Fortinet vs. CrowdStrike: Both Grew 26%. Why Pay Four Times the Earnings Multiple?

Fortinet, Inc. (NASDAQ:FTNT) and CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:CRWD) each reported roughly 26% revenue growth in their latest quarters. Investors nevertheless pay about 53 times Fortinet’s current-year adjusted earnings guidance and 215 times CrowdStrike’s. The gap raises a useful question: how much more should durable subscription growth cost when the cheaper company already earns substantial reported profits?

The multiples use October 2 closing prices of $180.95 and $270.04, divided by guidance midpoints of $3.44 and $1.255. Fortinet’s year ends December 2026; CrowdStrike’s ends January 2027. CrowdStrike’s price and earnings are both adjusted for July’s four-for-one split. Our earlier CrowdStrike–Palo Alto valuation comparison tests a different rival; Fortinet adds a sharper hardware-versus-subscription challenge.

Fortinet vs. CrowdStrike: Both Grew 26%. Why Pay Four Times the Earnings Multiple?

Photo from Fortinet website

The same growth rate hides different engines

Fortinet’s June-quarter product revenue jumped 52%, while services grew 14%. Hardware demand can arrive in bursts as customers upgrade networks.Converting the product surge into recurring service revenue would make growth more durable when the hardware upgrade cycle slows. That matters when judging the businesses in our high-growth, low-debt stock screen: financial flexibility and growth durability answer different questions.

CrowdStrike’s July-quarter ending annual recurring revenue grew 25% to $5.84 billion. Net new ARR increased 51% to $333 million, supporting a case for accelerating customer commitments. Its security platform spans endpoints, identity and cloud workloads. Our agentic-AI stock shortlist examines where security fits among the platforms companies need as automated work spreads.

Fortinet is also expanding beyond appliances. Management reported 35% billings growth in Unified SASE, which combines networking and security services, and 25% in AI-driven Security Operations. These are billings measures, not recognized revenue. The premium requires more durable, profitable growth. Our analysis of cybersecurity’s split from the AI infrastructure trade asks why security budgets might follow a different spending cycle.

Insider Monkey’s Q2 2026 holder count rose to 62 from 52 in Q1 for Fortinet and to 89 from 79 for CrowdStrike. Arrowstreet increased Fortinet shares about 5%; D. E. Shaw increased CrowdStrike shares 18%. The competing business models both drew broader fund ownership.

Reported profits change the burden of proof

Fortinet earned a 33.7% GAAP operating margin in Q2. CrowdStrike recorded a $33.2 million GAAP operating loss on $1.47 billion of revenue, despite substantial adjusted profit. CrowdStrike’s reconciliation adds back $399 million of stock compensation and related payroll taxes, about 27% of revenue. That makes a fourfold adjusted-earnings multiple gap especially demanding.

Cash flow provides a second lens. Fortinet generated reported $966 million of free cash flow, or 47.2% of revenue, while CrowdStrike reported $377 million, or about 26%; their free-cash-flow definitions differ. Collections and working capital make one quarter an imperfect comparison, and stock compensation can support cash flow while diluting shareholders. Our cash-flow screen that includes Fortinet examines that distinction; our return-on-equity ranking shows why high reported profitability also needs a balance-sheet check.

CrowdStrike’s strongest defense is a longer growth runway. Security agents could increase the value of its installed platform and proprietary customer context. The commercial question behind its cybersecurity work with Nvidia is whether that advantage becomes incremental revenue. Its expanded OpenAI partnership presents a related test: better models must strengthen pricing power enough to offset competition and deployment costs.

How much execution does the premium require?

As an illustration, if Fortinet’s adjusted earnings per share grew 15% annually for five years with both share prices unchanged, CrowdStrike would need roughly 52% annual earnings-per-share growth to reach Fortinet’s resulting multiple of about 26 times earnings. This is a valuation sensitivity, not a forecast; faster Fortinet growth would raise the hurdle. CrowdStrike can outperform without fully closing the gap, but continued premium pricing carries risk.

CrowdStrike’s September 15 short interest was 27.93 million shares, approximately 2.8% of float, with 2.42 days to cover. That dated snapshot offers limited support for a squeeze thesis.

Fortinet is my relative preference, though 53 times guided earnings still requires sustained growth. I would reconsider if its service growth stalls while CrowdStrike converts rising ARR into much faster per-share profits with less dilution. The risk explored in our analysis of AI and cybersecurity moats matters to both: stronger tools can expand demand while narrowing product differences. CrowdStrike must monetize that change exceptionally well to justify today’s price.

Follow Insider Monkey on Google News.