Navient Corporation (NASDAQ:NAVI) Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

Navient Corporation (NASDAQ:NAVI) Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript October 25, 2023

Navient Corporation misses on earnings expectations. Reported EPS is $0.47 EPS, expectations were $0.81.

Operator: Good day. And welcome to the Navient Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. After the speaker’s presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today’s conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Jen Earyes, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Jen Earyes: Thank you, Abigail. Hello, good morning and welcome to Navient’s earnings call for the third quarter of 2023. With me today are Dave Yowan, Navient’s CEO, and Joe Fisher, Navient’s CFO. After their prepared remarks, we’re going to open the call up for questions. You can view and download presentation slides, including slides you may find useful during this call on navient.com/investors. Before we begin, keep in mind our discussion will contain predictions expectations, forward-looking statements and other information about our business that is based on management’s current expectations as of the date of this presentation. Actual results in the future may be materially different from those discussed here.

This could be due to a variety of factors. Listeners should refer to the discussion of those factors on the company’s Form 10-K and other filings with the SEC. During this conference call, we will refer to non-GAAP financial measures including core earnings, adjustable tangible equity ratio and other various non-GAAP financial measures that are also derived from core earnings. Our GAAP results and description of our non-GAAP financial measures can be found in the third quarter 2023 earnings release which is also posted on navient.com/investor. You will find more information about these measures beginning on Page 18 of Navient’s third quarter 2023 earnings release. There’s also a full reconciliation of core earnings to GAAP included in the disclosure.

Thank you. And I will now turn the call over to Dave.

Dave Yowan: Thanks, Jen. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining the call and for your interest in Navient. Our results for the quarter reflect our strong foundation of assets and capabilities as well as initial actions we are taking to deliver more value to shareholders. We received consistent net interest margins and credit performance, generated strong revenue growth in traditional business processing services and lowered our operating expense. Last quarter, I discussed the in-depth and holistic review of our entire business. I’m pleased to report that this important work is well underway and we’re making substantial progress. You’ll see some of the actions we’ve already taken reflected in our results this quarter.

Core earnings for the quarter were $0.47 per share. Excluding significant items, core earnings were $0.84 per share. We’ve taken a $45 million accrual, or $0.28 per share, in connection with the CFPB litigation. We accrued for legal matters as required based on developments over the quarter. We remain confident about the strength of our case. At the same time, we’re open to finding a solution that’s acceptable to all parties to put this matter behind us. In addition, as part of our regular quarterly review of critical accounting assumptions, we updated certain accounting assumptions in the third quarter. These updates slightly reduced our overall results. Joe will highlight the impacts to individual line items in his remarks. We remain focused on helping our borrowers who have federally-owned student loans successfully navigate the resumption of payments, which includes helping them identify and access various repayment options.

While it’s still early days, we have not yet seen significant changes to repayment patterns on loans we hold. Let me turn to our in-depth review. As I mentioned, while the bulk of the review work remains ongoing, initial insights led us to take some initial important actions. For example, we’ve reduced the substantial capital investment we have planned to make this year in in-school originations, and we’re evaluating ways to reduce capital intensity and generate higher returns in this activity. I’ll talk more about this action shortly. The scope of the reviews are comprehensive and being conducted with an open mind and a critical eye. There’s no part of our business exempt from a hard look and a set of tough questions. We’re also evaluating opportunities to variablize costs across several parts of our business, including within our loan servicing activities.

There are several cross-functional teams across multiple work streams, each grounded in the ultimate goal of identifying and evaluating a range of alternatives to deliver greater value to our shareholders. The executive team and I are managing the effort with regular and frequent updates and clear oversight from our board. We’re pleased with the progress we’ve made in identifying and evaluating alternatives, and in certain instances, beginning to take actions. We look forward to continuing to provide updates as we move forward. Let me now discuss loan originations and the actions I took. We originated $204 million of in-school loans during the quarter, bringing our year-to-date total to $292 million. The year-to-date total is flat to last year.

This reflects actions we took to reduce loan acquisition spending, the overall interest rate environment, and changes in interest rates on federal student loans. Our plans for the year had included an ambitious in-school loan origination growth target. That target required a substantial and long-term commitment of capital for loan acquisition costs, to establish life of loan loss reserves, and equity and unsealed debt capital. I needed to be more confident that we could achieve our targeted returns before committing that capital. As a result, I implemented a reduction in our in-school acquisition spending during the third quarter. We also adjusted our pricing in the marketplace during the third quarter to improve our margins. We took these two steps while remaining disciplined about maintaining high credit quality.

These actions impacted our volume. Our in-school origination volumes also reflect a changing mix between graduate and undergraduate students. Our lending to undergraduate students grew 22% year-to-date, compared to the same period last year, to 163 million. At the same time, our graduate volume, which represents a higher percentage than the overall in-school market, was down. There was a much smaller difference this year compared to last year, in the rate of a federal graduate loan compared to a private loan, which was another contributing factor to our graduate volume being down. We have confidence in our capabilities and in the opportunities in the in-school market. We’re evaluating ways to enhance capital efficiency. We believe that we can grow steadily and sustainably with margins and credit quality that deliver appropriate returns.

Our refi originations during the quarter were $178 million, bringing our year-to-date total to $456 million. As we’ve discussed previously, the addressable market in refi is driven primarily by interest rates. While we experienced a modest increase in interest in refinancing from federal borrowers as the government payment resumption date approached, we continue to view the opportunity in refi originations to remain more limited than in prior years until rates declined significantly. Our business processing solutions segment had a strong quarter. Revenue from traditional services increased 33% year-over-year. This segment’s growing organically with very low capital requirements. The trends we’re seeing in many of our target markets are encouraging and our pipeline of potential new business is promising.

In the healthcare space, we’re seeing renewed post-pandemic interest by medical systems and other healthcare providers. Our extend healthcare affiliate has strong credentials to navigate the increasing complexity of claims processing while providing clients with lower costs and increased cash flows. Within government services, we’ve grown by achieving a high percentage of contract renewals, winning new business, and applying our capabilities to new types of clients. We provide on the channel contact centers that allow federal agencies, states, municipalities, tolling and parking authorities to better serve their constituents and manage revenue streams. To close out my remarks, we’ve achieved strong results this past quarter. While continuing to execute well against our plans for the year, we also have taken initial actions resulting from the review of our businesses and we’re making great progress on ways in which we can deliver more.

We look forward to providing a comprehensive update on our review as soon as possible. I want to acknowledge and thank my colleagues across the organization who make it possible to deliver these results while also focusing on ways to deliver greater value to shareholders. With that, I will turn it over to Joe for a review of this quarter’s results and I look forward to your questions later in the call.

Joe Fisher: Thank you, Dave, and thank you to everyone on today’s call for your interest in Navient. During my prepared remarks, I will review the third quarter results for 2023 and provide updated guidance for the remainder of the year. Key highlights from the quarter beginning on slide three include third quarter GAAP EPS of $0.65 and core EPS of $0.47, which contains significant items that reduced earnings by $58 million for $0.37 that I will discuss in greater detail as I review our segment results. FFELP NIM of 152 basis points, consumer lending NIM of 317 basis points, originations of $382 million, business processing revenues of $85 million with an EBITDA margin of 15%, and overall efficiency ratio of 49%. We maintained an adjusted tangible equity ratio of 8.7% while returning $94 million to shareholders through dividends and repurchases.

I’ll provide additional detail by segment beginning with federal education loans on slide four. As part of the quarterly review of our critical accounting assumptions, we updated our assumptions to reflect longer remaining life expectations on the portfolio. The increase in expected remaining loan terms resulted in slower premium amortization and increased both the FFELP NIM and provision in the quarter. The FFELP NIM of 152 basis points benefited from the revised estimate by $48 million for 45 basis points. After adjusting for this, our net interest margin was 107 basis points, which is in line with our expectations of 100 to 110 basis points for the full year. Partially offsetting the benefit to NIM from the extension of the FFELP portfolio was an increase in provision of $36 million as a greater amount of loan premium will need to be charged off in the future.

Delinquencies declined to 16.8% from 18.6% with forbearances flat year-over-year. Net charge-offs increased to 19 basis points and are consistent with our expectation of 10 to 20 basis points for the full year. So let’s turn to our consumer lending segment on slide five. We are seeing a slowdown in prepayment speeds in our private education refinance portfolio as borrowers with fixed interest rates have less of an incentive to refinance in the current higher rate environment. The resulting increase in the expected life of loan and its impact on loan premium amortization benefited the consumer lending them by $10 million for 21 basis points in the quarter. Adjusting for this benefit, we saw a net interest margin of 296 basis points, which is above our expectations of 280 to 290 basis points for the year.

Another significant item was a reduction in our expected recovery rate on previously charged off loans. This reduction contributed to $29 million over $36 million in total provision expenses for the quarter. Our credit performed as expected as charge-off rates improved to 1.66% from 2.01% from a year ago with stable late-stage delinquencies and forbearances. In the quarter, we originated $382 million of private education loans. This was comprised of $178 million of refinanced loan origination volume and $204 million of new in-school origination volume. Our in-school volume was driven in large part by the factors that Dave discussed. Our focus on generating high-quality loans at traditional four-year not-for-profit institutions with efficient acquisition costs and targeted margins.

Turning to allowance for loan losses and related coverage on slide six, we remain confident that we are adequately reserved for the expected life of loan losses given the well-seasoned and high credit quality of our portfolio. At the end of the third quarter, our allowance for loan losses was just under $1.1 billion for our entire education loan portfolio. While early indicators are positive, we continue to remain cautious in our outlook as borrowers with over $1.5 trillion in education loan balances that are not on our balance sheet but held by the U.S. government have begun making payments on their federal loans. And while the portfolio is primarily amortizing, we reserve $36 million for the FFELP loans related largely to a projected extension in the life of the portfolio and $36 million for private education loans of which $12 million is related to new origination volume and $29 million is related to the recovery adjustment I mentioned earlier in my remarks, which was partially offset by a $5 million release.

Let’s continue to slide seven to review our business processing segment. Total revenue increased $6 million to $85 million as revenue from our traditional BPS services increased $21 million or 33%. More than fully offsetting revenue associated with pandemic-related contracts from a year ago. Our EBITDA margin was 15% in the quarter and has steadily increased since the beginning of the year as we benefit from ongoing efficiency initiatives and the on boarding of new government services contracts. Turn to our capital allocation and financing activity that is highlighted on slide eight. We continue to maintain discipline, asset liability and capital management strategies with 84% of our education loan portfolio funded to term. Our adjusted tangible equity ratio of 8.7% is in line with our targeted range of 8% to 9% and up from 7.8% a year ago.

In the quarter, we reduced our share count by 3% through the purchase of 4.2 million shares. In total, we returned $94 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends. Let’s turn to expenses on slide nine. Our continued efforts to improve efficiency resulted in total expenses of $237 million, including a $45 million accrual related to developments in connection with the CFPB matter. We remain focused on identifying additional ways to accelerate expense reduction. Operating expenses declined 32% in the federal education segment and 8% in the corporate other segment when adjusting for the accrual as we continue to reduce costs associated with the amortization of our legacy portfolios. The increase in DPS expenses of $6 million was related to higher revenues as EBITDA remained stable year-over-year.

We achieved an efficiency ratio of 49% in the quarter and are currently at 52% for the year, better than our original four-year guidance of 55% to 58%. In closing, the third quarter’s results of $0.84 per share and taking into account the significant items I highlighted earlier in my remarks reflect the steps we have taken to efficiently manage our loan portfolio, achieve profitable growth, and maintain strong capital levels. We’re confident in our ability to deliver for the remainder of the year and are updating our full year core EPS guidance to a range of $2.92 to $3.02, which includes the impact of the significant items highlighted in the quarter. Before I close, I would first like to thank the full team at Navient for their continued commitment to create further value for all of our stakeholders.

Thank you for your time and I will now open the call for questions.

See also 12 Most Undervalued Travel Stocks To Buy According To Hedge Funds and Dividend Capture Strategy: 10 High Yield Stocks To Buy in November.

Q&A Session

Operator: Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Sanjay Sakhrani with KBW. Your line is open.

Sanjay Sakhrani: Thanks. Can we just dig a little bit more deeper into the review? I know there’s a lot of actions that have been taken, but maybe you could just update us on sort of where we are and what else we can expect.

Dave Yowan: Sure. Good morning. So, as I’ve indicated, this is a holistic and very in-depth review. We’ve got a number of cross-functional teams and a number of work streams that we have organized ourselves around. And we’re doing a deep dive into our existing strategies, processes, and operations to better understand them, not just as they exist today, but over a longer-term time horizon. As we do that, we’re trying to identify ways in which we could do things differently or do things — do different things, as I like to say, that would improve our ability to deliver to shareholders. We have today announced a couple things that have come out, some initial actions that we’ve taken out of those reviews. When I talk about the — I’m pleased with the substantial performance or progress we’ve had on these reviews, that indicates that I think we’ve got some other things that we’ve not announced, but we’re looking at very carefully and very closely.

And as soon as we’re able to share those with you, we intend to do so.

Sanjay Sakhrani: Okay, great. I have a question on the CFPB case. I mean, what can we infer from the charge of that? An offer or is that representation of tangible progress towards a resolution?

Dave Yowan: Yes, so as you can, I’m sure, appreciate, I’m not going to discuss the specifics of the case or any other elements of it. I would, repeat what we’ve said, which is we’re very confident in the strength of our case. At the same time, we’re open to an out-of-court settlement that’s acceptable to all parties. And the accrual that we made this quarter reflects the developments to date in that matter. We also expect to file our 10-Q later today, Sanjay, and in that 10-Q under the contingency section, you’ll see the establishment of a reasonably possible loss related to this matter and a more robust discussion of the case and the uncertainties that surround the accrual and the reasonably possible loss. The range on that reasonably possible loss is zero to $250 million.

And I would encourage everyone to read that and the language surrounding it when we publish it carefully, and I think that’ll, give you a better sense of where we are today in terms of the case.

Sanjay Sakhrani: Okay. If you don’t mind, can I just get one more question? I know it’s more than two allotment, but just on the in-school origination slowdown, is this a good run rate going forward? Maybe you could just give us a sense of sort of how we should think about it. And just this impact of higher pricing and backing away from the market, what kind of impact does it have in your position in the market? I’m just trying to think about, because there’s a lot of work to get into the in-school channel. I’m just wondering if you back away from it, does that have an impact on you utilizing it going forward?

Dave Yowan: Yes, so I would not characterize this as backing away from it. I would characterize this as a pause in the substantial capital commitment that was associated with the plan for the year to double origination volume. I was not confident that given the substantial amount of capital involved in this activity, and I’m talking about loan acquisition costs, upfront provision for life of loan loss, looking at the margins we were generating, the amount of equity capital that we set against that, the amount of unskilled debt capital that we need after we do ABS financing. And so those amounts were substantial given the long life of a student loan asset. It’s also a very long-term commitment of capital. And so I felt the right thing to do was to pause on that until I could make sure that the combination of all those different capital investments were going to produce an appropriate return for our shareholders.

I think, and said in my remarks, I think we have a strong set of capabilities and I think there is an opportunity for us in this market. You did see us grow undergraduate volume by 22% year-on-year. That was a key focus for us this year. And so I think the team did a nice job of doing that. There’s some underlying metrics and signs, our ability, for example, to be on preferred lender lists at the colleges that we’re targeting also increased. So we’re laying the foundation for being in the market and being an able competitor in that market. I would say that I think the strategy to grow in that market is one that is steadier and more sustainable than the ambitious target that we had this year.

Sanjay Sakhrani: Okay, thank you very much.

Dave Yowan: You bet.

Operator: One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from Rick Shane with JPMorgan. Your line is open.

Richard Shane: Thanks everybody for taking my questions this morning. I think I’m trying to understand and the implications of your response to Sanjay’s question and also sort of the tactical approach to in-school originations right now. As you look forward based upon the strategic review, one thing we could conclude is that you are moving more and more towards a capital light model. But at the same time, when we think about the business and the comments you just made about, building the in-school network and building the preferred lenders list, maybe there’s a different way to interpret that. Help us understand sort of what the vision’s going to be. Do you see Navient more and more capital light or do you really want to ultimately grow that private student lending business again?

Dave Yowan: Yes, so thanks for the question, Rick. I’m not sure those two things are mutually exclusive. I’d go back to maybe a little more color on in-school as well. I mentioned it in my remarks, but on the graduate market, there was a significant change in the coupon associated with federal loans versus private loans this year compared to last year. So just given the way federal loans, and I’m talking about GradPLUS loans get priced, those affected an increased year-on-year, roughly 50 basis points in rates. Private loans like ours increase close to 200 basis points because they’re more market rate driven. So if you just look at coupon, not APR, given the fee associated with GradPLUS, for most of this period, the coupon on a private loan like ours in the Graduate space was lower than a federal loan last year, but is higher this year.

So when you look at our origination volume, we did pull back on loan acquisition spending. That certainly impacted our volume. But if you look at our mix of graduate and undergraduate, we’re much more weighted towards graduate volume than the overall market. And that rate environment played a role in our graduate volume, which is down 15%, 16% compared to last year. So part of that is my reason for my confidence of our ability to operate in the market is we had a rate differential this year that made it much more challenging in the graduate market. And so I don’t want to lose sight of that. I don’t want you to lose sight of that when you look at our volume and you think about our strategy going forward. We are looking for ways to reduce the capital intensity of this activity.

We have a cost of capital. We need to earn returns in excess of that to deliver value to our shareholders. There’s a variety of levers that we can pull. If you talk about the drivers of the returns in this business, we do have long-term plans to become more efficient in our loan acquisition expense. Serialization is a big part of that. We’re looking at ways, how can we accelerate our efforts to be more efficient in terms of acquiring the provision expenses as a function of our credit quality. We need to make sure that we’re really disciplined about that and have the right reserve set against that. And I’m confident that we’re doing that. So we have to keep doing that. On the margin side, we increased our margin this year compared to last year and in school by a little less than 100 basis points.

I think we still have some room to further improve that. But one of the ways you reduce capital intensity is to increase the amount of capital you can generate from an activity. And so we’re trying to make sure we’re doing that as well. And then, we are open to, and we talked about this, I think, a little bit on the last call. We have the flexibility to hold assets. We have the flexibility as others in the industry do to sell assets from time to time. And so if there are cheaper sources of capital to own the principle of these loans, we’re certainly open to that and are trying to make the enterprise, as you indicate, Rick, less capital intense. We think that’s absolutely something that we’re going to look at very long and hard and find ways to do that.

Richard Shane: Got it. That’s very helpful. It helps us understand sort of the palette of considerations that you’re looking at. And I appreciate there can be, we may have to hold two or three thoughts in our head at one time. It’s a little harder at 5.30 in the morning, but I do appreciate it.