Is PTEN a good stock to buy? We came across a bullish thesis on Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc. on R. Dennis’s Substack by OppCost. In this article, we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on PTEN. Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc.’s share was trading at $9.77 as of June 25th. PTEN’s trailing and forward P/E were 56.73 and 8.38 respectively according to Yahoo Finance.
Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides drilling and completion services to oil and natural gas exploration and production companies in the United States and internationally. PTEN is highlighted following an aggressive options position that saw an institutional buyer purchase 11,000 August 2026 $10 calls for roughly $2.5 million, signaling a leveraged bullish bet on near-term upside.
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The trade used in-the-money calls, emphasizing delta exposure and conviction rather than speculative positioning, with breakeven near $12.25. Patterson-UTI Energy operates as a leading U.S. onshore drilling and completions provider with significant scale post the NexTier merger, serving major shale basins across North America.
The bullish thesis centers on accelerating U.S. natural gas activity, supported by LNG export capacity growth and rising feedgas demand, particularly in the Haynesville basin, which supports higher utilization and improved pricing dynamics. The narrative also references geopolitical supply disruption pressures in global energy markets, which are argued to enhance structural demand for U.S. production and benefit PTEN’s integrated service exposure.
Despite cyclicality and prior margin compression in completions, the stock has rallied from approximately $5.10 to above $10, yet continues to trade at under 1x revenue and low EBITDA multiples, suggesting valuation support remains. Free cash flow generation near a 10% yield supports ongoing dividends and buybacks, reinforcing capital return discipline.
Near-term catalysts include upcoming earnings where improving gas-directed activity could drive estimate revisions higher versus consensus expectations. However, risks include sustained completions pricing pressure, earnings volatility, and macro uncertainty that could delay margin recovery and compress returns if activity softens. A sustained re-rating could follow if gas activity momentum persists and capital returns remain strong through the cycle into 2026 cycle.
Previously, we covered a bullish thesis on Halliburton Company (HAL) by Buffet_fromTemu in October 2024, which highlighted drilling activity, oil price spikes, and undervaluation across services. HAL’s stock price has appreciated by 24.66% since our coverage. OppCost shares a similar view but emphasizes leveraged options positioning in Patterson-UTI and LNG-driven natural gas demand alongside capital return and cycle improvement expectations.
Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc. is not on our list of the 40 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 51 hedge fund portfolios held PTEN at the end of the first quarter which was 43 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the risk and potential of PTEN as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than PTEN and that has 10,000% upside potential, check out our report about this cheapest AI stock.
Disclosure: None.
