Top 5 Stocks From This Niche Hedge Fund: SandRidge Energy Inc. (SD), Wyndham Worldwide Corporation (WYN) & More

TPG-Axon first launched in 2005 as a $2.8 billion joint venture between TPG (the private equity giant) and Dinakar Singh, a former top trader at Goldman Sachs. TPG-Axon now manages some $5.8 billion across both the public and private markets. For its publicly owned securities, the hedge fund is very concentrated, with around 40% of its portfolio invested in its top five stocks. As a result, the fund must have a lot of conviction in these top picks (check out all TPG’s stocks), so let’s check them out.

TPG-Axon’s top five

SandRidge (SD)SandRidge Energy Inc. (NYSE:SD). is now TPG’s number one stock holding after the fund increased its stake by 87% last quarter. The energy company now makes up 10.8% of the hedge fund. TPG-Axon has claimed that the company has underperformed due to strategic and management missteps. A recent “win” for the hedge fund includes its deal with the company to add four directors of their choosing to SandRidge Energy Inc. (NYSE:SD)’s board, who will then engage with an independent firm to review land deals by management.

The hedge fund believes SandRidge Energy Inc. (NYSE:SD) has a solid asset base, but the fundamental issue is management. TPG-Axon has also noted that it might be best is for an organization with a lower cost of capital to take over SandRidge’s asset base (read more about the SandRidge buyout).

Wyndham Worldwide Corporation (NYSE:WYN) is TPG’s second largest holding after the fund upped its stake in the company by 93%. The hotel stock posted fourth quarter results that beat consensus, while also upping its earnings guidance for 2013. The drag on the industry of late has been a slowdown in customer spending due to a sluggish economy, but this should turnaround as the economy strengthens, which in turn bodes well for Wyndham Worldwide Corporation (NYSE:WYN) (see how to best trade the lodging stocks in 2013).

The hotel stock also pays a 1.85% dividend yield. Although the dividend yield is modest, Wyndham Worldwide Corporation (NYSE:WYN) has showed commitment to returning cash to shareholders with its 26% dividend payment hike during the fourth quarter. What’s more is that its positive cash flow generating capabilities should make it possible for the company to up its dividend throughout the coming years. Management expects to generate upwards of $750 million in cash flow each year going forward versus the $700 million generated in 2012.

GNC Holdings Inc (NYSE:GNC)

was one of TPG’s biggest increases, at 190% last quarter, and now makes up the fund’s third largest holding. GNC is the specialty retailer of nutritional products including vitamins and supplements. Soft employment and weak consumer spending have previously put pressure on the industry, but a rebounding economy should help lift the stock. S&P estimates that total consumer spending will advance 2.5% in 2013, up from the 1.9% in 2012.
The real draw to GNC is its industry-leading position, with over 6,000 stores, compared to top peer Vitamin Shoppe, which has only 500. GNC owns only 8% of the $29 billion vitamin market, leaving tons of room to grow (check out why billionaire Steve Cohen is getting nutritious).
The dollar store company Dollar General Corp. (NYSE:DG). was another big increase for TPG-Axon, at 183% last quarter, and is ranked fourth by holding size in TPG’s portfolio. Dollar General is one of the top discount retailers in the U.S. Last quarter the company posted EPS that was up nicely year over year, with EPS of $0.63, compared to $0.50 for the same quarter last year, on the back of 4.0% higher same-store sales and a 10% rise in total sales.
Dollar General is expected to see same store sale growth of 3.8% in 2013 and add some 550 new stores. While the company expects to generate higher traffic and sales from offering more consumable products, it also plans to increase its health and beauty offerings. The company has not only been great at increasing traffic and growing store count, but also increasing average price per customer. The company has managed to increase sales per square foot from $163 in 2007 to $213 in 2012 (read about all the dollar stores posed for growth).
Spirit Realty Capital Inc (NYSE:SRC) is TPG’s fifth largest holding after the stock IPO’ed during the fourth quarter of last year; the real estate investment trust was previously backed by TPG-Axon and Macquarie Group as a private company.  Spirit is a self-managed real estate investment trust investing in single-tenant real estate in the U.S. The REIT tends to focus on triple net leases for restaurants, retailers, fitness centers, auto dealers and movie theaters.
Over 98% of the company’s assets are free-standing triple-net properties, with the weighted average lease term for the portfolio at over 11 years. However, the REIT pays a mere 0.41% dividend yield, but recent news show that the company plans to merge with Cole Credit Property Trust II. This will give the combined company an interest in over 2,000 properties in 48 states. Although Cole Credit will be the majority owner of the new company with a 56% stake, Spirit management will run the company. This should be a long-term positive for the REIT and allow the combined company to pay a much higher dividend yield.
Don’t be fooled

TPG-Axon has taken an activist role in battling SandRidge Energy Inc. (NYSE:SD) to rearrange management and hopefully unlock value for shareholders. TPG-Axon has the support of a few heavy hitters in the hedge fund industry backing them, including billionaire Leon Copperman, who bought up 24 million shares during the fourth quarter, and Fairfax Financial now owns 32 million after upping their stake 650% in 4Q. Other big bets hinge on a rebounding economy and consumer spending, including Wyndham Worldwide Corporation (NYSE:WYN) and GNC.  However, TPG-Axon’s bet on Dollar General should perform well despite the economic backdrop. Also, its investment in Spirit will hopefully pay out with higher dividends in the near future.

The article Top 5 Stocks From This Niche Hedge Fund originally appeared on Fool.com and is written by Marshall Hargrave.

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