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Is TopBuild Corp (BLD) A Good Stock To Buy?

The market has been volatile as the Federal Reserve continues its rate hikes to normalize the interest rates. Small cap stocks have been hit hard as a result, as the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) has underperformed the larger S&P 500 ETF (SPY) by about 4 percentage points through November 16th. SEC filings and hedge fund investor letters indicate that the smart money seems to be paring back their overall long exposure since summer months, and the funds’ movements is one of the reasons why the major indexes have retraced. In this article, we analyze what the smart money thinks of TopBuild Corp (NYSE:BLD) and find out how it is affected by hedge funds’ moves.

TopBuild Corp (NYSE:BLD) investors should pay attention to an increase in hedge fund interest of late. BLD was in 18 hedge funds’ portfolios at the end of the third quarter of 2018. There were 13 hedge funds in our database with BLD holdings at the end of the previous quarter. Our calculations also showed that bld isn’t among the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds.

At the moment there are numerous metrics shareholders use to evaluate stocks. A pair of the less known metrics are hedge fund and insider trading interest. Our researchers have shown that, historically, those who follow the best picks of the elite hedge fund managers can outpace the S&P 500 by a very impressive margin (see the details here).

RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES

Let’s analyze the latest hedge fund action regarding TopBuild Corp (NYSE:BLD).

What does the smart money think about TopBuild Corp (NYSE:BLD)?

Heading into the fourth quarter of 2018, a total of 18 of the hedge funds tracked by Insider Monkey held long positions in this stock, a change of 38% from the second quarter of 2018. Below, you can check out the change in hedge fund sentiment towards BLD over the last 13 quarters. With hedge funds’ capital changing hands, there exists a few notable hedge fund managers who were increasing their holdings considerably (or already accumulated large positions).

No of Hedge Funds with BLD Positions

More specifically, Adage Capital Management was the largest shareholder of TopBuild Corp (NYSE:BLD), with a stake worth $42.6 million reported as of the end of September. Trailing Adage Capital Management was Marshall Wace LLP, which amassed a stake valued at $31.4 million. Lodge Hill Capital, Latimer Light Capital, and Renaissance Technologies were also very fond of the stock, giving the stock large weights in their portfolios.

As industrywide interest jumped, key hedge funds were breaking ground themselves. Adage Capital Management, managed by Phill Gross and Robert Atchinson, assembled the largest position in TopBuild Corp (NYSE:BLD). Adage Capital Management had $42.6 million invested in the company at the end of the quarter. Paul Marshall and Ian Wace’s Marshall Wace LLP also made a $31.4 million investment in the stock during the quarter. The other funds with brand new BLD positions are Clint Murray’s Lodge Hill Capital, Matthew Hulsizer’s PEAK6 Capital Management, and Anand Parekh’s Alyeska Investment Group.

Let’s check out hedge fund activity in other stocks – not necessarily in the same industry as TopBuild Corp (NYSE:BLD) but similarly valued. We will take a look at Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. (NASDAQ:AEIS), Evoqua Water Technologies Corp. (NYSE:AQUA), Independent Bank Group Inc (NASDAQ:IBTX), and Inter Parfums, Inc. (NASDAQ:IPAR). This group of stocks’ market values resemble BLD’s market value.

Ticker No of HFs with positions Total Value of HF Positions (x1000) Change in HF Position
AEIS 19 191790 0
AQUA 11 42787 -1
IBTX 11 119938 1
IPAR 13 64895 0
Average 13.5 104853 0

View table here if you experience formatting issues.

As you can see these stocks had an average of 13.5 hedge funds with bullish positions and the average amount invested in these stocks was $105 million. That figure was $142 million in BLD’s case. Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. (NASDAQ:AEIS) is the most popular stock in this table. On the other hand Evoqua Water Technologies Corp. (NYSE:AQUA) is the least popular one with only 11 bullish hedge fund positions. TopBuild Corp (NYSE:BLD) is not the most popular stock in this group but hedge fund interest is still above average. This is a slightly positive signal but we’d rather spend our time researching stocks that hedge funds are piling on. In this regard AEIS might be a better candidate to consider a long position.

Disclosure: None. This article was originally published at Insider Monkey.

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