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Lowe’s (LOW) Cut Its Outlook. Is Pro Demand Strong Enough to Offset the DIY Slump?

Lowe’s Companies, Inc. (NYSE:LOW) delivered an earnings beat alongside weak organic growth and a reduced outlook. Second-quarter total sales increased approximately 8.3% to $25.96 billion, supported by acquisitions, but organic comparable sales rose just 0.2%, below the 0.8% expected. Diluted earnings were $4.27 per share. Company-defined adjusted diluted earnings, a non-GAAP measure, reached $4.40 per share and exceeded the $4.22 FactSet consensus estimate. Results also included a $0.11-per-share benefit from tariff refunds. Management reduced its full-year sales forecast to $92 billion and now expects comparable sales to be approximately flat. Still, the shares reversed a premarket decline and closed 2.0% higher at $220 on August 19. For Lowe’s Companies, Inc. (NYSE:LOW), the question is whether contractor demand can cushion the combined pressure from weak DIY spending and subdued housing activity.

The operating split was clear. Pro, online, and home services growth helped Lowe’s Companies, Inc. (NYSE:LOW) produce a fifth consecutive quarter of positive comparable sales. Online sales increased nearly 16%, while contractors and repair-and-maintenance projects supported demand. Acquisitions expanded the reported revenue base but are excluded from the comparable-sales calculation, making the 0.2% organic increase the better measure of underlying momentum.

The weaker side extends beyond the consumer. Lowe’s Companies, Inc. (NYSE:LOW) said persistent pressure on discretionary DIY spending partly offset its stronger categories. The revised outlook also incorporated softer housing trends affecting Foundation Building Materials and Artisan Design Group, particularly their residential-construction exposure. Consumers continue prioritizing necessary repairs while postponing larger projects, and weak housing turnover is also limiting construction and renovation activity.

Bull Case: Pro and Services Can Support the Earnings Base

Lowe’s Companies, Inc. (NYSE:LOW) is getting support from customers whose spending is less discretionary than a kitchen remodel or major outdoor project. Pro demand, home services, and online growth provide several ways to capture repair, maintenance, and contractor spending while DIY customers remain cautious. The adjusted earnings beat shows that profitability held up better than organic sales, even after accounting for the tariff-refund benefit. If lower mortgage rates eventually revive housing turnover, these businesses could provide a stronger base for renewed DIY and construction demand.

Bear Case: Pro Strength Is Only a Cushion

Lowe’s Companies, Inc. (NYSE:LOW) reduced its outlook because broader housing and home-improvement conditions weakened. Full-year diluted EPS is now expected to be approximately $11.75, while company-defined adjusted diluted EPS is forecast at approximately $12.25, the bottom of the previous ranges. Comparable sales of only 0.2% show that strength in Pro, online, and home services did not fully offset DIY weakness. Pressure on FBM and ADG also leaves the company exposed to subdued residential construction. Cost discipline can defend earnings, but it cannot create meaningful sales momentum.

Insider Monkey’s Hedge Fund Data

Insider Monkey’s hedge fund database shows that 66 hedge funds held positions in Lowe’s Companies, Inc. (NYSE:LOW) at the end of the first quarter of 2026, unchanged from the end of the preceding quarter. These figures reflect holdings as of March 31 and do not capture subsequent trades or investors’ reactions to the second-quarter results reported by Lowe’s Companies, Inc. (NYSE:LOW).

Conclusion

Lowe’s Companies, Inc. (NYSE:LOW) is defending profitability effectively, but Pro strength is cushioning rather than offsetting the DIY and housing-market slump. Online growth, home services, and repair demand can preserve resilience, yet organic comparable-sales growth remains minimal. Meaningful upside requires housing turnover, residential construction and larger discretionary projects to recover. Until then, Lowe’s can protect earnings better than it can accelerate underlying sales.

READ NEXT: ConocoPhillips (COP): Wall Street Sees More Upside Despite Leadership Shakeup and Here is Why Chevron (CVX) is a Favorite Among Hedge Funds

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

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