Xerox Holdings Corporation (NASDAQ:XRX) Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

Xerox Holdings Corporation (NASDAQ:XRX) Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript October 24, 2023

Xerox Holdings Corporation beats earnings expectations. Reported EPS is $0.46, expectations were $0.34.

Operator: Welcome to the Xerox Holdings Corporation Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Release Conference Call. After the presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] At this time, I would like to turn the meeting over to Mr. David Beckel, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir.

David Beckel: Good morning, everyone. I am David Beckel, Vice President and Head of Investor Relations at Xerox Holdings Corporation. Welcome to the Xerox Holdings Corporation third quarter 2023 earnings release conference call hosted by Steve Bandrowczak, Chief Executive Officer. He is joined by Xavier Heiss, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. At the request of Xerox Holdings Corporation, today’s conference call is being recorded. Other recording and/or rebroadcasting of this call are prohibited without the expressed permission of Xerox. During this call, Xerox executives will refer to slides that are available on the web at www.xerox.com/investor and will make comments that contain forward-looking statements, which, by their nature, address matters that are in the future and uncertain. Actual future financial results may be materially different than those expressed herein. At this time, I’d like to turn the meeting over to Mr. Bandrowczak.

Steve Bandrowczak: Good morning and thank you for joining our Q3 2023 earnings call. Before I get to this quarter’s results, I would like to start today’s call by acknowledging the tragic events unfolding in the Middle East. Our thoughts and prayers are with the victims and their families, which include our local employees, clients and partners. We are all hoping for a peaceful resolution. In Q3, the successful execution of our strategic priorities resulted in another quarter of growth in adjusted operating income, EPS and free cash flow. Summarizing results for the quarter, revenue of $1.65 billion declined 5.7% in actual currency and 7.4% in constant currency. Adjusted EPS was $0.46, $0.27 higher year-over-year. Free cash flow was $112 million compared to a use of $18 million in the prior year quarter and adjusted operating margin of 4.1% was higher year-over-year by 40 basis points.

While I am never pleased to report a decline in revenue, this quarter’s top line results were largely anticipated. The decline in revenue reflects a relatively stable demand environment for our products and services, offset by declines in certain cyclical low-margin post-sale revenue categories as well as declines in revenues associated with strategic actions put in place to simplify our business. Despite a reduction in revenue in Q3, we once again grew operating income and operating income margin on a year-over-year basis. This growth is due to reduction in costs associated with recent business simplification efforts, our ability to offset product cost increases with higher prices and the purposeful avoidance of revenue opportunities bearing low levels of profitability.

As I will discuss, we expect the continued simplification of our business to drive substantial incremental improvement in profit margin and profit levels over the next few years. Free cash flow improved $130 million year-over-year in Q3 and has increased by more than $330 million year-to-date. Growth in free cash flow was due in part to a change in FITTLE strategy and its approach to funding new originations, which we expect will generate meaningful amounts of incremental free cash flow for many years to come. As always, we remain focused on our three strategic priorities: client success, profitability and shareholder returns. Client success is a strategic imperative for Xerox. Our ability to solve clients’ most challenging workplace productivity needs and offset the effects of rising inflation, labor constraints and higher cost of capital with productivity-enhancing solutions helps us not only gain market share in print but expand client wallet share through incremental services.

This quarter, Xerox was recognized as a leader in IDC Marketscape’s Worldwide Print Transformation Vendor Assessment for our breadth of transformative workplace technology solutions both related to and adjacent to print. Our advanced solutions provide us a distinct advantage as we compete for new and renewal business. This quarter and year-to-date, service signings grew double-digits in constant currency, led by growth in digital services. Increasingly, digital services such as advanced customer engagement and intelligent document processing are replacing traditional print demand as contracts with existing clients renew. Year-to-date, the revenue replacement rate for a majority of renewed service contract is 100% or higher despite the ongoing consolidation of print demand as companies adapt to more permanent hybrid workplace arrangements.

Moving to profitability. In Q3, we took additional actions to simplify our operations and improve the efficiency of our cost structure. In August, we sold our 3D Print business, Elem Additive Solutions to ADDiTEC. And in September, we announced the expansion of our relationship with PEAC Solutions, an affiliate of HPS Investment Partners, to include the provision of leasing services to FITTLE’s network of independent dealers. Both actions improve the flexibility of our cost base while enabling greater focus on our core capabilities in and around print, digital and IT services. Finally, shareholder returns. A few weeks ago, we repurchased roughly 34 million shares previously owned by Carl Icahn and affiliates, resulting in a reduction of our share count of around 22%.

The decision to repurchase these shares was consistent with the capital allocation and shareholder return philosophy, which is to deploy cash in areas providing the highest return for shareholders. Management and the Board of Directors believe this transaction will create substantial value for shareholders over time as the reduction of shares allows equity holders greater participation in the expected earnings growth associated with our transformation, which I will discuss shortly. The transaction is expected to be EPS accretive while preventing the type of market overhang normally associated with an open market disposal of significant equity states. Our three strategic priorities have been instrumental in laying the groundwork for direction moving forward.

On our Q2 call, we provided examples of the ways in which we are simplifying our business to refocus on our core operations of print, digital and IT services. Those actions were critical enablers of an even more significant transformation of our business. For the past year, with the help of outside experts, we have analyzed our business model, competitive strengths and market opportunities to define an optimal strategic path. And today, we are sharing with investors the preliminary framework for a multiyear strategic transformation plan, which we refer to as Reinvention. First, let me define what Reinvention means to Xerox. Reinvention is a comprehensive and operational simplification of our business resulting in a strategic repositioning of the company to take advantage of favorable macro trends, including the digitalization of document workflows associated with the power of AI while managing the secular headwinds associated with traditional print.

Reinvention does not mean we are abandoning our core print business, which we expect to continue generating strong profits and cash flow for many years. Reinvention means building new capabilities on top of a solid print core. Management and the Board believe the most direct and probable path to sustainable growth in profit, free cash flow and shareholder returns requires a structural redesign of our operations, combined with selected reinvestment in capabilities essential to addressing clients’ most challenging workplace productivity needs. The workplace has evolved and Xerox is evolving with it to ensure we power the productive workplace of today and tomorrow. The ultimate goal of Reinvention is to facilitate Xerox shift from a leader in print technology to an unparalleled technology and service provider.

There are three primary components of the Reinvention. First is a geographic optimization, which entails taking a more selective approach to direct operations in certain markets, and when appropriate, shifting to a partner-led distribution model. This optimization of our go-to-market approach is expected to result in lower revenue initially, but provide a stronger and more profitable foundation from which to grow revenue going forward. Second is the optimization of our product offering and pricing models. Through the Reinvention, we will streamline our product offerings to maximize profitability and allow greater internal focus on the delivery of products and services that address the evolving needs of a hybrid workplace. We will introduce a more consumer-like touchless experience to improve client satisfaction and we will simplify our pricing models to deliver faster and more effective decisioning when pursuing new and renewal business.

The optimization of our geographic footprint, product offerings and pricing models will in turn enable an end-to-end organizational and structural simplification of our business, unlocking the third component of the Reinvention: operating efficiencies across IT, business support functions and the supply chain. While the Reinvention is expected to result in a more profitable and streamlined organization, it is not simply a cost-cutting program. Equally important, if not more so, is Xerox’s ability to transition over time to become a services-led, software-enabled provider of advanced workplace solutions. A transition of this magnitude requires select investment in organic and inorganic growth opportunities. These investments are expected to be self-funded and will target opportunities to grow our share of wallet in print and print services as well as high-growth adjacent markets where we have a clear path to win, such as managed IT services for small and midsized clients and digital services.

In total, Reinvention is expected to generate substantial improvement in operating income and income margin over the next few years. By 2026, we expect to deliver an improvement to 2023 adjusted operating income of at least $300 million, resulting in return to double-digit adjusted operating income margins. Importantly, this improvement is inclusive of investments in growth, which are expected to drive a more diversified revenue mix with greater exposure to markets with high rates of growth. We will provide more specifics and the phasing of operating income improvements as specific actions are taken in future quarters. To recap, we are confident in our ability to successfully execute this Reinvention. Project Own It has instilled in this company a culture of continuous operating improvement.

Our management team is more than capable of delivering a transformation of this magnitude, and our brand, client relationships and history of innovation give us the right to play and win in digital and managed IT services. Reinvention will not only improve Xerox profitability but reposition the company for long-term sustainable growth. And with strong free cash flow supporting our dividend, investors will be rewarded as the strategy progresses. I will now hand over to Xavier.

Xavier Heiss: Thank you, Steve and good morning everyone. As Steve mentioned, we delivered another quarter of growth in adjusted operating income and income margin despite a decline in revenue, evidencing our ability to manage profitability amid fluctuation in revenue. The year-over-year decline in revenue this quarter was driven mainly by a decline in transactional non-contractual post-sales revenue components. Equipment revenue declined modestly relative to the prior year due, in large part, to a reduction in equipment backlog in the prior year quarter. Turning to profitability. We delivered our first consecutive quarter of year-over-year improvement in growth on operating profit margin. Gross margin improved 60 basis points over the prior year quarter, mainly due to the benefit associated with pricing increases on cost efficiency actions, partially offset by a 50 basis point headwind from the termination of Fuji royalties.

Increases in product costs were more than offset by improvement in supply chain related expense and pricing actions. Adjusted operating margin of 4.1% increased 40 basis points year-over-year as the effect of lower revenue and gross profit, along with higher compensation and bad debt expenses, were offset by close to 400 basis points of improvement from ongoing operating efficiencies and pricing actions. Adjusted other expenses net were $29 million lower year-over-year due to higher gains from the sales of non-core business assets and lower non-financing interest expense. Adjusted tax rate was 7.3% compared to 42.1% in the same quarter last year, largely due to the tax benefit associated with the release of uncertain tax positions and the remeasurement of deferred tax assets in the current year period as well as a non-recurring unfavorable effect of changes in certain tax elections in the prior year period.

Adjusted EPS of $0.46 in the third quarter was $0.27 higher than the prior year, driven by an increase in the sale of non-core business assets on a lower tax rate. GAAP EPS of $0.28 was $2.76 higher than the prior year, mainly due to an after-tax non-cash COVID impairment charge of $395 million or $2.54 per share in the prior year. There were no EPS impact this quarter associated with the recent repurchase of shares from Carl Icahn and affiliates. Let me now review revenue and cash flow in more details. Turning to revenue. Equipment sales of $386 million in Q3 declined 1% year-over-year in actual currency or 2% in constant currency. The decline in equipment revenue reflects stable demand conditions, offset by the effect of EMEA backlog reductions in the prior year.

Consistent with recent quarters, revenue trend outpaced equipment in solution activity due to favorable product and geographic mix as well as higher prices. This was particularly true with our A3 product, which experienced unfavorable geographic mix effect in the prior year due to backlog reduction in EMEA. Entry A4 installations were lower again this quarter due to the ongoing normalization of work-from-home trends. Post sales revenue of $1.3 billion declined 9% in constant currency year-over-year and 7% in actual currency. As noted, post sale decline were mainly driven by a reduction in cyclical transactional items, most notably a significant decline in low-margin paper sales on lower IT and device placements. Wholesale revenue was further impacted by the termination of Fuji royalties and the effect of specific strategic actions, which resulted in lower financing on PARC revenue.

Revenues from contractual print and digital services declined slightly as digital and managed IT services revenue growth was offset by a decline in print services for production clients, which have generally been more affected by macroeconomic pressure than office clients. Geographically, both regions declined in actual and constant currency. The decline in EMEA was more pronounced given the substantial reduction in EMEA backlog in the prior year quarter on a weakening macroeconomic outlook. In the Americas, an increase in equipment revenue was more than offset by a decline in post sales revenue due in part to lower sales of the aforementioned cyclical transactional items. Let’s now review cash flow. Free cash flow was $112 million in Q3, higher by $130 million year-over-year.

Operating cash flow was $124 million in Q3 compared to a use of $8 million in Q3 2022. Improvements were mainly driven by a net source of cash associated with financing assets and an improvement in working capital. Finance asset activity was a use of cash this quarter of $51 million compared to a use of cash of $54 million in the prior year, reflecting the benefit of our forward work program with HPS, partially offset by higher origination Working capital was a source of cash of $27 million, resulting in a $41 million year-over-year increase in cash driven mainly by a reduction in inventory. Investing activity were a source of cash of $25 million compared to a use of cash of $33 million in the prior year due to higher proceeds from sale of non-core business assets in the current quarter and the prior year acquisition of Go Inspire.

Financing activity consumed $94 million of cash this quarter, which includes a payment of around $60 million of secured debt on dividend totaling $43 million. In addition, we secured a $555 million bridge loan facility, the proceeds of which were used to repurchase share from Carl Icahn and affiliates. This facility is expected to be replaced in the near-term with an alternative debt instrument. Turning to segments. FITTLE origination volume grew 9% year-over-year. Captive product origination were up 24% while non-captive channel origination, which includes third-party dealers on non-Xerox vendor, fell 8%, a reflection of the recent change in FITTLE strategy to return its focus towards captive-only financing solutions. As expected, FITTLE finance receivables were down roughly 4% sequentially in actual currency, reflecting the runoff of existing finance receivable on HPS funding of more than 50% of FITTLE Q3 originations.

As a result of the change in FITTLE strategy, we expect its finance receivable balance to decline and normalize closer to $1 billion by 2027. FITTLE revenue was flat year-over-year in Q3 as higher commission from the sales of finance receivable asset were offset by lower finance income and other fees associated with the decline in FITTLE finance receivable asset base. Segment profit for FITTLE was $4 million, up $2 million year-over-year primarily due to lower bad debt expense and lower intercompany commissions. As previously indicated, we expect further improvement to bad debt expense going forward as our finance receivable book decline. Print and Other revenue fell 6% year-over-year in Q3, primarily to lower post sales revenue. Print and Other segment profit improved by around 2% versus the prior year quarter resulting in a 30 basis point expansion in segment profit margin year-over-year, driven by the benefit of price and cost actions, partially offset by lower revenue.

Turning to capital structure. We ended Q3 with approximately $620 million of cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash. Roughly $2.5 billion of the remaining $3.6 billion of our outstanding debt support our finance asset, with the remaining debt of around $1.1 billion attributable to the non-leasing business. Total debt consists of senior unsecured bonds, finance asset securitization, the bridge loan associated with the Q3 share repurchase and borrowing under our asset-backed credit facility. We maintain a balanced bond maturity ladder over the next few years. Finally, I will address guidance. Our outlook for full year revenue remained unchanged at flat to down low single digits at constant currency. We continue to see momentum in demand for our product and services particularly in the Americas and for our faster-growing digital services.

However, in the past 3 months, we have seen a mild softening of demand for print services and equipment in our European market, reflecting a weakening macroeconomic condition. As a result, we now expect full year revenue to come in at the lower end of our guided range. As a reminder, we face a difficult equipment revenue compare in Q4 due to a significant reduction in backlog in the prior year. Further, we expect some of the headwinds affecting post-sale revenue in Q3 to persist in Q4. Despite a slight reduction to our revenue outlook, we maintain our guidance for full year adjusted operating margin of 5.5% to 6% due to the successful implementation of ongoing cost efficiency program and the other events of low or unprofitable revenue opportunities.

Q4 operating margin is expected to improve sequentially but will be lower year-over-year as margins in the prior year benefited from an unusual high mix of highly profitable A3 equipment install. As noted by Steve, we expect significant improvement in operating income margin in future years as we progress along our Reinvention. Finally, we maintained our free cash flow guidance of at least $600 million. In summary, we remain on track to deliver our full year guidance as we balance a dynamic macroeconomic backdrop with a rigorous approach to managing operating costs. So one work is being laid for a multiyear improvement in profit and revenue mix, including a return to double-digit operating profit margin, the details of which we will share in the coming year.

We will now open the line for Q&A.

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Q&A Session

Operator: [Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from the line of Ananda Baruah from Loop Capital. Your question please.

Ananda Baruah: Hey, good morning, guys. And thanks for taking the question. So I guess there is a bunch of near-term and bigger picture stuff to sort of get into. I guess I’ll start with bigger picture, just with regards to Reinvention. Can you talk to any degree to which you’re getting a bit of, I guess, I’ll call it like a running start into the revenue component and the Reinvention? Steve, I think you kind of referred to it as software and services enabled or software and services led. Sort of what’s going on there already that we may not be super aware of that might sort of lend itself to Reinvention? And then I know you talked about making comments in the future about what rev potential looks like. But can you give us any sense of maybe with like the rev growth rate of the areas of the services market and software market, the TAM, I guess, looks like today.

So at least we get a sense of what you guys are shooting against from a TAM perspective. I guess I’ll start with that.

Steve Bandrowczak: Yes. Great question. So let me make a couple of comments. So first of all, from a Reinvention standpoint, really looking at a comprehensive and structural simplification of our business, right, which strategically reposition us going forward. What does that mean? We’re looking at focus areas around geographic optimization where we can think about how we sell direct versus indirect, use a partner-led distribution models in subscale areas, focusing on simplification of both our product offering and pricing which will generate more revenue and generate more demand in those areas as we accelerate that. And then operating efficiencies, really looking at our business end-to-end from order to cash to hire-to-retire all across our entire business and really thinking about both simplification as well as enabling technology in each one of those processes.

You’ve heard me talk about where we’ve embedded AI and augmented reality. And we’re seeing significant, not only in terms of productivity but differentiation in our service model and our service offerings as we go forward. So I said that as the foundation, right, and from a high level, right, delivering double-digit operating income margins, getting back to that. We thought it was really important that we have to go drive and we get back to double-digit operating income margins. And obviously, we talk about $300 million of operating income by 2026. What have we already started? And what do you see in terms of the run rate and some of the acceleration going into 2024? We’ve obviously been working on – and I’ve talked about this for a while now, how do we expand our wallet share inside of our existing clients with new products and services, IT services, digital services?

And we talked about client success, really focusing on how do we drive the outcomes for our clients in many areas that we see in terms of verticals that need productivity help significantly, specifically in areas like we see in healthcare, we see in education, we see inside of law firms and driving very specific solutions. We are seeing direct results of that strategy in our renewals. And we talked about it, we’re seeing our renewal rate – revenue renewal rate over 100% now. What does that mean? That means that as we are seeing some of the secular decline in some of our clients in terms of renewals, we’re now topping it up with new products and services that are very specifically led and driven by client success either in IT services and end points, I am talking about services like RPA and security as well as digital services which help them with productivity.

So that’s given us both a run rate improvement in terms of our revenue and growing inside those existing accounts. and it’s also given us a running start in productivity in areas like supply chain, areas like service delivery, areas like our ordering process and order to cash process. Xavier, any other comments?

Xavier Heiss: Yes. Just on – Ananda, just to comment on the revenue side or the revenue shift we are expecting here. So, we know the trend on print. The print business is still a strong business for us, generate a lot of margin on profit and cash here. At the same time, you know that we have started the foundation on developing IT services and digital services there. The market growth of the company is large. It is large tons in this market. IT service is above $600 billion, digital services in the range of $70 billion. And when we look at the data from this market, we are between 5% to 10% growth. So, at the end of the day, what we are planning to do with Reinvention is to drive the revenue shift from a print-only or print-centric company into a company where print will still be present, but also targeting higher ongoing market that will give the revenue – improve the revenue trajectory of the company, not relying only on print.

Ananda Baruah: That’s all really helpful context. I appreciate all of that. That’s super helpful. And then I guess, as a quick follow-up, the sort of the revenue environment from the September quarter that you guys talked about, sounds like Europe may have been a little softer than you thought it was going into the quarter. You are not the first ones that we have heard that from. So, that seems to be kind of foundational. Anything other than Europe that was softer than anticipated that you saw during the quarter? And I guess, sort of any meaningful leverage impact you got from the softer revenue? You guys grew margins 40 basis points year-over-year. But I guess would it have been stronger, the year-over-year growth, margin growth expansion, if not for the softer revenue? Thanks. So, that’s it.

Xavier Heiss: No, no, Ananda, your comments are fair here. So, Europe has been a little bit worse than what we were thinking here. However, at the same time, and you know that since we have implemented Own It, Own It DNA is still within the company. We have created what we call a flexible cost base and within as well being able to adjust some of the costs but also being selective in the type of revenue we are targeting there. I will give you an example, we saw certain erosion on margin on, I call that, non-cyclical, not contractual type of business. Simple example is paper. Another one is endpoint solution in IT services. We are not interested in going after like revenue only with no profitability. As you know it, this team is driven by a very balanced execution mindset model there.

And we have discipline on driving our investment, on our revenue call based on strict return IRR or ROIC [ph] project. So, paper, I can quote it here because the paper market is very different to what it was before, and we are not willing, as an example, to go after a paper deal with no margin here.

Ananda Baruah: That’s great. Great context. Thanks a lot guys. Appreciate it.

Xavier Heiss: Thank you, Ananda.

Operator: Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And our next question comes from the line of Erik Woodring from Morgan Stanley. Your question please.

Maya Neuman: Hi guys. This is Maya on for Erik. Thanks for having me in. Maybe a first question for Steve. Can you talk a little bit about the change in strategy with FITTLE? Earlier this year, we were talking about expanding the portfolio to more third-parties, but now it’s reverting back to kind of a captive financing solution. So, my first question is how that impacts your receivables factoring program? And second, there was once a thought that you could sell the FITTLE business. But given it’s now becoming a captive financing business, that seems less likely, is that correct, that FITTLE would likely no longer be for sale? Thank you and I have a follow-up.