Facebook Inc (FB)’s Android Twist Could Force Google Inc (GOOG)’s Hand

Despite rumors, Facebook Inc (NASDAQ:FB) has steadfastly shot down reports that the company is working on a mobile phone. But recently, there has a been a twist to the story: Facebook Inc (NASDAQ:FB) appears to be planning to unveil a modified version of the Android operating system. If successful, it could force Google Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG)’s to change its plans for Android.

Facebook Inc (NASDAQ:FB)

Facebook is holding a media event on April 4

Facebook Inc (NASDAQ:FB) has sent out letters to the press inviting them to an event the company will be hosting. The invites read, “Come see our new home on Android.” (via Cnet)

TechCrunch, citing sources, reports that the event will be Facebook Inc (NASDAQ:FB) showcasing a heavily modified version of the Android operating system. This version of Android is likely to appear on some HTC handsets — a company Facebook has worked with in the past.

What will Facebook do to Android?

If Facebook Inc (NASDAQ:FB) is toying with Android, it’s likely because it wants to embed deeper integration into the operating system. The key question from Google’s perspective, is how much?

Google Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG) develops and gives Android away for free primarily because it wants to get more people to use its services: Gmail, Google Docs, Google Search, Google+, etc. Depending on how far Facebook Inc (NASDAQ:FB)’s developers went, it could thwart this goal.

For example, if Facebook replaced the default search engine present within Android to its own graph search (something that seems likely), Android effectively becomes a weapon against Google. Facebook’s graph search defaults to Microsoft’s Bing when it can’t find the information the user is looking for.

Facebook competes directly with Google Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG) in the area of social, as Google+ is perhaps the only social network capable of challenging Facebook. Any Facebook version of Android is likely to bury Google+ as much as possible.

Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ:YHOO) could follow

Facebook wouldn’t be the first company to introduce a heavily modified version of Android — Amazon already did that with its Kindle Fire — and it might not be the last. It would make sense for Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ:YHOO) to follow in Facebook’s footsteps.

In an interview with Bloomberg, new Yahoo CEO Marissa Mayer laid out her vision for the new Yahoo: become a go-to service for the things people want to do on their mobile devices. Yahoo competes with Google on many of these things, such as email and finance.

Yahoo has been rumored to be considering purchases of both Yelp and DailyMotion, companies that compete with Google’s Zagat and YouTube, respectively. As it continues to compete with Google on various web service fronts, what if Yahoo was to create a version of Android that replaced the Google services with its own?

Such a move would be far away, but the possibility of a trend developing should give Google Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG) cause for concern.

If this becomes a trend, Google could be forced to rethink its Android strategy

There’s no guarantee that a Facebook version of Android would be successful, or that it would become a trend, leading other companies like Yahoo to join in.

But if it does, Google Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG) would have a real problem on its hands. As it currently stands, the company doesn’t mind forgoing profits on Android for the simple reason that it makes them up by adding additional users to its web services. But if it loses that advantage, what point would there be in continuing to finance the development of Android?

Rather, Google Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG) might be forced to take greater control of Android, a theory that has fueled rumors of an impending split between the search giant and Samsung. Commentators have called for Google to change its strategy for years; Facebook might finally force the company’s hand.

April 4 will be a key day for mobile computing

Investors in the mobile tech space should keep a close eye on what comes out of Facebook’s event. Depending on how much Facebook changes Android, Google could be forced to reconsider its mobile strategy. Otherwise, other competitors like Yahoo could follow, leaving Google with little incentive to continue open source Android development.

The article Facebook’s Android Twist Could Force Google’s Hand originally appeared on Fool.com is written by Salvatore “Sam” Mattera.

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