Polls Are Biased: Trump Will Again Deliver A Stunning Upset (Update 1)

11. Georgia

Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump wins by 4.7 points

Actual result: Trump won by 5.1 points

Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump loses by 0.0 points

Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump wins by 1.8+ points

Trump: 74 – Biden:77

12. Hawaii

Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump loses by 24.5 points

Actual result: Trump lost by 32.2 points

Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump loses by 35.7 points

Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump loses by 43 points

Trump: 74 – Biden:81

13. Idaho

Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump wins by 21.1 points

Actual result: Trump won by 31.8 points

Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump wins by 23.8 points

Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump wins by 34.5 points

Trump: 78 – Biden:81

14. Illinois

Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump loses by 12.8 points

Actual result: Trump lost by 17.1 points

Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump loses by 19.7 points

Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump loses by 24 points

Trump: 78 – Biden:101

15. Indiana

Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump wins by 11.9 points

Actual result: Trump won by 19.2 points

Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump wins by 10.2 points

Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump wins by 17.7 points

Trump: 89 – Biden:101