Altria Group Inc (MO) Continues To Shine

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Tobacco

Of course, despite its stake in SAB, the majority of Altria’s operations are involved in the manufacture and sale of cigarettes. As I have already said, even though global tobacco opinions are changing, tobacco sales at the major US tobacco companies or indeed throughout the rest of the world are not really seeing and significant decline.

Cigarette Shipment Volume (Millions)

Company 2012 2011 Change
PM USA 136,111 136,384 -0.20%
PM International 927,036 915,266 1.27%

In the chart above, you can see Altria (Philip Morris USA) compared to Philip Morris International (NYSE:PM) — Altria’s international partner in crime.

Both Philip Morris International and Altria Group Inc (NYSE:MO) are not seeing any significant fall in tobacco volumes sold. Year over year, Altria saw a marginal reduction in volumes, but, Philip Morris actually had an increase in its volume of cigarettes shipped, highlighting the continual strength of the international tobacco market.

Operating Margin Per Unit

Company 2012 2011 Change
PM USA 41.2% 40.3% 2.18%
PM International 45.4% 44.1% 2.86%

Margins on tobacco products remain high for both Altria and Philip Morris. In particular, Altria’s operating margin on tobacco products is still growing. Altria produced a 2.2% rise in operating margin over 2012, which has more than offset the 0.2% decline in sales.

Philip Morris, on the other hand, improved operating margins by just under than 3%, while the company shipped 1.3% more cigarettes. Overall, this gave the company a 7% rise in EPS.

That said, while both Altria and PM are experiencing relatively good volumes and rising margins, they are also having to put up with large tax bills.

Excise Taxes – As a % of Net Revenues

Company 2012 2011
PM USA 31.9% 31.1%
PM International 59.3% 59.3%

PM International is confronted with a much higher tax on its products in Europe than the rest of the world, as some countries are charging up to 70% excise tax on tobacco. On the other hand, Altria has a much lower tax rate, as its sales are only limited to the US. During 2012 Altria’s average excise tax rate rose 0.8%, which you can see in the company’s individual earnings:

Impact To EPS

Company Stock buybacks Currency Change In Tax Rate
PM USA 0.04 -0.07
PM International 0.2 -0.23 0.02

The effects the individual factors have had on EPS. This table show that the rise in Altria’s average tax rate only slightly affect group EPs. That said, PM’s stagnant tax rate resulted in the company benefitting slightly, improving EPS by $0.02. However, last year Philip Morris was hurt by the strong USD.

Altria’s tax rate, which rose slightly, took $0.07 off the company’s final EPS total. Altria was not affected by foreign exchange movements.

Stock buybacks improved PM’s EPS by $0.20, which is roughly 50% of the company’s total EPS growth for 2012. Altria on achieved buyback gains of $0.04 per share – Altria has a much smaller buyback program.

Growth is strong but debt is growing…

The only problem with Altria is its debt. Although, unlike Philip Morris, Altria is working hard to bring down its debt to a more suitable level.

Altria’s debt level peaked at $13 billion in 2011 and has since fallen to $12 billion. Philip Morris’ debt looks high, but in practice company net debt is only 1.4 times EBITDA. Altria’s net debt to EBITDA is 1.6 times – still sustainable.

Overall…

In conclusion, Altria as a company continues to surprise and outperform the rest of the market. Even with changing tobacco opinions worldwide, Altria’s revenues are higher thanks to diversification and constant, improving margins on its tobacco products. Furthermore, the company is working had to bring down debt and still maintains a very strong dividend.

I think Altria will continue to shine as a market performer for a long time to come and is written by Rupert Hargreaves.

Data Source: Saxo Capital Markets, Marketwatch

The article Altria Continues To Shine originally appeared on Fool.com.

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