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Hedge Funds Have Never Been More Bullish On Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV)

We are still in an overall bull market and many stocks that smart money investors were piling into surged through October 17th. Among them, Facebook and Microsoft ranked among the top 3 picks and these stocks gained 45% and 39% respectively. Hedge funds’ top 3 stock picks returned 34.4% this year and beat the S&P 500 ETFs by 13 percentage points. Investing in index funds guarantees you average returns, not superior returns. We are looking to generate superior returns for our readers. That’s why we believe it isn’t a waste of time to check out hedge fund sentiment before you invest in a stock like Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (NYSE:HGV).

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (NYSE:HGV) shares haven’t seen a lot of action during the second quarter. Overall, hedge fund sentiment was unchanged. The stock was in 37 hedge funds’ portfolios at the end of June. At the end of this article we will also compare HGV to other stocks including Advanced Disposal Services, Inc. (NYSE:ADSW), Steven Madden, Ltd. (NASDAQ:SHOO), and Pivotal Software, Inc. (NYSE:PVTL) to get a better sense of its popularity.
5 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds
Video: Click the image to watch our video about the top 5 most popular hedge fund stocks.

Today there are several tools market participants use to size up publicly traded companies. A pair of the less known tools are hedge fund and insider trading indicators. Our experts have shown that, historically, those who follow the best picks of the elite hedge fund managers can outpace the market by a significant amount (see the details here).

Stuart Zimmer Zimmer Partners

Unlike former hedge manager, Dr. Steve Sjuggerud, who is convinced Dow will soar past 40000, our long-short investment strategy doesn’t rely on bull markets to deliver double digit returns. We only rely on hedge fund buy/sell signals. Let’s take a look at the latest hedge fund action surrounding Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (NYSE:HGV).

How have hedgies been trading Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (NYSE:HGV)?

At the end of the second quarter, a total of 37 of the hedge funds tracked by Insider Monkey were long this stock, a change of 0% from one quarter earlier. By comparison, 23 hedge funds held shares or bullish call options in HGV a year ago. So, let’s find out which hedge funds were among the top holders of the stock and which hedge funds were making big moves.

HGV_oct2019

The largest stake in Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (NYSE:HGV) was held by Long Pond Capital, which reported holding $250.3 million worth of stock at the end of March. It was followed by P2 Capital Partners with a $143.2 million position. Other investors bullish on the company included Centerbridge Partners, Zimmer Partners, and Citadel Investment Group.

Judging by the fact that Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (NYSE:HGV) has witnessed a decline in interest from the entirety of the hedge funds we track, it’s safe to say that there exists a select few funds who were dropping their positions entirely by the end of the second quarter. Intriguingly, Jeffrey Gates’s Gates Capital Management said goodbye to the biggest investment of the “upper crust” of funds tracked by Insider Monkey, totaling close to $53.3 million in stock. Jonathon Jacobson’s fund, Highfields Capital Management, also said goodbye to its stock, about $43.6 million worth. These transactions are intriguing to say the least, as aggregate hedge fund interest stayed the same (this is a bearish signal in our experience).

Let’s now take a look at hedge fund activity in other stocks – not necessarily in the same industry as Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (NYSE:HGV) but similarly valued. These stocks are Advanced Disposal Services, Inc. (NYSE:ADSW), Steven Madden, Ltd. (NASDAQ:SHOO), Pivotal Software, Inc. (NYSE:PVTL), and Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (NYSE:MGY). This group of stocks’ market values are closest to HGV’s market value.

Ticker No of HFs with positions Total Value of HF Positions (x1000) Change in HF Position
ADSW 26 559342 14
SHOO 14 48056 -4
PVTL 20 169491 -5
MGY 19 172385 -13
Average 19.75 237319 -2

View table here if you experience formatting issues.

As you can see these stocks had an average of 19.75 hedge funds with bullish positions and the average amount invested in these stocks was $237 million. That figure was $959 million in HGV’s case. Advanced Disposal Services, Inc. (NYSE:ADSW) is the most popular stock in this table. On the other hand Steven Madden, Ltd. (NASDAQ:SHOO) is the least popular one with only 14 bullish hedge fund positions. Compared to these stocks Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (NYSE:HGV) is more popular among hedge funds. Our calculations showed that top 20 most popular stocks among hedge funds returned 24.4% in 2019 through September 30th and outperformed the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) by 4 percentage points. Unfortunately HGV wasn’t nearly as popular as these 20 stocks and hedge funds that were betting on HGV were disappointed as the stock returned 0.6% during the third quarter and underperformed the market. If you are interested in investing in large cap stocks with huge upside potential, you should check out the top 20 most popular stocks among hedge funds as many of these stocks already outperformed the market in Q3.

Disclosure: None. This article was originally published at Insider Monkey.

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