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NetEase’s (NTES) Old Hits Are Still Doing The Heavy Lifting

On August 20, NetEase (NASDAQ:NTES) reported second-quarter results that leaned almost entirely on games the company launched years, not months, ago. Total net revenue reached RMB 30.1 billion, up 7.9% year over year, and the games and related value-added services unit again did most of the pulling, climbing 9.7% to RMB 25 billion. The headline number was steady growth. The more interesting story was how much of that growth showed up in the profit line rather than just the top line.

The Old Hits Are Still Grinding

Online games revenue rose 10% year over year to RMB 24.5 billion, and NetEase credited the gain to franchises that have been around for a while rather than a single breakout hit. Sword of Justice pulled in more than 10 million active players on the launch day of its New World anniversary update, pushing concurrent users to a two-year high after the introduction of a new region called Dali. Eggy Party crossed 700 million registered users while holding monthly actives above 100 million, and the game has paid out RMB 200 million in cumulative creator rewards, evidence that its user-generated content ecosystem is still functioning as a retention engine rather than a novelty.

Gross margin in the games segment jumped to 76.1% from 70.2% a year earlier, driven by lower revenue-sharing costs, which explains why gross profit grew 17.5%, more than double the pace of revenue. Outside China, Where Winds Meet added an Xbox launch in June and kept Steam reviews above 87%, while Marvel Rivals took the top-seller spot in the United States and other regions after its summer festival content dropped. Youdao and NetEase Cloud Music added smaller but real contributions, with Youdao’s gross margin climbing to 48.9% from 43.0% as its Confucius 4 language model rolled out, and Cloud Music holding a DAU-to-MAU ratio above 30% through the first half of the year.

Where The Growth Gets Complicated

The quarter’s biggest wrinkle sits below the operating line. Non-GAAP net income fell to RMB 7.7 billion, and NetEase attributed the year-over-year decline to investment losses even as revenue, gross profit, and margins all moved higher. That is a reminder that a gaming company’s reported earnings can swing on financial line items that have nothing to do with how many people are playing its games.

There is also a fresher execution problem. In discussing the July launch of Sea of Remnants, management acknowledged the company “did not sufficiently lower the learning curve for players in the early stages,” which hurt the initial player experience, a rare admission of a stumble on a new title NetEase is counting on for its global rollout. Online games revenue also slipped 2% quarter over quarter on softness in certain self-developed and licensed titles, a wrinkle the year-over-year comparison hides. Meanwhile, the innovative businesses segment, which includes e-commerce, shrank 3.5% year over year, and the two non-gaming growth bets, Youdao and Cloud Music, still bring in a combined RMB 3.5 billion against the games unit’s RMB 25 billion, leaving the company’s fortunes tied overwhelmingly to hit rates in a single business line.

Where Wall Street Stands Now

Hedge fund ownership climbed from 23 funds to 33 in the most recent quarter, a jump that points to institutions adding positions rather than trimming them. Short interest sits at just 0.95% of float, which suggests almost no organized bet against the stock right now. At the same time, shares trade at a forward P/E of just 14.16, as of August 26, a modest multiple for a company that just posted double-digit gross profit growth.

What The Next Few Quarters Will Test

NetEase’s quarter shows a company whose margins are improving faster than its revenue, funded by legacy franchises that keep finding new ways to stay relevant. The open question is whether that formula travels to new titles like Sea of Remnants and the upcoming Ananta, given management’s own admission about onboarding friction. For the bulls, continued margin expansion and a growing net cash pile of RMB 167.5 billion, alongside an active $5 billion buyback, offer patience while new IP matures.

READ NEXT: 10 Best Future Stocks to Buy Under $10 and 12 Best Performing Semiconductor Stocks to Invest In.

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