TSM Faces Currency Headwinds—Bernstein Trims Target, Maintains ‘Outperform’

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (NYSE:TSM) is one of the AI Stocks Making Waves on Wall Street. On July 9, Bernstein SocGen Group analyst Mark Moerdler lowered its price target on the stock to $249.00 from $251.00, while maintaining an “Outperform” rating on the stock. The firm quoted rapid foreign exchange movements as a reason behind the price target adjustment.

According to the firm, currency headwinds may create significant pressure on the company’s margins and revenues. It now assumes an exchange rate of 32.5 New Taiwan dollars to 1 U.S. dollar in Q2 2025 and 29 for Q3 2025 and beyond.

TSM Faces Currency Headwinds—Bernstein Trims Target, Maintains 'Outperform'

A close-up of a complex network of integrated circuits used in logic semiconductors.

These currency shifts are anticipated to drive 5% headwind versus Taiwan Semi’s guidance assumption in Q2 2025 and another 6% in Q3 2025. It also estimates foreign exchange pressure will impact Taiwan Semi’s revenue by approximately 5.5% in 2025 and another 4-4.5% in 2026 for the full year.

Nevertheless, the firm believes TSM’s fundamentals will improve despite currency challenges.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (NYSE:TSM) manufactures and sells advanced chips used in artificial intelligence applications.

While we acknowledge the risk and potential of TSM as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than TSM and that has 10,000% upside potential, check out our report about this cheapest AI stock.

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Disclosure: None.