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Sea Limited (SE) Jumped 15%, But Can the Rally Last?

Sea Limited (NYSE:SE) shares jumped as much as 14.8% on August 11 after the company posted second-quarter 2026 results that beat revenue expectations even as profit growth cooled. Revenue climbed 48% year-over-year to $7.8 billion, and all three of Sea’s businesses, e-commerce arm Shopee, fintech unit Monee, and gaming division Garena, grew by double digits. That kind of across-the-board strength is rare, and it’s why investors bid the stock up so sharply in a single session.

Bull Case: Three Engines Firing At Once

Shopee delivered its eighth consecutive quarter of sequential growth, with GMV up 28% year-over-year to $38.3 billion. Ad revenue jumped more than 70%, ad take rate improved by more than 90 basis points, and average monthly new active buyers rose more than 35% year-over-year, a sharp acceleration from prior quarters. Shopee’s adjusted EBITDA climbed 12% to $255 million, and CEO Forrest Li said the company is optimistic about hitting $1 billion in full-year adjusted EBITDA for the segment. Brazil remained Sea’s fastest-growing market, with nearly 500 new official brand sellers onboarded and Shopee Mall GMV more than doubling year over year.

Monee’s loan book reached $11.1 billion, up 62% year-over-year, according to CFO Hou Tianyu, while the 90-day nonperforming loan ratio held steady at just 1%. Non-GAAP revenue for the segment rose 59% to $1.4 billion. Garena wasn’t left behind either, with bookings up 15% to $764 million and adjusted EBITDA up 17% to $430 million, powered by Free Fire’s more than 100 million daily active users and two newly announced titles, Palworld Online and Monster Hunter Outlanders, aimed at broadening the game portfolio.

Bear Case: The Profit Picture Is Messier

Net income rose just 11% year-over-year to $458 million, and adjusted EPS of $0.70 missed the $0.86 consensus estimate even as revenue beat. Income tax expense jumped to $251 million in the quarter from $144 million in the second quarter of 2025, a meaningful drag on the bottom line. Zoom out further, and the gap looks even wider: first half 2026 profit grew only 7% to $869 million despite revenue climbing 48% to $14.9 billion, evidence that Sea is choosing to reinvest heavily rather than let growth flow straight through to earnings.

There was also insider activity to note. COO Ye Gang sold 40,000 shares for about $4.6 million across August 7 and August 10, at a weighted average price of $113.88, under a Rule 10b5-1 plan adopted September 4, 2025. The sale covered a small slice of his roughly 21.6 million share stake and was pre-scheduled, but it came just before shares had fallen 22% over the trailing year as of Aug. 10, 2026, right before the earnings pop reversed part of that decline.

What The Numbers Around The Stock Say

The number of hedge funds holding Sea fell from 113 to 86 last quarter, pointing to funds trimming rather than adding. Short interest sits at just 3.75% of float, a modest level suggesting little organized betting against the stock. Shares trade at 39.53 times forward earnings as of August 12, a multiple that assumes the growth investors just saw keeps going.

So Where Does That Leave Investors?

The quarter gave both sides plenty to work with. Bulls can point to 48% revenue growth spread across three profitable, growing businesses and a Shopee unit closing in on $1 billion of annual EBITDA. Bears can point to a shrinking pool of hedge fund owners, a profit growth rate that lagged revenue by a wide margin, and a valuation that leaves little room for a stumble.

While we acknowledge the risk and potential of SE as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than SE and that has 10,000% upside potential, check out our report about this cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: 10 Best Future Stocks to Buy Under $10 and 12 Best Performing Semiconductor Stocks to Invest In.

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Dr. Ian Dogan

Co-Founder and Research Director at Insider Monkey

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Dr. Ian Dogan

Co-Founder and Research Director at Insider Monkey

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