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Zoom Beat Every Estimate and Fell Anyway. Citizens Says That’s Exactly the Point

Zoom Communications Inc. (NASDAQ:ZM) delivered a clean Q2 2027 print. Total revenue grew 4.9% year over year to $1.28 billion, beating estimates of $1.27 billion, while EPS of $1.55 beat the $1.48 consensus. Revenue growth was backed by 7.8% growth in Enterprise revenue, its strongest growth rate in three years. Remaining performance obligations also grew 14% year-over-year, but the stock fell anyway.

On August 26, Citizens analyst Patrick Walravens reiterated a Market Perform rating on Zoom Communications Inc. (NASDAQ: ZM), building on the view that the stock is already fairly valued and that the market has stopped rewarding the stock for beating a number it usually beats.

Enterprise Growth: The Strongest Part of Zoom’s Thesis

Zoom’s enterprise revenue witnessed its strongest growth in years. Enterprise sales increased 7.8% year-over-year to $787.5 million backed by multi-product deals and AI-driven offerings. The segment now accounts for an estimated 62% of total revenue.

Zoom’s remaining performance obligations also grew to $4.5 billion, beating the consensus estimate of $4.3 billion. The company’s AI strategy is also strengthening. Its AI-first Customer Experience Portfolio produced high-double-digit ARR growth, licensed monthly active users for AI features in the Workplace product grew 125% year on year, while customer numbers for Zoom Virtual Agent, its automated system handling inbound customer queries, rose 256%.

A valuable hidden stake in Anthropic also formed part of Zoom’s bull thesis.  The company made a venture investment in the AI startup back in 2023, which delivered a $1.6 billion unrealized gain alone this quarter. This pushed its GAAP Net income to $1.54 billion.

Finally, the company ended the quarter with a $7.2 billion in cash and marketable securities as well as $472 million of free cash flow.

Bear Thesis for Zoom

Zoom’s stock plunge post earnings is a reflection that investors obviously expected more.

While the company’s enterprise growth was the fastest in three years, its online growth has showed signs of a slowdown. The company guided online revenue to roughly flat growth, signaling pressure in a key part of the business.

The online segment grew just 0.6% to $489.7 million, almost flat. While enterprise is carrying the growth story, the key question for Zoom is what happens if this growth normalizes while the online segment stays stuck.

Its third-quarter profit guidance also came in below Wall Street expectations, implying that competition is growing tough even as the company ramps up AI features. Moreover, AI usage costs have also been increasing, which led to a gross margin slip to 79.1%.

Bottomline

Institutional interest is strengthening in Zoom. According to Insider Monkey’s database, 71 hedge funds held positions in Zoom stock, up from 60 in the prior quarter. The stock has a short interest of approximately 7.21 million shares, representing about 2.70% of its public float. The number reflects limited bearish skepticism against the stock.

Overall, it is true that Zoom’s enterprise growth is a turnaround story. However, Wall Street’s caution shouldn’t be ignored either. While the enterprise growth rate is encouraging, online growth has stalled and Zoom is still growing at a total revenue growth rate of less than 5%.

READ NEXT: NVIDIA (NVDA): What Foxconn and Super Micro Are Telling Us about the AI Boom  and Snowflake (SNOW) Stock: AI Growth Is Real, But Is the Valuation Already Priced In?

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The $250 Trillion AI Hype is Real. A few years from now, you’ll probably wish you’d bought this stock.

Dr. Inan Dogan

Dr. Ian Dogan

Co-Founder and Research Director at Insider Monkey

When Jeff Bezos said that one breakthrough technology would shape Amazon’s destiny, even Wall Street’s biggest analysts were caught off guard.

Fast forward a year and Amazon’s new CEO Andy Jassy described generative AI as a “once-in-a-lifetime” technology that is already being used across Amazon to reinvent customer experiences.

At the 8th Future Investment Initiative conference, Elon Musk predicted that by 2040 there would be at least 10 billion humanoid robots, with each priced between $20,000 and $25,000.

Do the math. According to Musk, this technology could be worth $250 trillion by 2040.

Put another way, that’s roughly equal to:

  • 175 Teslas
  • 107 Amazons
  • 140 Metas
  • 84 Googles
  • 65 Microsofts
  • And 55 Nvidias

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Even if that $250 trillion figure sounds ambitious, major firms like PwC and McKinsey still see AI unlocking multi-trillion-dollar potential.

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  • Bill Gates sees artificial intelligence as the “biggest technological advance in my lifetime,” more transformative than the internet or personal computer, capable of improving healthcare, education, and addressing climate change.
  • Larry Ellison — through Oracle, is spending billions on Nvidia chips and partnering with Cohere to embed generative AI across Oracle’s cloud and apps.
  • Warren Buffett — not known for tech hype — says this breakthrough could have a ‘hugely beneficial social impact.

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Dr. Inan Dogan

Dr. Ian Dogan

Co-Founder and Research Director at Insider Monkey

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