VersaBank (NASDAQ:VBNK) Q4 2022 Earnings Call Transcript

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VersaBank (NASDAQ:VBNK) Q4 2022 Earnings Call Transcript December 7, 2022

VersaBank misses on earnings expectations. Reported EPS is $0.23 EPS, expectations were $0.25.

Operator: Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to VersaBank’s fourth quarter and year-end fiscal 2022 financial results conference call. This morning, VersaBank issued a news release reporting its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended October 31. That news release, along with the Bank’s financial statements, and supplemental financial information, are available on the Bank’s website in the Investor Relations section, as well as on SEDAR and EDGAR. Please note that in addition to the telephone dial-in, VersaBank is webcasting this morning’s conference call. The webcast is listen-only. If you are listening on the webcast but wish to ask a question in the Q&A session following Mr. Taylor’s presentation, please dial into the conference line, the details of which are included in this morning’s news release and on the Bank’s website.

For those participating in today’s call by telephone, the accompanying slide presentation is available on the Bank’s website. Also, today’s call will be archived for replay, both by telephone and via the internet beginning approximately one hour following completion of the call. Details on how to access the replays are available in this morning’s news release. I would like to remind our listeners that the statements about future events made on this call are forward-looking in nature and are based on certain assumptions and analysis made by VersaBank management. Actual results could differ materially from our expectations due to various material risks and uncertainties associated with VersaBank’s business. Please refer to VersaBank’s forward-looking statement advisory in today’s presentation.

I would now like to turn the call over to David Taylor, President and Chief Executive Officer of VersaBank. Please go ahead, Mr. Taylor.

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David Taylor: Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us for today’s call. With me today is Shawn Clarke, our Chief Financial Officer. Before I begin, I’d like to remind you that our financial results are reported and will be discussed in this call in our reporting currency of Canadian dollars. For those interested, we provide US dollar translations for most of our financial numbers in our standard investor presentation, which will be updated and available on our website shortly. On to our results. A record fourth quarter across each of our key performance metrics capped off a record year for VersaBank. In our digital banking operations, continued strong year-over-year growth in our appointed sale loan and lease portfolio, drove our loan portfolio to an all-time high of just under $3 billion.

That was up 42% as we maintained our overall net interest margin without trading or taking any additional credit risk. This drove record revenue, record net interest income, record net income, save for one outsized quarter in 2017 due to a large tax recovery. Additionally, the cybersecurity services component of DRTC had a strong fourth quarter and remains profitable. Importantly, we achieved net income despite the significant transitory expenses incurred during the year on our account of strategic growth initiatives, the returns of which we expect to begin to realize in fiscal 2023. All of this positions VersaBank for continued growth in 2023, comfortable in the knowledge that our bank has a track record of performing even a little better during economic slowdowns.

I’ll discuss this more in a few minutes. Looking more closely at our performance, the fourth quarter was highlighted by the highest ever levels of revenue, net interest income, and net income, even with the dampening effect on our bottom line of the transitory investments and multiple strategic growth initiatives we made throughout the year. Combined, these investments totaled $1.8 million, the vast majority of which will run off during the current quarter. As Shawn will discuss, we will also experience a temporary elevated provision for taxes in Q4, which further dampened our net income by $1.1 million, and which we expect to reduce early in fiscal 2023. Fourth quarter performance was driven mainly by continued outsized growth in the Canadian point-of-sale financing business, which increased 11% sequentially to the end of the year, and 74% higher than fiscal 2021.

Again, I will note that we achieved this growth with essentially no impact on net interest margin and without relaxing our stringent credit policy. Similarly, for the full fiscal year, the outsized growth in our Canadian point-of-sale drove record revenue, net interest income, and net income. And like the fourth quarter, record net income was dampened by expenses related to the transitory strategic investments, which for the year totaled $5.2 million. As well, the $1.1 million elevated tax in Q4. Again, these investments will substantially dissipate throughout Q1 of fiscal 2023, and our tax provision will reduce early in 2023. I’d like to provide a quick update on our planned acquisition of Minnesota-based Stearns Bank Holdingford, a fully operational OCC-chartered national US bank.

As I discussed on our last quarterly call, this acquisition is transformational next step in VersaBank’s long-term growth strategy that will enable us to bring our track record of innovative digital banking solutions to address unmet needs to one of the world’s largest banking markets. Specifically, this acquisition will enable us to broadly roll out our receivable purchase program in the underserved US market, which has been so successful in Canada, where we call it our point-of-sale financing business. Although the process has taken a little longer than initially thought, I’m pleased to report that earlier this morning, we submitted the requisite filing to the OCC and the Federal Reserve, seeking approval of this acquisition. With these filings complete, we can now move ahead with our application to our Canadian regulators.

I’m also pleased to announce that Tom Ridge, former governor of Pennsylvania and inaugural Secretary of the US Office of Homeland Security, has agreed to become Chair of our new US subsidiary, VersaBank USA. We are targeting to close this acquisition early in calendar 2023. On the topic of US receivable purchase program, our first partner, a large North American commercial transportation financing business, focused on independent owner operators, has continued to expand their business with us, with loans now nearly $50 million. That number would’ve been even higher. However, we are somewhat constrained in this limited early rollout ahead of completing the US bank acquisition. Recently, we added a second partner, the retail finance division of a $40 plus billion US-based financial services company, and expect to begin taking on loans shortly.

And we continue to be very encouraged by our discussions we’re having with other potential partners in the United States. They’re repeatedly confirming our beliefs that we are a valuable alternative for point-of-sale financing in this $1.8 billion and growing US market. And finally, before I turn over the call to Shawn, an update on our revolutionary digital deposit receipts. As I discussed last quarter, there have been tremendous amount of turmoil in the sector and heightened regulatory awareness and scrutiny, which has been further exacerbated by FTX debacle. The downside of this, of course, is that it has a negative repercussions and very broadly in our industry. The upside, at least for us, is that all of these events further underscore the importance of regulation, and our belief that we share with some of our regulatory pundits that licensed banks are the right entities to reissuing digital currencies.

With the rapid evolution of the market and the regulatory environment, we made a decision to substantially change our model such that our DDR accounts, our digital deposit receipt accounts, which are essentially e-wallets, are hosted by VersaBank as opposed to being hosted by external third party. We are now able to do this through the addition of our Viewer software, a tool developed exclusively for our bank. To prove out the new model, in November, we initiated an initial pilot program for the new offering, which we are calling CAD V. The pilot is restricted to VersaBank’s directors, executives, all of whom reside in Canada. With this progression to a new model will further extend our time to launch, our DDR program is, as it always has been, a long-term opportunity to grow low-cost deposits.

We still have access to abundant low-cost deposits to fuel our growth in Canada. In fact, I will discuss in a moment we expect to return to robust growth in our bankruptcy deposit channel, resulting from the challenging and potentially more challenging economic environment. Finally, I will note that we continue to see some digital currency offerings trickle out here and there, and each and every time we do, we’re even more confident with respect to the significant competitive advantages that our offering brings. I’d now like to turn the call over to Shawn to review our financial results in detail. Shawn?

Shawn Clarke: Thank you, David, and good morning, everyone. Before I begin, just a quick reminder that our full financial statements and MD&A for the fourth quarter and full fiscal 2022 year, are available on our website under the Investor Relations section, as well as on SEDAR and on EDGAR. And as David mentioned, all the following numbers are reported in Canadian dollars as per our financial statements, unless otherwise noted. Starting with our balance sheet, total assets at the end of the fourth quarter crossed the $3.3 billion mark, up 35% from $2.4 billion at the end of Q4 of last year, and up 6% from $3.1 billion at the end of the third quarter of this year. Cash and securities at the end of Q4 were at $230 million or 7% of total assets, down from $272 million or 11% of total assets at the end of Q4 of last year, and up from $218 million or 7% of total assets at the end of Q3 of this year.

The year-over-year decrease was the result of the bank deploying cash into higher yielding lending assets and low risk securities over the course of the quarter. Our total loan portfolio at the end of the fourth quarter expanded to another record balance of $2.99 billion, an increase of 42% year-over-year and 6% sequentially. I’ll rate this out into its component parts in a moment. Book value per share increase 7% year-over-year and 2% sequentially to another record at $12.37. These increases were both a function of high retained learning resulting from net income growth, partially offset by dividends paid, while the year-over-year increase was also impacted by our common share offer in the US last September. Our CET1 ratio was 12%, down from 15.2% at the end of Q4 of last year, and down from 12.51% at the end of Q3 of this year, while our leverage ratio at the end of Q4 was 9.8%, down from 12.6% at the same point last year, and 10.38% at the end of Q3 of this year.

Both our CET1 and leverage ratios remain comfortably above our internal regulatory ratio targets. Turning to the income statement. Total consolidated revenue increased 33% year-over-year at 14% sequentially, to a record $24.3 million, with the increase being driven primarily by higher net interest income derived from our digital banking operations, resulting from the strong growth in our loan portfolio that was discussed earlier. Consolidated net income for Q4 increased 9% year-over-year and 12% sequentially to a record $6.4 million, with the exception of Q1 2017, during which we recorded a one-time tax recovery resulting from the amalgamation of the bank and PWC Capital in that same period. Net income for Q4 was reduced by transfer costs totaling $1.8 million, as David mentioned earlier, including the period related to our investments in several strategic growth initiatives, including the US bank acquisition, the launch of the US version of our point-of-sale offering, our receivable purchase program, and preparation for the launch of our digital deposit receipts.

We expect these investments to begin to contribute to profitability over the course of fiscal 2023. Net income was also reduced by $1.1 million in incremental tax provisions, which we also expect will reduce in fiscal 2023. Consolidated earnings per share decreased 4% year-over-year to $0.23, with the decrease due primarily to the impact of the issuance of 6.3 million common shares, concurrent with the bank’s listing on the NASDAQ in September of last year. On a sequential basis, however, consolidated EPS was up 15%. The impact – for context, the impact of the transitory strategic investments in higher income tax on our 2022 EPS metric was $0.06 cents per share and $0.04 per share, respectively. A primary driver of growth in our loan portfolio was once again our point-of-sale financing business, which increased 74% year-over-year and 11% sequentially, surpassing the $2.2 billion mark.

This growth continued to be driven primarily by strong demand for home finance, home improvement, HVAC, and our receivable financing. Our point-of-sale portfolio continues to expand as a proportion of the overall portfolio as per our strategy, representing now 75% of our total loan portfolio as of the end of the fourth quarter, up from 71% at the end of the third quarter. Our commercial real estate portfolio decreased 7% year-over-year and 6% sequentially to $759 million at the end of the fourth quarter. As we now have noted for several quarters, management has taken a more cautionary stance in respect to the commercial real estate portfolio due to expected volatility and valuations within this asset class in a rising interest rate environment, as well as concerns related to higher construction costs resulting from supplies chain disruptions and a very tight labor market.

That said, we remain very comfortable with the risk profile of our commercial real estate portfolio based on our criteria of working only with well-established, well-capitalized development partners with excellent track records, and restricting transaction to modest loan to value ratios. Turning to the income statement, for our digital banking operations, net interest margin on loans, that is excluding cash and securities and other assets, decreased 28 basis points or 8% year-over-year, and four basis points or 1% sequentially to 3.03%, due primarily to a shift in the bank’s funding mix and rising interest rates over the respective periods, as well as the successful execution of our strategy to grow our POS financing portfolio. These factors were partially offset by generally higher yields turned on our lending portfolio during the period, also as a function of rising interest rates.

Net interest margin for the quarter, which includes the impact of cash, securities, and other assets, increased eight basis points or 3% year-over-year, and five basis points or 2% sequentially to 2.81%. Non-interest expenses for the quarter were $13.8 million compared to $10.4 million for the same period last year, and $13.2 million for Q3 of this year. The year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter increases were substantially due to transitory costs related to the strategic growth investments I described earlier. Investments associated with the acquisition and integration of the operation of the US bank, are anticipated to be realized substantially by the end of the first quarter of 2023. The year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter increases were also impacted by higher salary and benefits costs due to increased staffing levels to support expanded revenue-generating business activity across the bank, as well as higher costs associated with employee retention in this very tight labor market.

Cost of funds for the fourth quarter was 2.45%, up 114 basis points year-over-year, and up 51 basis once sequentially, due primarily to our funding mix being comprised of a larger proportion of wealth management deposits relative to our lower cost and solvency professional deposits, and the impact of course of rising interest rates. Insolvency professional deposit balances contracted slightly in Q4 compared to a year ago, despite adding more partners, and as we continue to – as we continue to experience historically low bankruptcy activity, which remains well below pre-pandemic levels. During the same period, our wealth management deposits grew 65%. Looking ahead to 2023, we do expect insolvency deposits to grow moderately throughout the year as a function of an increase in the volume of consumer bankruptcy and propose restructuring proceedings, amidst the challenging current and forecasted economic environment.

Our provision for credit losses or PCLs in Q4 was again demonstrative of prudent risk mitigation strategies inherent in our lending and credit risk management processes, as well as the outstanding credit quality of our current loan portfolio. PCLs in the current quarter were 205,000, compared with a recovery of credit losses in the amount to 279,000 for the same period last year, and of PCL of 166,000 for Q3 of this year. The recovery we recorded last year was attributable primarily to changes in the bank’s lending asset portfolio mix, and changes in the forward-looking information used in the bank’s credit risk models, offset partially by higher lending balances. Sequential change this year was a function primarily of higher lending asset balances and changes in the forward-looking information that we use in our credit risk models, offset partially by changes in the bank’s lending asset mix.

Our PCL ratio remains one of the lowest in the Canadian banking industry at an average of 0% over the past 12 quarters. And as David will discuss in a moment, this superior risk profile is expected to serve us well should an economic downturn materialize over the course of 2023. Gross impaired loan balances at October 31, 2022, were $0.3 million, all of which were repaid on November 1, ’22, compared to $1.4 million last quarter and nil a year ago. Turning now to DRTC sales that we generate almost exclusively through our cybersecurity services business, Digital Boundary Group, increased 33% sequentially, decreased 8% year-over-year to $2.8 million, due primarily to the timing of service engagements in those respective periods. Gross profit, however, increased 48% sequentially, and decreased 19% year-over-year to $1.7 million.

The sequential increases were driven primarily by higher pricing charged on services, as well as meaningful improvements in DBG’s operational efficiency. DBG generated a net loss of $0.5 million in the current quarter, compared with a net income of 0.5 million in Q4 of last year, and net loss of $0.7 million in Q3 of this year, attributable to higher gross profits from DBG being partially offset by higher salary and benefits expenses associated with employer retention in a highly competitive labor market. I will note here that the net loss for DRTC includes costs associated with strategic technology development investments for our digital banking operations. The operations of DBG on a standalone basis continue to be profitable. Finally, before I turn the call back to David, in August, we received approval from the TSX to undertake a normal course issuer bid for up to 1.7 million common shares, or just over 9.5% of our public float at the time of application.

And further, in September, we received approval from the NASDAQ to proceed with an NCIB on that exchange as well. As of October 31, of this year, we have repurchased an aggregate 195,300 shares under the NCIB program. I’d now like to turn the call back to David for some closing remarks. David.

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David Taylor: Thank you, Shawn. While we enter 2023 with considerable momentum and confidence in our ability to continue to generate strong growth in our loan portfolio that is in line with pre-2022 levels, we begin the year with nearly $3 billion in loans in our Canadian digital banking operations, and annual revenue run rate of nearly $100 million. At the same time, both Shawn and I discussed, we expect our non-interest expenses to decline meaningfully, as the expenses associated with the acquisition of the US bank and the setup of our receivable purchase program in the United States, come to an end. We expect that that will contribute to profitability margins on revenue that are in line with those prior to making these investments.

To be clear, this is just the starting point for fiscal 2023. Despite forecasts for moderation in consumer spending, we expect to generate continued strong growth in our Canadian point-of-sale business. While we expect it would be tough to repeat the 74% year-over-year growth that we saw in 2022, we do expect business with existing partners to expand along the additional – and to add additional partners, which should contribute to growth of this portfolio, in line with the very healthy pre 2022 levels. We also expect the investments we made in 2022, will provide meaningful additional upside to growth. We continue to be very encouraged by the limited launch of our receivable purchase program in the US, confirming both the value proposition of the offering, and the market opportunity, as we continue to plan for broad launch upon completion of our US bank acquisition, We expect to see strong profitable growth in revenue and gross profits in our cybersecurity business, as both DBG continues to expand its business activities with existing clients, while adding new clients.

As it grows, we expect our cybersecurity business to be increasingly accretive to the bank’s overall earnings. On the deposit side, we expect our low cost and solvency deposits to return to growth, expanding throughout fiscal 2023, as a function of an increase in the volume of consumer bankruptcy over the same timeframe, attributable primarily to the more challenging economic environment. We also expect to continue to expand our diverse broker network, which we source through personal wealth management deposits, mainly GICs, and expand our business with existing partners. Recent data from one of our major banking partners is bearing this out. Finally, and very importantly, as I noted earlier, VersaBank was designed specifically to perform well in any economic environment.

And as I noted earlier, the bank has a track record of performing even a little better in economic downturns. As our banking peers are hunkering down for difficult times, our low-risk model enables us to capitalize on opportunities that might not have otherwise been available to us. With that, I would like now like to open the call to questions. Operator, are you there?

Q&A Session

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Operator: Your first question comes from Greg MacDonald from LodeRock Research. Please go ahead.

Greg MacDonald: Thanks. Good morning, Shawn. Good morning, David. How are you, guys?

David Taylor: Very good, Greg. We’re here in London, Ontario today.

Greg MacDonald: Yes. Listen, I wanted to ask, there’s been a lot of discussion on net interest margins this quarter with earnings season. You made reference a little bit to it, David. I know that the mix of this bank’s a little different than what most banks in Canada have. Can you talk about a couple of things? One is, you make reference to the deposit mix, specifically bankruptcy deposits, and we haven’t really seen a whole lot of traction on that. Maybe that’s been surprising to some. Can you give us a sense of what you see in 2023 from that perspective? And then I have a second question on loan growth. The loan growth expectation on point-of-sale, I think it’s not a surprise to anyone. Is there anything that you’re seeing in the mix within point-of-sale that you can comment on? Or is that mix still relatively similar to what the growth in 2022 was? Thanks.

David Taylor: Sure. Good questions, Greg. With respect to our deposit mix yes, the deposits we received from the insolvency industry, are even a little lower than the previous year, and I think that is the result, well, I know that’s the result of the various support payments that our government made to help Canadians suffer with the – that were suffering with the pandemic. So, we’re coming off a 35-year low of insolvencies, and there’s a bit of a lag effect from that turning into deposits when the insolvencies increase. So, I expect that now, of course, the support payments have ended, interest rates are going up and it’s becoming more challenging an environment for – particularly for consumers and small businesses, that unfortunately, we’ll see a lot more insolvencies in Canada.

It will get back to sort of normal levels, maybe even exceed that, and that does bode well for us. It means that insolvency deposits will start growing again, and could very well get well to $1 billion. They’re at $600 million right now, been coming off of 35-year lows. So, the mix should, throughout 2023, increase in percentage to insolvency deposits. Now, with respect to loan growth, we’re not really seeing much of a reduction in our point-of-sale growth presently, although I do expect the higher interest rates will dampen the loan growth into 2023. The mix is primarily – small and primary, about two thirds that spend in home improvement and home type financing. And we love that business and it represents a low-risk segment of the market.

So, in 2023, slightly a little more emphasis on the home improvement side than there has been, but it is already a big business for us, and of course, we welcome it and that it is the lower risk segments of the point-of-sale market.

Greg MacDonald: And then with respect to the US market, this is an opportunity to grow in point-of-sale as well. I suspect the mix is a little bit different in the US, but any general comments on what you’re seeing in trends in the US market so far with respect to growth opportunities in that segment?

David Taylor: Well, there seems to be a tremendous growth opportunity. I guess a huge market I think – one figure we have is 1.8 trillion as opposed to Canada, maybe I’m going to chance at that, 5% of that maybe. So, a huge growth from size, and any one of the industries that we finance in Canada, we’d be happy to do in the States, it just by chance, the first one where we – the customer we got was a large tractor trailer financing company. And coincidentally, that was the very first customer we got in Canada too, and not the same company, but the same industry. It was a tractor trailer financing. So, I don’t really have a good sort of visibility on what segments we’ll grow most rapidly in. It’s just the market is so big and our product seems to be so attractive to these point-of-sale finance companies that once we’ve got our US bank, we expect really big growth in the States.

Greg MacDonald: Okay. Thanks for that. And then just a final one for me, and then I’ll pass it on, with respect to timing on bankruptcy deposit growth. Thank you for the reference point of a billion. Are you getting any indications from the trustees that you deal with in that side of things on timing? Is this something that you expect happening in the first half of the year or as I suspect, more so in the second half of the year?

David Taylor: Well, there’s – we’re all seeing the cracks in the economy right now. The trustees are seeing increased volume already. Other banks are reporting larger and larger provisions for losses. Their arrears rates are going up. So, it’s just the way you’d expect. We’re seeing the leading indicators. And so, I would say, second half of 2023, it’ll be growing like – unfortunately for Canadians, it’ll be growing like gangbusters. These deposits start pouring in the door as States are being wound up. So, towards the end of middle say 2023, you probably start seeing the type of growth we used to experience in this area.

Greg MacDonald: Okay. Thanks very much for answering the questions. I’ll pass it on. Thanks.

Operator: Thank you. . Your next question comes from Stephen Ranzini from University Bank. Please go ahead.

Stephen Ranzini: Good morning, David. Thank you for a great quarter. I’ve got several questions, but I’m just going to ask two and then go back in the queue. The last time we talked, you were thinking that you would have approval for your digital dollar project by the end of October. Obviously, that deadline’s come and gone. What are your current thoughts on that? And secondly, have you ever given any thought to off-balance sheet structures to hold some of your loans to be more capital-efficient and drive a higher ROE for the bank?

David Taylor: Well, Stephen, thanks for logging in. And I wonder, if you have just seen the fog and rainy weather that’s just gone through London here. I imagine you saw just a bit earlier than we did, or where you’re located.

Stephen Ranzini: Yes, it’s pretty gray here in Ann Arbor.

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