Is First Niagara Financial Group Inc. (FNFG) A Good Stock To Buy?

Hedge Funds and other institutional investors have just completed filing their 13Fs with the Securities and Exchange Commission, revealing their equity portfolios as of the end of September. At Insider Monkey, we follow over 700 of the best-performing investors and by analyzing their 13F filings, we can determine the stocks that they are collectively bullish on. One of their picks is First Niagara Financial Group Inc. (NASDAQ:FNFG), so let’s take a closer look at the sentiment that surrounds it in the current quarter.

First Niagara Financial Group Inc. (NASDAQ:FNFG) was in 27 hedge funds’ portfolios at the end of September. First Niagara Financial Group Inc. (NASDAQ:FNFG) shareholders have witnessed an increase in enthusiasm from smart money in recent months. There were 25 hedge funds in our database with First Niagara Financial Group Inc. (NASDAQ:FNFG) holdings at the end of the previous quarter. The level and the change in hedge fund popularity aren’t the only variables you need to analyze to decipher hedge funds’ perspectives. A stock may witness a boost in popularity, but it may still be less popular than similarly priced stocks. That’s why at the end of this article, we will examine companies such as NetScout Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:NTCT), CNO Financial Group Inc (NYSE:CNO), and Qunar Cayman Islands Ltd (NASDAQ:QUNR) to gather more data points.

Follow First Niagara Financial Group Inc (NASDAQ:FNFG)

Today, there are tons of metrics shareholders employ to appraise publicly traded companies. Two of the best metrics are hedge fund and insider trading signals. Our experts have shown that, historically, those who follow the top picks of the best money managers can outpace their index-focused peers by a solid margin (see the details here).

Keeping this in mind, we’re going to take a peek at the fresh action surrounding First Niagara Financial Group Inc. (NASDAQ:FNFG).

What does the smart money think about First Niagara Financial Group Inc. (NASDAQ:FNFG)?

At the end of the third quarter, a total of 27 of the hedge funds tracked by Insider Monkey were long this stock, an increase of 8% from one quarter earlier. With the smart money’s sentiment swirling, there exists an “upper tier” of notable hedge fund managers who were upping their holdings meaningfully (or already accumulated large positions).

According to Insider Monkey’s hedge fund database, Israel Englander’s Millennium Management has the most valuable position in First Niagara Financial Group Inc. (NASDAQ:FNFG), worth close to $68.7 million, comprising 0.1% of its total 13F portfolio. The second most bullish fund manager is David Dreman of Dreman Value Management, with a $13 million position; 1.3% of its 13F portfolio is allocated to the stock. Remaining peers that are bullish consist of Millennium Management Subsidiary’s Decade Capital Management, John Orrico’s Water Island Capital, and Renaissance Technologies.

Now, key money managers were leading the bulls’ herd. Water Island Capital established the most valuable position in First Niagara Financial Group Inc. (NASDAQ:FNFG). Water Island Capital had $9.9 million invested in the company at the end of the quarter. Emanuel J. Friedman’s EJF Capital also initiated an $8.2 million position during the quarter. The following funds were also among the new First Niagara Financial Group Inc. (NASDAQ:FNFG) investors: Glenn Russell Dubin’s Highbridge Capital Management, George Hall’s Clinton Group, and Mike Vranos’ Ellington.

Let’s also examine hedge fund activity in other stocks – not necessarily in the same industry as First Niagara Financial Group Inc. (NASDAQ:FNFG) but similarly valued. These stocks are NetScout Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:NTCT), CNO Financial Group Inc (NYSE:CNO), Qunar Cayman Islands Ltd (NASDAQ:QUNR), and Berry Plastics Group Inc (NYSE:BERY). This group of stocks’ market valuations matches First Niagara Financial Group Inc. (NASDAQ:FNFG)’s market valuation.

Ticker No of HFs with positions Total Value of HF Positions (x1000) Change in HF Position
NTCT 25 411741 0
CNO 8 250450 1
QUNR 24 955735 -5
BERY 47 1098594 0

As you can see, these stocks had an average of 26 hedge funds with bullish positions and the average amount invested in these stocks was $679 million. That figure was $168 million in First Niagara Financial Group Inc. (NASDAQ:FNFG)’s case. Berry Plastics Group Inc (NYSE:BERY) is the most popular stock in this table. On the other hand, CNO Financial Group Inc (NYSE:CNO) is the least popular one with only 8 bullish hedge fund positions. First Niagara Financial Group Inc. (NASDAQ:FNFG) is not the most popular stock in this group, but hedge fund interest is still above average. This is a slightly positive signal, but we’d rather spend our time researching stocks that hedge funds are piling on. In this regard, Berry Plastics Group Inc (NYSE:BERY) might be a better candidate to consider a long position.