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Renaissance Technologies Portfolio: Top 10 Stock Picks

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This article looks at the top 10 stock picks from the Renaissance Technologies portfolio.

The American quant hedge fund Renaissance Technologies is known for using statistical and mathematical tools to drive its investment programs. It was founded in 1982 by Jim Simons, a mathematician who worked as a code breaker for the US National Security Agency during the Cold War. As of December 31, Renaissance Technologies had a portfolio valued at over $67.5 billion.

READ ALSO: Cathie Wood’s Stock Portfolio: 2025 Stock Picks and Jim Cramer’s February Portfolio: Top 10 Stocks.

Simons was among the pioneers of quantitative investing. He had an estimated net worth of $31.4 billion at the time of his death in May last year, making him the 51st richest person in the world at the time. His use of mathematical models and algorithms to drive long-term investment returns earned him a legacy that rivaled the likes of Warren Buffett and George Soros.

The Renaissance founder stepped down from active hedge fund management in 2010 and resigned as its executive chairman in 2021. The firm is now headed by Peter Brown, who has a strong educational background in mathematics and computer sciences. His father, Henry B.R. Brown invented the Reserve Primary Fund in 1970, the first money market fund to be established.

Brown is committed to using mathematical models to discover and unlock the value of stocks in the market. 2024 was a strong year for Renaissance Technologies. According to a report on Business Insider, the two funds that are open to investors—Renaissance Institutional Equities Fund (RIEF) and Renaissance Institutional Diversified Alpha (RIDA)—delivered double-digit returns of 22.7% and 15.6%, respectively.

Its signature Medallion fund performed even better, with a 30% gain, outperforming the broader market by nearly seven percentage points. Medallion was closed to outside investors in 1993 and has since then only been available to past and current employees, and their families. The fund generated average annual returns of 66% for three decades between 1988 and 2018, resulting in over $100 billion in profits during the period. This earned Medallion the reputation of being one of the most successful investment portfolios of all time.

On February 13, Renaissance Technologies filed a portfolio update, reflecting its holdings for the fourth quarter of 2024. The 13F SEC filings revealed significant changes in the portfolio, including a substantial reduction of stake in a leading technology conglomerate and increased investments in Asia-based artificial intelligence companies during the quarter.

With that said, let’s now head over and see the top 10 stock picks from the Renaissance Technologies portfolio.

Jim Simons of Renaissance Technologies

Our Methodology:

We scanned Renaissance Technologies’ 13F portfolio, as of December 31, 2024. From there, we picked the top 10 stocks according to their stake value and ranked them in ascending order.

Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 363.5% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 208 percentage points (see more details here).

Renaissance Technologies Portfolio: Top 10 Stock Picks

10. Gilead Sciences, Inc. (NASDAQ:GILD)

Stake Value as of Q4 2024: $492,308,361

Gilead Sciences, Inc. (NASDAQ:GILD) is a biopharmaceutical company engaged in the development of medicines to prevent and treat various life-threatening diseases, including HIV, viral hepatitis, and cancer. It is among the top stocks from the Renaissance Technologies portfolio, with the hedge fund having investments valued at over $492.3 million in the company.

On February 18, the company announced that the FDA had accepted its new drug application submission for its HIV prevention treatment, Lenacapavir, with a target action date of June 19, 2025, to review the applications. If approved, this would be the first-ever twice-yearly HIV prevention choice. Analysts expect the drug to reach peak annual sales of $3 billion to $4 billion.

During its Q4 2024 earnings call on February 11, Gilead Sciences, Inc. (NASDAQ:GILD) reported an 8% year-over-year growth in its base business product sales for 2024. Full-year revenue stood at $28.8 billion, up 6% from last year, driven by higher sales in HIV, liver disease, and oncology. Non-GAAP diluted EPS was logged at $4.62, down from $6.72 in 2023, due to an increase in income tax expense and higher acquired IPR&D expenses from the CymaBay acquisition.

In February last year, Gilead Sciences, Inc. (NASDAQ:GILD) expanded its liver portfolio with the $4.3 billion acquisition of CymaBay Therapeutics, Inc., a leading pharmaceutical company focused on treatments of patients with liver and other chronic diseases. The addition of Seladelpar to treat primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) complements the company’s existing liver portfolio and aligns with its quest to bring transformational medicines to patients.

Gilead Sciences, Inc. (NASDAQ:GILD) is committed to strong shareholder returns and recently declared a 2.6% increase in its quarterly cash dividend, beginning Q1 2025. Wall Street analysts are bullish on the stock, with a consensus Buy rating. Investor sentiment continues to improve as well. According to Insider Monkey’s database for Q4 2024, 74 hedge funds held a stake in the company, up from 59 at the end of the third quarter.

9. Exelixis, Inc. (NASDAQ:EXEL)

Stake Value as of Q4 2024: $509,352,305

Exelixis, Inc. (NASDAQ:EXEL) is engaged in the development of medicines and regimens for difficult-to-treat cancers. The oncology company is rapidly evolving its product portfolio to target a growing range of tumor types. Some of its key products include CABOMETYX, a drug for advanced renal cell carcinoma (RCC); and COMETRIQ capsules to treat progressive and metastatic medullary thyroid cancer.

The company recently announced the final five-year results from a trial evaluating the combination of CABOMETYX and Opdivo, compared to sunitinib, for previously untreated advanced-stage RCC. The findings demonstrated improved progression-free survival and overall survival, with long-term efficacy seen across subgroups.

On February 11, Exelixis, Inc. (NASDAQ:EXEL) reported strong results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024. Revenue for the quarter was $567 million, while it stood at $2.17 billion for the year, up 18.2% and 18.5%, respectively, from the comparable periods. The growth was driven by increases in sales volume and average net selling price. Non-GAAP net income for 2024 was posted at $593.6 million, more than doubling from last year.

Exelixis, Inc. (NASDAQ:EXEL) also provided an update on the pipeline highlights from the quarter. It is seeing encouraging results from a trial evaluating Zanzalintinib in metastatic colorectal cancer. The company has also initiated a clinical trial to evaluate XL495 in patients with advanced solid tumors.

Positive trial results coupled with robust financial performance have led to a bullish sentiment around the stock. According to Insider Monkey’s database for Q4 2024, 46 hedge funds held a stake in Exelixis, Inc. (NASDAQ:EXEL), improving from 33 at the end of the third quarter. Riverwater Partners Sustainable Value Strategy stated the following regarding the company in its Q4 2024 investor letter:

Exelixis, Inc. (NASDAQ:EXEL) is a commercial-stage oncology company focused on developing therapies for cancer; its blockbuster commercial asset, Cabozantinib, derived ~$2B in global revenues in 2023 and 2024. The company also has a compelling early-stage pipeline. EXEL is not in the business of me-too programs and trying to get FDA results that are just good enough; FDA approval is the starting line, not the finish line. EXEL manages its portfolio of current and prospective drug candidates to drive innovation to improve the standard of care for patients, having found that generating differentiated data that moves the standard of care is what drives value for patients and EXEL over the long-term. The stock trades at a below-the-market multiple and a 25% discount to its five-year average forward valuation.

Exelixis, Inc. (NASDAQ:EXEL) is also one of the top stock picks from the Renaissance Technologies portfolio, with holdings of over $509 million, as of December 31, 2024.

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The $250 Trillion AI Hype is Real. A few years from now, you’ll probably wish you’d bought this stock.

When Jeff Bezos said that one breakthrough technology would shape Amazon’s destiny, even Wall Street’s biggest analysts were caught off guard.

Fast forward a year and Amazon’s new CEO Andy Jassy described generative AI as a “once-in-a-lifetime” technology that is already being used across Amazon to reinvent customer experiences.

At the 8th Future Investment Initiative conference, Elon Musk predicted that by 2040 there would be at least 10 billion humanoid robots, with each priced between $20,000 and $25,000.

Do the math. According to Musk, this technology could be worth $250 trillion by 2040.

Put another way, that’s roughly equal to:

  • 175 Teslas
  • 107 Amazons
  • 140 Metas
  • 84 Googles
  • 65 Microsofts
  • And 55 Nvidias

And here’s the wild part — this $250 trillion wave isn’t tied to one company, but to an entire ecosystem of AI innovators set to reshape the global economy.

It’s a leap so massive, it could reshape how businesses, governments, and consumers operate worldwide.

Even if that $250 trillion figure sounds ambitious, major firms like PwC and McKinsey still see AI unlocking multi-trillion-dollar potential.

How could anything be worth that much?

The answer lies in a breakthrough so powerful it’s redefining how humanity works, learns, and creates.

And this breakthrough has already set off a frenzy among hedge funds and Wall Street’s top investors.

What most investors don’t realize is that one under-owned company holds the key to this $250 trillion revolution.

In fact, Verge argues this company’s supercheap AI technology should concern rivals.

Before I reveal the details, let’s talk about how some of the richest people on the planet are positioning themselves.

  • Bill Gates sees artificial intelligence as the “biggest technological advance in my lifetime,” more transformative than the internet or personal computer, capable of improving healthcare, education, and addressing climate change.
  • Larry Ellison — through Oracle, is spending billions on Nvidia chips and partnering with Cohere to embed generative AI across Oracle’s cloud and apps.
  • Warren Buffett — not known for tech hype — says this breakthrough could have a ‘hugely beneficial social impact.

When billionaires from Silicon Valley to Wall Street line up behind the same idea — you know it’s worth paying attention to.

Even as we admire what Tesla, Nvidia, Alphabet, and Microsoft have built, we believe an even greater opportunity lies elsewhere…

But the real story isn’t Nvidia — it’s a much smaller company quietly improving the critical technology that makes this entire revolution possible.

And judging by what I’m hearing from both Silicon Valley insiders and Wall Street veterans…

This prediction might not be bold at all:

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