Dell Technologies (DELL) Raises its AI Server Forecast for the Second Time This Year

Dell raises its fiscal 2027 profit and revenue outlook for the second time this year on surging AI server demand, now expecting $25.50 EPS on $192 billion in revenue. Second-quarter revenue hit a record $47 billion, up 58% year over year, with a $95 billion order backlog.

On September 1, CNBC reported that Dell Technologies Inc. (NYSE:DELL) shares surged 9% after the firm raised its fiscal 2027 profit and revenue outlook for the second time this year due to surging AI server demand.

Dell now expects $25.50 in adjusted earnings per share on $192 billion in revenue, up from a May outlook of $17.90 per share and $165 billion to $169 billion, and well above analyst estimates of $18.92 per share and $172.67 billion. Dell raised its fiscal 2027 AI-optimized server revenue forecast to $74 billion, up from $60 billion and more than triple the $25 billion it shipped in fiscal 2026. Second-quarter revenue hit a record $47 billion, up 58% year over year and above the $44.92 billion estimate, with adjusted EPS of $7.04 versus a $4.91 estimate. AI server orders reached a record $60.9 billion in the quarter. It pushed Dell’s backlog to $95 billion, more than double the $43 billion it reported at the end of fiscal 2026. Dell’s AI customer base has passed 6,500, with 3,300 added over the past three quarters.

Dell Technologies (DELL) Raises Its AI Server Forecast for the Second Time This Year

Bull Case

The results crushed already raised expectations across every major metric. Revenue beat estimates by more than $2 billion, and adjusted EPS beat estimates by more than $2 per share. Dell Technologies Inc. (NYSE:DELL) also raised its guidance for the second time this year, and its full-year EPS guidance now stands 35% above analysts’ pre-report expectations.

The backlog points to strong forward demand visibility, not just a strong quarter. Dell’s $95 billion order backlog more than doubled in just two quarters, while its AI customer base expanded beyond 6,500 accounts across neoclouds, sovereign buyers, and large enterprises. This customer base reduces Dell’s dependence on any single large customer.

Growth extends well beyond AI servers since Dell’s Infrastructure Solutions Group generated $31.8 billion in revenue, up 89% year over year. The results show that a broader server refresh cycle and data-center modernization wave also back up Dell’s traditional infrastructure business alongside the AI boom.

Dell is funding this growth while returning cash to shareholders. The company returned $4.3 billion through buybacks and dividends this quarter. Executives also pointed to recent price increases as a source of pricing power that supports the higher revenue outlook. This combination gives Dell another growth lever beyond higher shipment volumes.

Bear Case

The massive backlog represents future orders, not booked revenue. Dell Technologies Inc. (NYSE:DELL) has not disclosed a schedule for converting the $95 billion backlog into actual sales. Hence, investors must watch the timing of that conversion to determine whether Dell can meet its guidance on schedule.

Part of the higher outlook reflects cost inflation rather than pure demand growth. Dell’s chief operating officer said the firm included price increases tied to rising input costs in its higher revenue guidance. Investors therefore must determine whether Dell can protect margins as AI-server competition intensifies and component costs fluctuate.

Dell also relies heavily on Nvidia’s chips and competes directly with Super Micro Computer for cloud-provider customers. This reliance exposes Dell to supply-chain constraints and competitive pressure across AI infrastructure. So a slowdown in AI infrastructure spending could put significant pressure on Dell’s growth line.

Hedge Fund Data

Insider Monkey’s database shows Dell Technologies Inc. (NYSE:DELL) was held by 77 hedge funds in the second quarter of 2026, up from 72 in the first quarter. Super Micro Computer, a smaller but closely watched AI server rival, saw even sharper growth, with the fund count rising to 62 from 49.

Conclusion

Dell’s strong results and growing AI business give investors a compelling growth story. However, the company still needs to convert its massive backlog into revenue while managing rising costs and intense AI-server competition. Therefore, investors should watch whether Dell can sustain its momentum and turn strong AI demand into durable growth.

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