Joby Aviation (NYSE:JOBY) just made its boldest move yet, and it has nothing to do with flying you to the airport. On August 11, the air taxi developer said it would acquire defense technology company Resonant Sciences for about $500 million, split between roughly $450 million in cash and $50 million in stock. The deal hands Joby a dedicated defense business built around radio-frequency and mission systems for national-security customers. Investors did not celebrate. Shares fell 6.5% in premarket trading.
Bull Case: A Revenue Engine Joby Did Not Have Yesterday
Resonant Sciences is not a speculative bet bolted onto Joby’s balance sheet. The Dayton, Ohio company generates more than $100 million in trailing twelve-month revenue, has grown that figure by roughly 40% year-over-year, and already operates at positive adjusted EBITDA. It also comes with an established customer base that includes the US government, giving Joby cash flow today instead of a promise for tomorrow. The deal, expected to close in the first half of 2027, will fold Joby’s hybrid and autonomous VTOL programs into Resonant and add about 1 million square feet of manufacturing and testing space in the Dayton region.
The logic goes beyond the balance sheet. Military spending has a long history of funding aviation technology that eventually finds its way into civilian aircraft, and defense budgets tied to the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East have only grown that appetite. Management framed the acquisition as pairing Joby’s dual-use aircraft, propulsion and autonomy work with Resonant’s radio frequency, sensing and low observability expertise, technology CEO JoeBen Bevirt said will help aircraft see, communicate and operate in complex environments.
Bear Case: The Cash Math Behind The Stock’s Slide
That defense diversification is not free. Joby burned through $318 million in operating cash during the first half of 2026 while bringing in just $63 million in revenue over the same stretch. Layering a $450 million cash payment on top of that would trim Joby’s roughly $2.3 billion liquidity cushion down to about $1.85 billion, an estimated eight to nine months off its cash runway if spending stays on its current pace. The company still needs to win FAA type certification for its air taxi before its valuation can rest on the commercial side alone.
The market’s response made the tension obvious. Alongside the acquisition, Joby also announced a $750 million at-the-market equity offering, a move that arrives with shares already down 51% over the past year. The stock finished the session at $8.43, down 4.26%, on volume of 51.3 million shares, about 27% above its three-month average of 40.5 million.
What The Positioning Data Shows
Hedge fund ownership of Joby climbed from 30 funds in the prior quarter to 38 in the most recent one, which points to institutions adding rather than trimming exposure. Short interest stands at 16.43% of the float, a level that reflects a sizable bear case still positioned against the stock. That combination shows a market split on how the Resonant deal changes the story.
Where This Leaves Joby Investors
The Resonant acquisition gives Joby a profitable, growing revenue stream and a foothold in a defense market that has shown it can fund aviation breakthroughs long before commercial demand catches up. But it also drains cash reserves and adds a $750 million dilution overhang at a moment when shares are already down sharply for the year.
While we acknowledge the risk and potential of JOBY as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than JOBY and that has 10,000% upside potential, check out our report about this cheapest AI stock.
READ NEXT: 10 Best Future Stocks to Buy Under $10 and 12 Best Performing Semiconductor Stocks to Invest In.
Disclosure: None. Follow Insider Monkey on Google News.
Hedge Fund Resource Center