I believe there are three companies that investors have to avoid in order to protect capital. Each company faces difficulty in its competitive environment, and all face shrinking market share, as well as a host of issues that I will be covering in detail.
The three companies’ price performance
Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC) has been dead money for the past 5 years; the stock generated a whopping 0.67% return on investment over the past 5 years. I have no idea as to why investors continue to have faith in a company that is stuck in desktop computing. The company is unable to adjust to a changing business environment that is heavily unfavorable for it.
J.C. Penney Company, Inc. (NYSE:JCP) was included because of the horrendous stock performance. The company’s poor positioning, paired with weakening brand appeal and incompetent management practices, caused the stock to severely underperform over the past 5 years. Investors who bought the stock 5 years ago would have lost 52.28% of their money by now.
Research In Motion Ltd (NASDAQ:BBRY) is another one of those companies that was once hot, but soon became dead money. BlackBerry’s stock price declined by 88.95% over the course of 5 years. The decline in valuation was driven by losing market share, loss of cool-factor, and declining profit margins. Research In Motion Ltd (NASDAQ:BBRY)’s QWERTY keyboard was considered the differentiating asset that kept it separate from the rest of the crowd, but at some point, touch screen smart phones continued to steal market share. Apple’s entry into the smart phone space was what crippled Research In Motion Ltd (NASDAQ:BBRY)’s dominant market position.
The problems Intel faces is multi-faceted
Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC)’s CEO Paul Otellini announced his resignation in the fourth quarter of 2012. I suspect that the CEO resigned because he saw a limited future for Intel in smartphone computing.
Part of what makes Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC) special is its ability to execute on chip technology advancement. The company hasn’t failed at what it does best, which is to make the best x86 chips in the market. The company hopes to catch up to rivals like QUALCOMM, Inc. (NASDAQ:QCOM) and ARM Holdings in this regard. The ARM design is far superior at battery consumption, and, unfortunately, to my knowledge there’s no possible way for any X 86 chip design to catch up to the power efficiency of an ARM-based processor.
Some speculate that Intel could grow revenue by competing with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing and Global Foundries. Intel’s biggest challenge in competing with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing in pure-play-fabrication is that Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC)’s fabrication facilities were designed to build X86 chipsets. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing has a distinct advantage in that it can produce chips in smaller quantities (10,000 wafers), which lowers the barrier of entry for companies that want to build their own custom-built integrated circuit.
Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC) needs to build a fabrication that can accept a wide array of chip designs, along with lower levels of capacity; otherwise Intel will be effectively shut out of the pure-play-fabrication space.
Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC) experienced a 6.6% year-over-year decline in sales from its PC client group, along with a 3.9% year-over-year decline in its architecture segment. Intel’s architecture segment is inclusive of its processors for mobile, tablet, and netbooks.
J.C. Penney is a disaster
J.C. Penney Company, Inc. (NYSE:JCP) recently earned the investment capital of George Soros. The activist hedge fund manager sees a valuation arbitrage opportunity. For some reason, I can’t see the light. Maybe it’s because the company reported such dismal performance over the past quarter.
Let’s not forget that analysts on a consensus basis anticipate the company to report negative earnings of $2.78 for the current fiscal year, and in the following fiscal year, the company is expected to lose an additional $1.44 per share. The dismal outlook for the full year is also followed by the dismal performance report.