Here’s Why Baillie Gifford Sold its Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) Stake

Baillie Gifford, a large-scale investment management firm in the UK, published its “Long Term Global Growth Fund” second quarter 2021 investor letter – a copy of which can be downloaded here. A quarterly return of 13.59% was recorded by the fund for the second quarter of 2021, compared to the 7.53% return of its MSCI ACWI benchmark. You can view the fund’s top 5 holdings to have an idea about their top bets for 2021.

In the Q2 2021 investor letter of Baillie Gifford, the fund mentioned Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG), and discussed its stance on the firm. Alphabet Inc. is a Mountain View, California-based multinational conglomerate company, that currently has a $1.8 trillion market capitalization. GOOG delivered a 54.37% return since the beginning of the year, while its 12-month returns are up by 82.37%. The stock closed at $2,704.42 per share on July 30, 2021.

Here is what Baillie Gifford has to say about Alphabet Inc. in its Q2 2021 investor letter:

“Whilst several sources of upside remain, namely in the cloud business, hardware, and YouTube subscriptions, we have waning conviction in Alphabet‘s ‘moonshot’ bets (such as Waymo), substantial success in which would likely be required to produce a 5x return from here. Given the reduction in our assessment of the probability-adjusted upside, and with strong competition for capital in the portfolio, we therefore sold the Alphabet holding.”

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Based on our calculations, Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) ranks 6th in our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. GOOG was in 159 hedge fund portfolios at the end of the first quarter of 2021, compared to 157 funds in the fourth quarter of 2020. Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) delivered a 12.21% return in the past 3 months.

Hedge funds’ reputation as shrewd investors has been tarnished in the last decade as their hedged returns couldn’t keep up with the unhedged returns of the market indices. Our research has shown that hedge funds’ small-cap stock picks managed to beat the market by double digits annually between 1999 and 2016, but the margin of outperformance has been declining in recent years. Nevertheless, we were still able to identify in advance a select group of hedge fund holdings that outperformed the S&P 500 ETFs by 115 percentage points since March 2017 (see the details here). We were also able to identify in advance a select group of hedge fund holdings that underperformed the market by 10 percentage points annually between 2006 and 2017. Interestingly the margin of underperformance of these stocks has been increasing in recent years. Investors who are long the market and short these stocks would have returned more than 27% annually between 2015 and 2017. We have been tracking and sharing the list of these stocks since February 2017 in our quarterly newsletter.

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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.