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Is Rite Aid Corporation (RAD) Really Back?

Rite Aid (RAD)On Thursday, Rite Aid Corporation (NYSE:RAD) will release its latest quarterly results. The drugstore chain has gone through plenty of ups and downs in recent years, but lately, the stock has made an impressive advance that points to the prospect of better times ahead for the company.

Rite Aid Corporation (NYSE:RAD) isn’t quite as large as its competitors, but with more than 4,600 stores in more than 30 states within the U.S., the company certainly maintains a strong presence within the industry. It got an opportunity handed to it on a silver platter last year, but as the dust has cleared, can Rite Aid make the most of that opportunity? Let’s take an early look at what’s been happening with Rite Aid Corporation (NYSE:RAD) over the past quarter and what we’re likely to see in its quarterly report.

Stats on Rite Aid

Analyst EPS Estimate $0.09
Year-Ago EPS ($0.03)
Revenue Estimate $6.27 billion
Change From Year-Ago Revenue (3%)
Earnings Beats in Past 4 Quarters 4

Source: Yahoo! Finance.

Will Rite Aid keep making money this quarter?
In recent months, analysts have only become more optimistic about Rite Aid Corporation (NYSE:RAD)’s prospects, tripling their views on earnings per share for the May quarter while adding about $0.15 per share to their calls for both this fiscal year and next. The stock has responded in kind, soaring almost 70% since mid-March.

Rite Aid has impressed investors with its results lately. In its previous quarter, the company posted its second quarterly profit in a row, helping it turn a profit for the fiscal year. The combination of a bad flu season, a rise in the number of higher-margin generic drugs on the market, and the customers that Rite Aid gained from Walgreen Company (NYSE:WAG) during the latter’s dispute with pharmacy benefit management company Express Scripts Holding Company (NASDAQ:ESRX) all led to Rite Aid’s first moneymaking year since 2007.

Still, Rite Aid has been moving in the wrong direction when it comes to store counts. In order to manage its debt, Rite Aid has closed underperforming stores. At the same time, though, both Walgreen Company (NYSE:WAG) and CVS Caremark Corporation (NYSE:CVS) have opened new locations, extending their reach and threatening traditional areas of strength for Rite Aid.

Moreover, Rite Aid Corporation (NYSE:RAD) has announced some troubling results so far this quarter. April same-store sales fell 4%, while the company suffered another 1.5% decline in same-store sales in May. Part of the problem has come from the return of Express Scripts Holding Company (NASDAQ:ESRX) customers to Walgreen, as Walgreen reported a 7% increase in same-store prescription count during its March-May quarter, while Rite Aid saw lower counts in both April and May.

In Rite Aid Corporation (NYSE:RAD)’s quarterly report, look for information about how the company’s store remodelings are doing in spurring new sales. If the renovations are only sustaining existing business rather than driving new customers into stores, then Rite Aid could be looking at a failed turnaround before too long.

The article Is Rite Aid Really Back? originally appeared on and is written by Dan Caplinger.

Fool contributor Dan Caplinger has no position in any stocks mentioned. You can follow him on Twitter @DanCaplinger. The Motley Fool recommends and owns shares of Express Scripts.

Copyright © 1995 – 2013 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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