The Future of Barnes & Noble, Inc. (BKS)

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A critically acclaimed dud

Fighting a tough battle against a fragmented market of tablet makers has been exhausting for the company. Despite positive reviews for its 7-inch and 9-inch Nook HD tablets, the Nook’s unit revenue plunged 12.6% to $311 million during the holiday season, as increased demand for Apple, Samsung and Amazon tablets stole its thunder.

The New York Times reported that Barnes & Noble executives were planning to “move away” from manufacturing and selling its Nook devices, and “focus more on licensing its content to other device makers.” In other words, the company now plans to abandon its tablet business and offer Nook Apps on more popular platforms, such as iOS, Android or Windows 8, and possibly forge stronger partnerships with tablet makers such as Microsoft and Samsung.

Fundamentals versus competitors

Barnes & Noble no longer has any true competitors. It absorbed its only real industry rival, Borders, in Feburary 2011. Since then, it mainly competes against Amazon and the much smaller Books-A-Million, Inc. (NASDAQ:BAMM). Just how does Barnes & Noble measure up fundamentally against these peers?

Forward P/E 5-year PEG Price to Sales (ttm) Debt to Equity Return on Equity (ttm) Profit Margin
Barnes & Noble N/A 0.07 0.11 38.82 -4.35% -0.62%
Amazon 73.32 4.50 1.97 53.53 -0.49% -0.06%
Books-A-Million N/A N/A 0.07 46.36 1.82% 0.39%

Source: Yahoo Finance

The fundamentals for these three companies are all over the map – but one thing remains constant across the board – books aren’t a terribly profitable business. Although Barnes & Noble and Books-A-Million look fundamentally undervalued, they also lack any spark for strong forward growth.

Looking at Amazon’s scattered fundamentals, you may also wonder how Amazon survives. Amazon, however, should be measured like a wholesale retailer that sells at huge volumes at paper-thin margins. In that case, it’s all about revenue.

BKS Revenue TTM data by YCharts

In this respect, Amazon is a beast. With its global presence and wide variety of products, Amazon is the first stop of many online shoppers. But when we take a look at diluted EPS growth over the past five years, a different story emerges.

BKS EPS Diluted TTM data by YCharts

Amazon wasn’t even profitable in its most recent quarter. Yet the market is usually very forgiving of Amazon’s missteps, since it is considered a more visionary, long-term investment, while brick-and-mortar big box retailers like Barnes & Noble are considered outdated and doomed. As we can see from this chart, that isn’t a fair generalization. Although Barnes & Noble and Books-A-Million are posting some bleak profits, they have definitely shown signs of bottoming out.

The Foolish Bottom Line

Barnes & Noble shouldn’t be considered a value stock. Its fundamentals are shabby and it has demonstrated poor growth potential in the past. The company is still on the ropes and being pounded by Amazon, Apple, Samsung and Google without a single chance to retaliate. However, Riggio’s proposed buyout could be a turning point for the company. Its Nook business, while troubled, could be a promising product on its own, while Barnes & Noble could continue concentrating its efforts on reviving its retail operations without fighting high-tech wars with better financed rivals. Lastly, with a market cap of less than $1 billion, Barnes & Noble could be a tasty takeover target for any major tech company looking to boost its book, tablet and e-reader offerings.

The article The Future of Barnes & Noble originally appeared on Fool.com and is written by Leo Sun.

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