are all billionaires now.

George Soros of Soros Fund Management

George Soros of Soros Fund Management

Currently, Soros’ family office 13F portfolio is valued at around $4 billion. Instead of holding stocks for the long-term, George Soros likes to make several changes in the portfolio to align the investments according to business trends.

The hedge fund tycoon had bought 46 stocks during the September quarter and increased its existing stake in 18 stocks. The fund has also sold out 55 stocks and reduced its position in 32 stocks. The time held for the top ten stocks averages around 2.65 quarters while the average time held for the top 20 stocks stands around 3 quarters.

Soros Fund Management seems to believe in diversifying the stock portfolio towards growth, value, and dividend stocks to maximize gains and minimize risk. The family office fund has been holding large positions in a few equities and small positions in a large number of equities. The portfolio also includes big stakes in ETFs including Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI), and SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (SPY). 

Soros Fund Management was invested in a total of 131 positions according to the latest 13F filing. The portfolio is mainly inclined towards consumer discretionary, information technology, finance, communications, healthcare, and real-estate and industrial sectors.

While George Soros’ reputation remains intact, the same can’t be said of the hedge fund industry as a whole, as its reputation has been tarnished in the last decade during which its hedged returns couldn’t keep up with the unhedged returns of the market indices. On the other hand, Insider Monkey’s research was able to identify in advance a select group of hedge fund holdings that outperformed the S&P 500 ETFs by more than 88 percentage points since March 2017 (see the details here). We were also able to identify in advance a select group of hedge fund holdings that significantly underperformed the market. We have been tracking and sharing the list of these stocks since February 2017 and they lost 13% through November 16. That’s why we believe hedge fund sentiment is an extremely useful indicator that investors should pay attention to. You can subscribe to our free newsletter on our homepage to receive our stories in your inbox.

Let’s start reviewing the top ten stocks of Soros Fund Management that helped in outperforming the broader market index in the fourth quarter.   

10. T-Mobile US, Inc. (NASDAQ:TMUS)

Although George Soros has sold 60% of his position in T-Mobile US, Inc. (NASDAQ: TMUS) during the September quarter of 2020, the family office fund still holds 567,529 shares of the communication services company. The existing position accounted for 1.59% of the overall portfolio, down from the previous 3.38% of the portfolio. The sale of stake represents the strategy of capitalizing on gains.

It appears that the Soros fund has benefited from both sale of the stake and the existing position. The hedge fund first initiated a position in TMUS during the first quarter of 2020. Shares of TMUS rallied more than 17% in the fourth quarter, extending the twelve months gains to 67%.

Other hedge funds are also bullish on T-Mobile US, but the positions are down from the all-time high. It was in 94 hedge funds’ portfolios at the end of the third quarter of 2020 compared to the all-time high of 113. TMUS is ranked #21 among the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds.

Oakmark Funds, which returned 23.0% in the second quarter of 2020, has also initiated a position in TMUS. The fund commented on a few stocks including T-Mobile US in an investor’s letter. Here is what Oakmark Funds stated:

“We initiated a position in T-Mobile after the company announced that regulators would approve its merger with Sprint. AT&T and Verizon have long dominated the market for wireless services due to their incumbent network quality advantage. The recently closed merger of T-Mobile and Sprint creates the first opportunity for a challenger to build the fastest, most reliable and highest capacity wireless network in the United States. We believe the impact of this combination will be non-linear from not only a network perspective but also a financial one. Our long-term investing horizon enables us to look several years ahead to assess the benefits of scale, synergy and low-incremental cost growth, which should generate more subscribers, faster revenue growth and higher margins. We like that the company will be led by veteran T-Mobile managers who have successfully integrated previous acquisitions and have gained impressive market share, despite a previously inferior network. A secondary offering by a large, non-economic seller gave us the opportunity to purchase our stake at a below market price.”

9. Activision Blizzard, Inc. (NASDAQ:ATVI)

Billionaire George Soros’ position in Activision Blizzard, Inc. (NASDAQ: ATVI) has also generated robust returns for the family office fund. Indeed, the Soros Fund Management has added to its existing stake during the September quarter. Shares of Activision Blizzard rallied almost 10% in the fourth quarter and shares are up 47% in the last twelve months. Here is how we previously explained ATVI’s strong performance:

Activision had some hit pandemic games of its own, most notably Call of Duty: Modern Warfare, which surged to second on the sales charts in June. Twitch viewership of the game also more than doubled during Q2. The strong performance allowed Activision to raise its full-year sales forecast by $730 million in August, predicting 2020 adjusted revenue of $7.63 billion.

Activision Blizzard is popular among hedge funds. It was in 93 hedge funds’ portfolios at the end of the third quarter of 2020 compared to the all-time high of 101. It is ranked #22 among the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds.

8. Darden Restaurants, Inc. (NYSE: DRI)

Billionaire George Soros has been bullish on Darden Restaurants, Inc. (NYSE: DRI) over the past couple of quarters. The fund first initiated a position in DRI during the second quarter of 2020 and increased its stake by 15% in the September quarter.

George Soros’ stock-picking strategy worked strongly for Soros Fund Management. This is because shares of Darden Restaurants rallied 20% in the fourth quarter alone, enlarging six months gains to 60%. In addition, Darden Restaurants offers hefty quarterly dividends to shareholders. Darden Restaurants accounted for 2.51% of Soros’ overall 13F portfolio at the end of the September quarter.

7. SelectQuote, Inc. (NYSE: SLQT)

The insurance broker SelectQuote, Inc. (NYSE: SLQT) has also performed well during the final quarter of 2020. Its shares are up 11% in the fourth quarter of 2020. The firm first initiated a position in SelectQuote during the second quarter of 2020 and it is accounting for 2.75% of the overall 13F portfolio.

However, some other hedge funds sold their stake in SelectQuote. Argosy Investors, which has generated 15.5% in select accounts, highlighted few stocks including SelectQuote in an investor’s letter. Here is what Argosy Investors stated:

“I sold SelectQuote (SLQT) after owning the stock for less than 3 months, which is highly unusual for us. What I found strange in evaluating the business the more I looked at it was after decades of being in business the company still did not generate significant cash flows despite reported GAAP profits. For a company that essentially acts as an agent or lead generator to insurance companies, they should have been generating far more cash than they were and I elected to sell and admit our mistake.”

6. VICI Properties Inc. (NYSE:VICI)

The real estate investment trust VICI Properties Inc. (VICI) is the long-running investment of George Soros. The fund has been holding a position in VICI Properties since the beginning of 2018.

VICI Properties generated a 7.2% return for George Soros in the final quarter of 2020. Soros Fund Management is holding 5.4 million shares of VICI valued at $128 million, accounting for 3.14% of the overall 13F portfolio. VICI Properties has generated 42% revenue growth in the September quarter and raised the quarterly dividend by 10.9% year-over-year to $0.33 per share.

5. DraftKings Inc. (NASDAQ:DKNG)

Casinos and gaming company DraftKings Inc. (NASDAQ: DKNG) underperformed for George Soros fund during the fourth quarter but shares of DraftKings are still up 51% in the last six months. The fund first initiated a position in casinos and gaming company during the second quarter of 2020.

Although the overall hedge fund positions declined by 10 in the September quarter, it is still in 43 hedge fund portfolios. Alger Mid Cap Focus Fund highlighted the pros and cons of DraftKings in an investor’s letter. Here is what Alger Mid Cap Focus Fund stated:

“DraftKings is an online gaming operator. Its Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) allows users to virtually draft teams of players from professional sports leagues and potentially earn a payout based on how well their teams compete with results driven by how athletes perform in real life. DraftKings Online Sports Betting (OSB) involves the company taking wagers or bets from customers on sporting events. DraftKings’ third offering. Online Casino, involves customers betting real money when playing casino games like slots and blackjack online. Investors’ concerns that DraftKings’ revenues could be hurt by the pandemic suspending sporting events have been unfounded with professional football, basketball, baseball, hockey and college football continuing without significant disruption, which has supported the performance of DraftKings’ shares. Additionally, DraftKings has entered a marketing deal with ESPN. which could potentially lower the gaming company’s customer acquisition costs as well as shut out competitors from using the channel for marketing. A record high level of sports betting in New Jersey during August, strong monthly results for online gaming in the same state and Pennsylvania results also supported the performance of DraftKings shares. Investors also responded favorably to DraftKings launching online sports betting in Illinois.”

4. The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:HAIN)

George Soros fund has also benefited from its stake in The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: HAIN) over the last two quarters. Shares of Hain Celestial Group rallied 17% in the fourth quarter, extending the six months gains to 29%. Its share price rally is backed by robust growth in financial numbers. The fund is holding 4.39 million shares of packaged food company value around $150 million.

Activist Engaged Capital has a $500+ million position in HAIN, accounting for nearly 57% of its portfolio.

3. Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR)

The software application platform Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE: PLTR) is a newcomer in Soros Fund Management 13F portfolio. Soros’ stock-picking strategy helped in generating massive gains from its Palantir stake. The fund disclosed a position in Palantir in its 13F because the data analytics software company went public during the third quarter. Shares of Palantir rallied almost 160% in the fourth quarter of 2020. After revealing its large Palantir stake, Soros Fund Management told CNN Business that “Soros Fund Management’s current stake in Palantir amounts to about 1% of the voting shares of Palantir and was a result of an early-stage investment made in 2012 by a portfolio manager who no longer works at Soros.”

Soros Fund Management also told in its statement that it doesn’t approve Palantir’s business practices and it made the initial investment in Palantir when “the negative social consequences of big data were less understood” and it wouldn’t make the same investment in this controversial stock today. Due to being an early investor and lockup restrictions, Soros Fund Management isn’t allowed to sell all of its positions in PLTR today, but it sounds like the fund will cash out as soon as it is legally allowed to do so.

Palantir has generated more than 50% revenue growth in the September quarter, with expectations that full-year revenue will hit the $1.07 billion levels.

2. D.R. Horton, Inc. (NYSE:DHI)

The home building company is the long-running investment of Soros Fund Management and the fund has raised its stake in the home building company by 70% in the September quarter. Although D.R. Horton underperformed during the fourth quarter, its shares are up 23% in the last twelve months. In addition to share price gains, the company also offers dividends to investors. Soros Fund was holding 3 million shares of D.R. Horton at the end of the September quarter, accounting for 5.66% of the overall portfolio.

We talked about DHI in our 11 Best Homebuilder Stocks To Buy Now article:

“As for Strategic Wealth Partners’ Mark Tepper, “I like the overweight D.R. Horton, the underweight Pulte concept,”. Mark said that D.R. Horton (NYSE: DHI) is his favorite homebuilder. According to him, there are 3 major key trends that are moving the housing market. “You’ve got the geographical trend, which is people moving from cities to suburbs, you’ve got the generational trend, which is the millennials buying their first homes, and then you’ve got the work-from-home trend,” he marked while adding that people are spending ‘more time’ at home which leads them to want their homes to be nicer, bigger and newer.

Tepper stated that first-time buyers will suit D.R. Horton’s specialty which is affordable entry-level homes, that actually meet the 3 major trend criteria he mentioned. “The number one thing you need when you build a house is the land to build it on and D.R. Horton’s land strategy really helps them,”.

1. Liberty Broadband Corporation (NASDAQ:LBRDK)

The communication services mid-cap Liberty Broadband Corporation (NASDAQ: LBRDK) is the largest stock holding of Soros Fund Management, accounting for 18.48% of the overall portfolio. It is the long-running position of Soros Fund Management and the fund appears to have profited from its Liberty Broadband stake. The fund first initiated a position in Liberty Broadband in 2016.

Shares of Liberty Broadband Corporation rallied 7% in the fourth quarter of 2020, extending the five years gains to over 200%. The following paragraph from Giverny Capital’s Q3 investor letter probably explains why George Soros is also invested in Liberty Broadband:

“Liberty Broadband is a holding company that owns shares in the cable operator Charter. Each Liberty share essentially holds 0.295 shares of Charter. Based on a recent market price for Charter of $620, Liberty shares should be worth about $180. Instead, they’ve been trading for about $140. The discount strikes us as too wide, so we added slightly to our position.”

Please also see Billionaire Daniel Sundheim’s Top 10 Stock Pick and 10 Best Tech Stocks To Buy Now.

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This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.