In the hedge fund world, 13F filing season is here, and we’re bringing you up-to-date coverage of this situation. While hedgies’ 13F filings are reported to the SEC with a 45-day delay, this actually improves investors’ ability to beat the market because, on average, fund managers are early into their investments. Our research has shown that hedge funds’ top consensus picks beat the market significantly (see the details of our market-beating strategy), so let’s take a look at one particular manager’s latest fourth quarter moves.
With assets under management north of $142 billion, Bridgewater Associates is one of the largest hedge funds in the world. Ray Dalio founded Bridgewater in 1973, and now serves as the fund’s co-CIO, taking the title of “Mentor.” In total, Dalio’s 13F equity portfolio of about $10 billion is rather small in comparison to his total asset base, though it still holds plenty of “monkeying “ material with over 200 stocks.
Last year, Ray Dalio had limited exposure to mining stocks, and two of his only holdings in this space were in Freeport McMoRan Copper & Gold (NYSE:FCX) and Newmont Mining Corp (NYSE:NEM). In the fourth quarter, though, Dalio and his fund upped their exposure significantly, increasing their positions in this duo by an average of 292.3%, while taking new stakes in Barrick Gold Corporation (NYSE:ABX), Goldcorp Inc. (NYSE:GG), Yamana Gold Inc. (NYSE:AUY), Kinross Gold Corporation (NYSE:KGC), Eldorado Gold Corp (NYSE:EGO) and Agnico-Eagle Mines Limited (NYSE:AEM).
Including Bridgewater’s new positions in Silver Wheaton Corp. (NYSE:SLW) and Pan American Silver Corp. (NASDAQ:PAAS), which have exposure to gold streams along with their silver assets, the hedge fund’s 13F portfolio now has over $35 million invested in mining stocks. Logically speaking, this bullishness is likely motivated by central banks’ penchant for monetary expansion, though it’s important to note that almost all of the fund’s movement in this space has occurred in the last few months (see what fellow gold bull John Paulson is buying).
At the end of the third quarter, The Chubb Corporation (NYSE:CB) was one of Dalio and Bridgewater’s smallest holdings, accounting for a little over $400,000 worth of its 13F capital. Three months later, however, the insurer has grown to a $7.8 million position in the hedge fund, sitting just outside the top quartile of its portfolio; this 1,685% boost was the largest increase of its kind in the fourth quarter.
After breaking through the $80 mark last October, shares of Chubb experienced a slight selloff in the face of Hurricane Sandy-related uncertainties. While we are unable to determine exactly when Dalio upped his stake in Chubb, this November swoon may have provided a buying opportunity.
Since the start of 2013, Chubb’s stock price has recovered, rising more than 10%, and now rests just a couple of dollars off its all-time high of $85. The insurer recently beat Wall Street’s fourth quarter earnings expectations, and current-year guidance is 2%-8% higher than analysts’ consensus. A dividend yield north of 1.9% makes Chubb one of just five S&P 500-listed property & casualty insurers to offer a payout above this mark (see all of the hedge funds bullish on Chubb).
Was Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC) involved in any of the moves Dalio was making last quarter?