Why Is Citi Optimistic on CoreWeave (CRWV) Despite Higher AI Spending

Over the past year, the broader market continued to ask only one question: Amidst the AI boom, who is actually making money? First of all, the chipmakers benefited, and then the cloud providers. As of now, investors are increasingly focusing on the infrastructure layer supporting the AI buildout.

That’s exactly where CoreWeave, Inc. (NASDAQ:CRWV) benefited. The market doesn’t consider it as just another GPU cloud provider; rather, it is being viewed as a key layer of AI infrastructure. Also, the company’s latest quarterly results reflect that increased scale might be working for it.

Q2 2026 Was Not Just About Revenue Growth

CoreWeave, Inc. (NASDAQ:CRWV)’s Q2 2026 results appeared resilient on the surface, with the company expanding active power capacity by ~500 megawatts, resulting in total active power of 1.5 gigawatts. The total contracted power saw an increase to 3.7 gigawatts. Furthermore, it upgraded its 2026 revenue guidance to $12.4 billion – $13.2 billion, and raised its adjusted operating income outlook to $960 million – $1.15 billion. The company also increased its expected year-end annualized revenue run rate to $18.5 billion – $19.5 billion.

While these numbers are strong, investors looked beyond these financials. The management tagged Q2 2026 as an inflection point, with operating leverage emerging as the business scales. Simply put, the company is not just adding capacity, but has started to show signs of sequential operating leverage as capacity scales.

This was a meaningful transition, as investors were concerned about whether its strong capital spending could ever garner healthy returns.

Why Citi Remains Optimistic

On August 12, Citi analyst Tyler Radke maintained a “Buy” rating on the company’s stock, with a price objective of $142. Following CoreWeave’s Q2 results, Citi analyst Tyler Radke maintained a Buy rating, and the firm subsequently raised its price target to $159 from $142. The analyst didn’t ignore the company’s massive capex bill. CoreWeave, Inc. (NASDAQ:CRWV) anticipates incurring capital expenditures of $35-$39 billion in FY 2026, which could have concerned investors about financing risk and future dilution.

However, the analyst opined that spending remains backed by healthy pricing power, growing software and token-based revenue, better-than-anticipated margins, as well as an increase in customer diversification.

The outlook changed across several metrics: CoreWeave raised revenue and adjusted operating-income guidance while also increasing its capital-spending forecast.

This implies that the company has been making increased investments because demand is coming in faster than previously expected, not only because its existing projects are underperforming. CoreWeave, Inc. (NASDAQ:CRWV)’s list of customers further strengthens the argument.

During Q2 2026, the company added or expanded relationships with enterprises including Caterpillar, Grammarly, Bentley Systems, Isomorphic Labs, Databricks, and Hudson River Trading. Therefore, demand has been broadening beyond the leading AI laboratories.

Why Is Citi Optimistic on CoreWeave (CRWV) Despite Higher AI Spending

The Bull Case: CoreWeave Is Shifting to Become an AI Platform

The market still opines that CoreWeave, Inc. (NASDAQ:CRWV) is a company that rents access to NVIDIA GPUs. However, the management is placing the business as a full AI platform, which tends to combine compute, networking, software, inference optimization, reinforcement-learning infrastructure, as well as cross-cloud orchestration.

Notably, products like CoreWeave Interconnect, SUNK Anywhere, LOTA Cross-Cloud, ARIA, and CoreWeave Sandboxes focus on making AI workloads increasingly portable, efficient, and deeply integrated throughout different cloud environments.

This is important as software and platform services bring increased margins and stronger customer lock-in compared to raw infrastructure rental.

If the company continues to increase the share of revenue from software, inference, and token-based services and maintains increased utilization throughout its rapidly expanding power footprint, it can become more profitable than investors assume.

The Bear Case: Returns Remain Less Certain

Bears believe that CoreWeave, Inc. (NASDAQ:CRWV) has been operating a business that needs significant capex. Even after increasing the guidance, it expects to incur $35 billion – $39 billion this year alone on infrastructure. Furthermore, CoreWeave has also relied heavily on external financing. This would mean that future profitability should absorb significantly higher interest expense.

Another risk is that AI infrastructure demand might normalize eventually. As of now, the investors are rewarding companies capable of delivering power and compute capacity rapidly. However, what if the GPU supply improves significantly, or enterprise customers decide to be more cost-sensitive, or hyperscalers focus on building more infrastructure internally? This will weaken pricing power even before CoreWeave, Inc. (NASDAQ:CRWV) recoups its investment.

In such a case, operating leverage might emerge more slowly than investors’ expectations.

Competitive Analysis

CoreWeave, Inc. (NASDAQ:CRWV) continues to gain a competitive edge in the broader cloud infrastructure market. Traditional and well-established cloud providers like AWS, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud are focused on providing broad enterprise cloud platforms. On the other hand, CoreWeave emphasizes high-performance AI compute that is powered by NVIDIA GPUs.

Let’s compare it with Oracle Corporation (NYSE:ORCL). Oracle has now emerged as a key beneficiary of overall AI infrastructure spending via the cloud and data-center business. Wall Street analysts expect it to post ~$7.72 – $8.57 in EPS in FY 2027. On the other hand, CoreWeave is expected to remain loss-making because it is focusing on rapid capacity expansion.

Still, Oracle trades at roughly ~19.0x forward earnings, and CoreWeave trades at ~4.6x forward sales. This is because investors are valuing CoreWeave mainly on revenue growth as well as contracted infrastructure demand, and not on profitability.

In simple words, investors view Oracle as an established cloud and enterprise software business that has improved AI exposure. On the other hand, CoreWeave is being viewed as a rapidly scaling AI infrastructure platform, which has one of the largest contracted backlogs in the broader sector.  Investors believe that CoreWeave’s infrastructure footprint and customer backlog will turn into significant long-term profitability.

Understanding Short Interest and Hedge Funds Data

CoreWeave’s short interest stood at ~20.41% of float as compared to just ~2.92% for Oracle. Therefore, investors remain divided on CoreWeave’s outlook even though the company has extraordinary revenue growth and an expanding backlog. While Oracle is valued as a mature AI beneficiary, CoreWeave is considered a high-growth AI infrastructure bet. However, positive surprises in backlog growth, data-center activation, or profitability can have a strong impact on investors’ sentiments.

As per Insider Monkey’s database, 63 hedge funds were long on CoreWeave at the end of Q1 2026, reflecting an increase from 58 hedge funds at the end of Q4 2025.

Conclusion

CoreWeave, Inc. (NASDAQ:CRWV)’s latest quarter strengthened the fundamental story. It has been demonstrating that AI infrastructure demand is significantly robust, with customer commitments continuing to accelerate, and the company is beginning to demonstrate sequential operating leverage. Citi’s optimistic views demonstrate confidence that the company’s execution will improve as and when additional capacity comes online, and operating leverage becomes more clearly visible. However, CoreWeave still needs to prove that its massive infrastructure spending and backlog can translate into durable profitability after depreciation and financing costs.

While we acknowledge the risk and potential of CRWV as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than CRWV and that has 10,000% upside potential, check out our report about this cheapest AI stock.

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