
In the first quarter of 2013, DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc’s net patient service revenues increased by 12% versus a year earlier, with overall revenue growing to a greater degree due to the company’s merger with Health Care Partners, now a subsidiary of the business. DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc wrote a $300 million loss contingency reserve during the quarter, which caused its pretax income to be much lower than its levels a year ago; if we add back that reserve, however, we get a 39% increase in income before taxes.

The closest peer for DaVita is Fresenius Medical Care AG & Co. (ADR) (NYSE:FMS). Its sales rose by 6% in its last quarterly report compared to the first quarter of 2012, a lower growth rate than what DaVita saw in its core business leaving aside the merger. Fresenius Medical Care AG & Co. (ADR) (NYSE:FMS) is actually valued at a small premium to DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc on a forward earnings basis, at a valuation multiple of 16 times expected earnings for 2014. As a result we think that we’d be less interested in doing further research on this company. We can also compare DaVita to specialized health services companies including Mednax Inc. (NYSE:MD), HealthSouth Corp (NYSE:HLS), and Acadia Healthcare Company Inc (NASDAQ:ACHC). The first two of these companies carry forward P/Es of 15, pricing them about in line with DaVita, and each experienced double-digit growth rates on the bottom line in their most recent quarter compared to the same period in the previous year. Markets aren’t actually pricing in much growth at them, either, and so it could be worthwhile to look into whether or not this much earnings growth might be sustainable. Acadia Healthcare Company Inc is expected to substantially improve its business over the next year and a half, but the forward earnings multiple is still above 20 and 13% of the float is held short as many market players are bearish.
We think DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc is a more interesting target than Fresenius Medical Care AG & Co. (ADR) (NYSE:FMS), and we suppose that investors should put at least some weight on Buffett’s interest in the company as well- though the valuation is high enough that we would be cautious in evaluating the business before buying. Mednax Inc. and HealthSouth Corp could be prospects as well.




