Why is Intel Corporation (INTC) up over 33%? Is the Rally Sustainable?

Intel’s CPU business is gaining fresh momentum as AI infrastructure demand boosts server processor needs and reinforces the role of CPUs alongside GPUs.

Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC) is benefiting from renewed investor optimism surrounding its CPU business as surging artificial intelligence demand drives greater demand for computing infrastructure. The stock has gained more than 33% over the past month as investors increasingly recognize CPUs as a critical component of AI data centers.

We recently examined why the SK Hynix partnership is important for Intel and what it means. Read Here: SK Hynix Is Eyeing Intel’s (INTC) Ohio Site. Why Micron (MU) Should Pay Attention.

The rise of AI agents has further reinforced the importance of CPUs, which were initially viewed as potential losers as graphics processing units became the dominant hardware for AI workloads. Increasingly, CPUs and GPUs are working alongside each other, with CPUs handling orchestration, general-purpose computing, and certain inference-related workloads.

This trend is supporting sustained demand for Intel’s Xeon server processors. Customers are increasingly deploying CPUs alongside accelerators, resulting in higher CPU-to-accelerator ratios across AI infrastructure.

Intel highlighted this momentum in its second-quarter results, pointing to unprecedented compute demand as a driver of sustainable growth across its CPU business. Revenue in the company’s data center and AI-related segment increased 59% year over year to $6.3 billion. Intel also expects double-digit industry unit growth as server CPU demand continues to improve.

Why is Intel Corporation (INTC) up over 40%? Is the Rally Sustainable?

CEO Lip-Bu Tan has emphasized the strength of demand, noting that Intel is currently unable to fulfill all customer requests for its processors. Supply constraints have limited the company’s ability to fully capitalize on the surge in demand, with Intel reportedly meeting only about half of customer requests.

Intel’s Foundry Ambitions Add Another Growth Opportunity

Beyond its CPU business, it’s attempting to reestablish itself as a major force in semiconductor manufacturing. The company is expanding its third-party foundry business to compete with leading contract chip manufacturers.

Google has selected Intel to manufacture its Tensor Processing Units, while SK Hynix has reportedly been in discussions with Intel regarding memory-chip production.

If Intel Corporation can successfully scale its foundry operations, the business could provide an additional avenue for growth while allowing the company to participate in the broader expansion of AI semiconductor infrastructure.

Competition Remains a Key Risk

Despite the strong opportunity created by rising CPU demand, Intel still faces significant competitive pressure. Advanced Micro Devices continues to gain share in the server CPU market, potentially limiting how much of the industry’s growth Intel can capture.

Cost inflation is another potential headwind. Higher prices for memory, wafers, and substrates could pressure Intel’s margins and increase the cost of its processors. If the company passes those costs on to customers through higher prices, some customers could delay purchases or consider competing platforms.

The ability to convert strong end-market demand into sustainable revenue and earnings growth will therefore depend not only on industry-wide CPU demand but also on Intel’s ability to expand supply, defend market share, and maintain attractive margins.

Hedge Fund Positioning

Institutional interest in Intel Corporation has also been building alongside the improvement in its fundamentals. According to Insider Monkey’s database, 138 hedge funds held positions in the company at the end of the second quarter, up from 112 in the first quarter.

SoftBank Group ended the quarter with a stake valued at approximately $12.14 billion, while Coatue Management initiated a position worth about $1.68 billion.

At the same time, short interest has increased. The number of Intel shares sold short rose to approximately 158.81 million as of September 15, compared with 135.1 million as of August 14. Nevertheless, short interest represented only about 3.01% of the company’s shares, suggesting that short positioning remained relatively limited compared with the stock’s overall share count.

The Verdict

Intel Corporation is benefiting from a structural increase in computing demand as AI workloads expand beyond GPUs and increasingly require CPUs for orchestration, general-purpose processing, and inference. Strong Xeon demand, constrained supply, and improving server CPU expectations provide important catalysts for the company.

However, Intel still faces meaningful execution challenges. AMD’s continued market-share gains, elevated semiconductor input costs, and the company’s ability to scale production could determine how much of the growing CPU opportunity translates into shareholder returns.

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This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.