Blue Hawk Investment Group recently released its Q1 2019 Investor Letter (you can track it down here), in which it has posted gains of 2.88% for the quarter, lagging behind the S&P 500 which returned 13.06%. Even though the fund underpeformed its benchmark it still had positive return, for which it can mainly thank Match Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:MTCH), which happened to be the top contributor in the quarter, as written in the letter.
“Match Group (MTCH) – Match Group was the top contributor in the quarter after posting a solid Q4’18 print driven by the growth engine Tinder. Tinder added 233,000 paid subscribers (subs) in the period and 1.2 million for the year, more than quadrupling subs (4.75x to be exact) over the last 12 quarters – best in class growth however you measure it. The service is still significantly underpenetrated especially internationally – which we believe to be about 5 years behind the US in terms of user acceptance – as well as undermonetized domestically. The execution on these two fronts, user growth and monetization, drove Match Group to almost double Tinder direct revenue for the year to $800 million, while still positioning the company for years and years of growth ahead. With its growth profile, minimal required incremental investment per $ of (profitable) growth, underappreciated competitive barriers, and attractive valuation, we continue to be very high on the stock.
Note – As of today, Match’s revenue breakdown is about 50/50 between Tinder and Match’s legacy dating business. Tinder is growing close to 100% y/y while MTCH’s legacy business is flat to down a couple percent. The lack of growth in MTCH’s legacy business weighs down the growth rate of the company overall. The added complexity obfuscates the story and underlying growth. We have found some of our best multi-year investment opportunities in companies undergoing mix shifts from a legacy business to a more attractive business with better economics, of which Match is a prime example.”
Match Group, Inc. is an Internet company that owns and runs some of the most most popular dating web sites in the world, such as Tinder, OkCupid, Match.com, and PlentyOfFish. Year-to-date, the company stock gained 46.08% and on May 3rd it had a closing price of $61.91. Its market cap is of $17.40, and MTCH is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 38.48.
At the end of the fourth quarter, a total of 24 of the hedge funds tracked by Insider Monkey were bullish on this stock, a change of -17% from the previous quarter. Below, you can check out the change in hedge fund sentiment towards MTCH over the last 14 quarters. So, let’s examine which hedge funds were among the top holders of the stock and which hedge funds were making big moves.
More specifically, AQR Capital Management was the largest shareholder of Match Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:MTCH), with a stake worth $66.2 million reported as of the end of September. Trailing AQR Capital Management was D E Shaw, which amassed a stake valued at $63.7 million. Light Street Capital, Two Sigma Advisors, and Millennium Management were also very fond of the stock, giving the stock large weights in their portfolios.
Disclosure: None.
This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
Warren Buffett never mentions this but he is one of the first hedge fund managers who unlocked the secrets of successful stock market investing. He launched his hedge fund in 1956 with $105,100 in seed capital. Back then they weren’t called hedge funds, they were called “partnerships”. Warren Buffett took 25% of all returns in excess of 6 percent.
For example S&P 500 Index returned 43.4% in 1958. If Warren Buffett’s hedge fund didn’t generate any outperformance (i.e. secretly invested like a closet index fund), Warren Buffett would have pocketed a quarter of the 37.4% excess return. That would have been 9.35% in hedge fund “fees”.
Actually Warren Buffett failed to beat the S&P 500 Index in 1958, returned only 40.9% and pocketed 8.7 percentage of it as “fees”. His investors didn’t mind that he underperformed the market in 1958 because he beat the market by a large margin in 1957. That year Buffett’s hedge fund returned 10.4% and Buffett took only 1.1 percentage points of that as “fees”. S&P 500 Index lost 10.8% in 1957, so Buffett’s investors actually thrilled to beat the market by 20.1 percentage points in 1957.
Between 1957 and 1966 Warren Buffett’s hedge fund returned 23.5% annually after deducting Warren Buffett’s 5.5 percentage point annual fees. S&P 500 Index generated an average annual compounded return of only 9.2% during the same 10-year period. An investor who invested $10,000 in Warren Buffett’s hedge fund at the beginning of 1957 saw his capital turn into $103,000 before fees and $64,100 after fees (this means Warren Buffett made more than $36,000 in fees from this investor).
As you can guess, Warren Buffett’s #1 wealth building strategy is to generate high returns in the 20% to 30% range.
We see several investors trying to strike it rich in options market by risking their entire savings. You can get rich by returning 20% per year and compounding that for several years. Warren Buffett has been investing and compounding for at least 65 years.
So, how did Warren Buffett manage to generate high returns and beat the market?
In a free sample issue of our monthly newsletter we analyzed Warren Buffett’s stock picks covering the 1999-2017 period and identified the best performing stocks in Warren Buffett’s portfolio. This is basically a recipe to generate better returns than Warren Buffett is achieving himself.
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