Mettler-Toledo International Inc. (NYSE:MTD) Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

And even if you look at Product Inspection, product software, products software, we have a very unique positioning out there as well. That is something that I think will continue to differentiate us and also give us the opportunity to capture market share in a few account for an underlying market growth over the mid and long term in the range of 4% to maybe 4.5%. We should get to the 6% by taking the market share that we are going after. I think we have the right portfolio, increasing our investments and we have increased our investments over the last two years significantly to also drive new solutions to the market. You will see a lot of exciting solutions coming also next year, because I’m a strong believer that differentiation will help us to drive growth, but also profitability.

Shawn Vadala: And as a global company, of course, there is opportunities for us as there’s changes in the landscape as well too. So we can pick up as companies start to reinvest more in maybe countries outside of China. We’ve already seen opportunities for our businesses in those kind of areas as well too. So I think the key for us is to always keep an eye on where the opportunities are and make sure we’re there, leverage our programs to identify and pursue those opportunities.

Derik de Bruin: Got it. And as a follow-up, your business is relatively short-cycle. You don’t build tonnes of backlog. I’m just sort of curious on where you’re getting your visibility from and particularly into that back-half ramp, which looks a little aggressive, frankly. And also in regards to the same questions, like you talked about pharma and biopharma, returning to normal — relatively normal replacement cycle, it seems like do you — I’m just surprised to hear you say that given what — given what my understanding of how the business is and sort of like how your visibility is for the next couple of quarters. Can just a little bit more confidence on what sort of going into this other than sort of like tougher or easier comps in the back half of next year.

Shawn Vadala: Maybe I’ll start and let Patrick kind of add some color. I mean, I think, hey, I understand the point. We’re typically only sitting on about a month-and-a-half worth of backlog, so I get that part. But I think if you take a step back too, like if you look at our multi-year CAGRs, kind of like four-year-type CAGRs, I mean, we are starting to see ourselves moderating here. And when you kind of look at the back half of next year versus even like 2019, you start to see more consistency from what we see here in the second half of this year. And so, I think at a high level, we think that that is reasonable. We also think that we are going to have easier comps. We know there — our topics in China that will flush out with some excess inventory, maybe in the system from coming out of COVID.

And then I think as we kind of particularly look at the fourth quarter, I think this year’s fourth quarter is setting up to be a more unusual fourth quarter for the Group in terms of like lack of that end of the year uptick that we normally see in terms of market demand. And we can’t predict what Q4 of next year is going to be like, but I wouldn’t expect it to be the same environment that we’re faced right now. You know and I’d say probably maybe one other comment is just talking to the sales organization throughout the world. And just what we hear from customers is that there is still a tremendous amount of interest out there. There’s a lot of activity out there. It’s just a question of when people will start to reinvest and have the funds available.

Patrick Kaltenbach: Certainly. And if I may add here, the topic around destocking is something that we have seen in pipettes, that we have seen in, you know, with the sensors in our Pro business et cetera. We think in the year for more customers, most of that is behind us. I mean, you are back to normal order pattern on these consumables and sensors that are used, for example, in manufacturing. Customers don’t build-up excess inventory anymore, it’s also clearly what we’re hearing from them, but we see in terms of the order cycles and their — that they are back to a normal use model that with the sensors.

Operator: Our next question comes from the line of Matt Sykes with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Matthew Sykes: Hi. Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. Maybe just first on Europe, where there was some relative strength there, but just on the core industrial side and particularly on the chemical side, just the data points for getting things simply deteriorating, but there and you talked about the PMIs. Could you maybe talk about that as in sort of the context for ’24, Europe and on the core industrial side?

Patrick Kaltenbach: I’ll start with it and — on Europe, yes, we have seen actually good performance this year in the margin, but — and Middle East they also had some easier comparisons versus China, US compared to last year, where they had — where we had seen more growth last year in the market. That said, on the chemical market you referred to, one of our concerns going into the year was that the high-energy prices in Europe, which impacted market much more than we have seen actually it held up quite well also over Q3 for us. And I think it’s two factors. Number one, it’s our capability to continue to drive market share. Remember, we have a very strong sales team in Europe that goes mainly directed as — and we leverage our — also our Spinnaker sales capabilities to direct our sales team to opportunities very quickly and also address hot segments like lithium-ion batteries, et cetera, which help us to compensate some shortfalls in other areas.

We are, of course, a bit more cautious on Q4 and expect also much more moderate 2024. You’re right, the PMIs also point downwards, it’s why we are more cautious next year. The investment sentiment across Europe, I would say, is, if you go to Southern Europe and Spain, for example, or Portugal, which are quite significant market for us, it’s quite healthy. On the other hand, Europe — within Europe, Germany has been slower this year than we thought it would be, but we also see a lot of excitement, for example, in France. France has put a France 2030 plan in place, where they plan to invest in some of these core technologies in pharma, biopharma, in semiconductors, but also into lithium-ion battery and energy market, which I think will continue to drive growth moving forward.

So, again, overall for Europe next year, very moderate, but long-term, I think it has still holds our model that we expect low-to-mid single-digit growth from Europe.

Shawn Vadala: Yeah. And just to maybe —

Matthew Sykes: And then just one —

Shawn Vadala: Go ahead. Yeah.

Matthew Sykes: Go ahead, Shawn.

Shawn Vadala: I was just going to say, just to answer your question specifically for next year, we’re a little bit more cautious on Europe in core industrial specifically, probably expecting it to be more, more flattish next year. And this again after coming on top of some really solid numbers this year and clearly frankly exceeded our expectations for the year. And then for Europe in total for next year, since I’m hitting it, we’re probably looking at growth up slightly for the year overall.