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Oracle (ORCL): Can Rival Clouds Become Its Best Database Sales Channel?

Oracle Corporation looks reasonably valued as rival clouds expand database distribution. Additional profitable usage and stronger cash generation must justify the strategy beyond migrating existing workloads.

Oracle Corporation (NYSE:ORCL) can sell more database services without moving every customer’s applications to its own cloud. As enterprises connect artificial intelligence to existing data, placing databases beside applications on rival platforms removes a migration obstacle. Management reported 353% multicloud database revenue growth in fiscal 2027’s first quarter, alongside 180% customer growth.

Oracle Corporation trades at 18x forward P/E versus 23x trailing P/E. Trailing P/E uses historical earnings; forward P/E uses expected earnings. Cloud expansion supports profit growth: management’s $8.10 fiscal 2027 adjusted EPS guidance implies approximately 19% growth against $6.83 excluding prior-year investment gains. Adjustments for stock compensation and amortization also affect earnings comparisons, illustrating why unusual benefits must be separated from repeatable earnings progress.

Cloud partner Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) trades at 24x forward P/E. Its third-quarter operating-profit guidance implies 29%-52% growth, supported by AWS and advertising. That quarterly measure differs from annual adjusted EPS growth. Retail changes its margin mix, while investment gains inflate reported earnings. Operating cash flow of $161.4 billion over twelve months supplies substantial funding, while $123 billion in cash and marketable securities cushions financing risk. AI investment still leaves free cash flow negative. Those operating prospects and funding capacity support some premium. The 18x valuation looks reasonable if database expansion improves cash returns.

Also read: 11 AI Stocks That Will Go to the Moon

Following Customers to Their Preferred Cloud

Oracle Corporation operates database infrastructure inside competing cloud environments. On AWS, customers can keep applications near their databases, reducing network delays. Marketplace purchases count toward eligible spending commitments, removing a commercial hurdle alongside the technical one.

Oracle Corporation, included in Insider Monkey’s 14 Best Cloud Computing Stocks to Buy Right Now, lets customers retain familiar database capabilities while choosing another provider for surrounding workloads. Compatible migrations reduce the incentive to rewrite applications around competing databases.

Oracle Corporation is developing Multicloud Universal Credits, still offered through early access. The proposed model simplifies contracting and consumption across partner clouds, subject to marketplace policies. Easier procurement could shorten deployment decisions and expand usage. Moving existing workloads, however, creates less incremental revenue than winning additional applications.

The attraction is how embedded software relationships can support lasting earnings. Preserving customer skills and application compatibility supports retention, while continued investment in reliability and security defends that relationship.

Sharing Distribution Without Losing the Economics

Oracle Corporation retains customer involvement: dedicated deployments require private offers negotiated with its sales organization, and it manages the database infrastructure. Partners gain associated application and analytics spending but also sell competing databases. Retention must therefore produce profit after hosting costs, discounts, and partner arrangements.

Migration does not establish incremental demand. Software revenue fell 3% in the latest quarter as customers shifted toward cloud services. Investors need additional consumption and profitable renewals to outweigh displaced license and support revenue.

Oracle Corporation also faces financing demands beyond this channel. First-quarter operating cash flow reached $23.1 billion, including $11.4 billion of customer prepayments with a significant financing component. Capital expenditure reached $28.5 billion, leaving negative $5.4 billion of free cash flow, defined as operating cash flow less capital expenditure. Notes payable totaled $125.3 billion against $37.1 billion in cash and marketable securities.

Those advances demonstrate why cash collected before delivery still carries obligations. A $20 billion common-stock issuance supplied funding while diluting ownership. Broader infrastructure expansion still requires substantial capital despite the database channel’s appeal.

Oracle Corporation trades below its forward P/E of approximately 33x in August 2025 and 28x in May 2026. Faster cloud growth supports earnings potential, but heavier investment and financing needs justify a more restrained multiple. The historical discount reflects a tougher cash-generation test, rather than establishing an automatic bargain.

Conclusion

Oracle Corporation looks reasonably valued at 18x forward P/E if rival clouds generate additional profitable database usage and protect renewals. Earnings growth must improve cash after investment and reduce dependence on external funding. Persistent funding deficits or growth dominated by relocated workloads would weaken the valuation case.

While we acknowledge the risk and potential of ORCL as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than ORCL and that has 10,000% upside potential, check out our report about this cheapest AI stock.

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This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.