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Is Enstar Group Ltd. (ESGR) A Good Stock To Buy ?

Hedge funds are not perfect. They have their bad picks just like everyone else. Facebook, a stock hedge funds have loved, lost nearly 40% of its value at one point in 2018. Although hedge funds are not perfect, their consensus picks do deliver solid returns, however. Our data show the top 15 S&P 500 stocks among hedge funds at the end of December 2018 yielded an average return of 19.7% year-to-date, vs. a gain of 13.1% for the S&P 500 Index. Because hedge funds have a lot of resources and their consensus picks do well, we pay attention to what they think. In this article, we analyze what the elite funds think of Enstar Group Ltd. (NASDAQ:ESGR).

Enstar Group Ltd. (NASDAQ:ESGR) shareholders have witnessed a decrease in activity from the world’s largest hedge funds of late. ESGR was in 9 hedge funds’ portfolios at the end of the fourth quarter of 2018. There were 10 hedge funds in our database with ESGR positions at the end of the previous quarter. Our calculations also showed that ESGR isn’t among the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds.

So, why do we pay attention to hedge fund sentiment before making any investment decisions? Our research has shown that hedge funds’ small-cap stock picks managed to beat the market by double digits annually between 1999 and 2016, but the margin of outperformance has been declining in recent years. Nevertheless, we were still able to identify in advance a select group of hedge fund holdings that outperformed the market by 32 percentage points since May 2014 through March 12, 2019 (see the details here). We were also able to identify in advance a select group of hedge fund holdings that underperformed the market by 10 percentage points annually between 2006 and 2017. Interestingly the margin of underperformance of these stocks has been increasing in recent years. Investors who are long the market and short these stocks would have returned more than 27% annually between 2015 and 2017. We have been tracking and sharing the list of these stocks since February 2017 in our quarterly newsletter. Even if you aren’t comfortable with shorting stocks, you should at least avoid initiating long positions in our short portfolio.

Lei Zhang Hillhouse Capital

We’re going to take a peek at the key hedge fund action surrounding Enstar Group Ltd. (NASDAQ:ESGR).

Hedge fund activity in Enstar Group Ltd. (NASDAQ:ESGR)

At Q4’s end, a total of 9 of the hedge funds tracked by Insider Monkey held long positions in this stock, a change of -10% from the previous quarter. Below, you can check out the change in hedge fund sentiment towards ESGR over the last 14 quarters. With hedge funds’ capital changing hands, there exists a few noteworthy hedge fund managers who were adding to their holdings substantially (or already accumulated large positions).

ESGR_apr2019

According to Insider Monkey’s hedge fund database, Hillhouse Capital Management, managed by Lei Zhang, holds the most valuable position in Enstar Group Ltd. (NASDAQ:ESGR). Hillhouse Capital Management has a $292.9 million position in the stock, comprising 21.9% of its 13F portfolio. Coming in second is Akre Capital Management, managed by Charles Akre, which holds a $149.8 million position; the fund has 1.9% of its 13F portfolio invested in the stock. Other professional money managers with similar optimism contain Ric Dillon’s Diamond Hill Capital, Cliff Asness’s AQR Capital Management and D. E. Shaw’s D E Shaw.

Because Enstar Group Ltd. (NASDAQ:ESGR) has witnessed falling interest from the aggregate hedge fund industry, logic holds that there exists a select few fund managers that elected to cut their full holdings heading into Q3. Interestingly, Ron Bobman’s Capital Returns Management sold off the biggest investment of all the hedgies watched by Insider Monkey, valued at about $0.7 million in stock, and J. Alan Reid, Jr.’s Forward Management was right behind this move, as the fund cut about $0.3 million worth. These transactions are interesting, as total hedge fund interest fell by 1 funds heading into Q3.

Let’s also examine hedge fund activity in other stocks similar to Enstar Group Ltd. (NASDAQ:ESGR). We will take a look at Pinnacle Financial Partners, Inc. (NASDAQ:PNFP), Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:SIGI), Rayonier Inc. (NYSE:RYN), and PS Business Parks Inc (NYSE:PSB). This group of stocks’ market values match ESGR’s market value.

Ticker No of HFs with positions Total Value of HF Positions (x1000) Change in HF Position
PNFP 15 123864 2
SIGI 14 26205 4
RYN 19 292652 2
PSB 12 72120 6
Average 15 128710 3.5

View table here if you experience formatting issues.

As you can see these stocks had an average of 15 hedge funds with bullish positions and the average amount invested in these stocks was $129 million. That figure was $498 million in ESGR’s case. Rayonier Inc. (NYSE:RYN) is the most popular stock in this table. On the other hand PS Business Parks Inc (NYSE:PSB) is the least popular one with only 12 bullish hedge fund positions. Compared to these stocks Enstar Group Ltd. (NASDAQ:ESGR) is even less popular than PSB. Hedge funds dodged a bullet by taking a bearish stance towards ESGR. Our calculations showed that the top 15 most popular hedge fund stocks returned 24.2% through April 22nd and outperformed the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) by more than 7 percentage points. Unfortunately ESGR wasn’t nearly as popular as these 15 stock (hedge fund sentiment was very bearish); ESGR investors were disappointed as the stock returned 5.9% and underperformed the market. If you are interested in investing in large cap stocks with huge upside potential, you should check out the top 15 most popular stocks) among hedge funds as 13 of these stocks already outperformed the market this year.

Disclosure: None. This article was originally published at Insider Monkey.

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