Gentex Corporation (NASDAQ:GNTX) Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

Gentex Corporation (NASDAQ:GNTX) Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript October 27, 2023

Operator: Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Gentex Reports Third Quarter 2023 Financial Results. [Operator Instructions]. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Josh O’Berski, Director of Investor Relations.

Josh O’Berski: Thank you. Good morning and welcome to the Gentex Corporation Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Release Conference Call. I am Josh O’Berski, Gentex, Director of Investor Relations, and I am joined by Steve Downing, President and CEO, Neil Boehm, CTO, and Kevin Nash, Vice President, Finance and CFO. This call is live on the internet and can be reached by going to the Gentex website ir.gentex.com. All contents of this conference call are the property of Gentex Corporation and may not be copied, published, reproduced, rebroadcast, retransmitted, transcribed or otherwise redistributed. Gentex Corporation will hold responsible and liable any party for any damages incurred by Gentex Corporation with respect to any unauthorized use of the contents of this conference call.

This conference call contains forward looking information within the meaning of the Gentex Safe Harbor statement included in the Gentex Reports third quarter 2023 financial results press release from earlier this morning and is always shown on the Gentex website. Your participation in this conference call implies consent to these terms. Now I will turn the call over to Steve Downing, who will get us started today. Steve?

Steve Downing: Thanks, Josh. Before we jump into the quarterly summary, I wanted to take a few minutes to discuss the war in Israel. As you may be aware, Gentex made an acquisition in early 2021 of Guardian Optical Technologies based in Tel Aviv and since that time we have been growing our technology presence in Tel Aviv which is primarily focused on using AI to create innovative products focused on driver and in cabin monitoring. We have also recently partnered with a company named ADASKY, which is also headquartered in Israel. We remain in close contact with our team and partners in Israel and are thankful to report everyone on those teams, along with their immediate families, are safe as of our latest report. It is important to know, however, that while our team is safe, several of our team members and partners have already experienced loss of friends and extended family members.

As a Gentex team, we continue to keep our employees and partners in our thoughts and prayers and are constantly looking for ways to show our support for their safety and the safety of their families and friends. For the third quarter of 2023, the company reported net sales of $575.8 million, compared to net sales of $493.6 million in the third quarter of 2022, a 17% quarter over quarter increase. For the third quarter of 2023, global light vehicle production in North America, Europe, Japan, Korea, and China increased approximately 5% compared to the third quarter of 2022. While the last few years have been negatively impacted by labor and supply chain issues that limited our ability to meet customer demand, the last several quarters have improved significantly.

The growth in the third quarter is a continuation of the unit and content growth we experienced during the first half of this year and is indicative of the success of our technology platforms including the launch rates and increased take rates of our full display mirror products. In terms of performance metrics, our unit growth in the third quarter outperformed the underlying market by 5% while our revenue beat the market by 12%. For the third quarter, the gross margin was 33.2% compared to a gross margin of 29.8% for the third quarter of last year. The third quarter gross margin increased by 340 basis points on a quarter over quarter basis as a result of the higher sales levels improvements in freight and tariff related costs, cost recoveries, and price increases from customers, and improvements in product mix.

However, some of these improvements were partially offset by increased raw material costs, labor costs and scrap and yield loss in increases as compared to the third quarter of last year. When compared to the second quarter of this year. The gross margin in the third quarter improved from 33.1% to 33.2%. We continue to make progress in our margin recovery plan that we estimated would take until the end of 2024 to complete. In the 6 months following the close of the first quarter, we have seen gross margins expand 150 basis points as the gross margin grew from 31.7% during the first quarter of 2023 to 33.2% in the third quarter. Obviously, I am very pleased with the progress made so far in calendar year 2023, but we still have an incredible amount of work to do in the fourth quarter of this year and in 2024, in order to accomplish our goal of achieving a gross margin of 35% to 36% by the end of next year.

Our focus for the next 18 months will be on achieving improvements in our material costs and supply chain expenses, but will also include targeted improvements in our operations by increasing throughput, lowering scrap and yield loss and reducing overtime expenses. Operating expenses during the third quarter increased by 14% to $69 million, compared to operating expenses of $60.4 million in the third quarter of last year. Operating expenses increased quarter over quarter primarily due to staffing and engineering related professional fees which were partially offset by lower outbound freight expenses. Our operating expenses are trending in line with our expectations with increases primarily focused on R&D as we continue to add technical capabilities and bandwidth to support the increase level of launch activities while also continuing to expand our research in to new technologies.

The amount of work that our team has accomplished in our advance research areas is promising and we will ultimately lay the ground work for growth in future years. R&D expenses are expected to continue at an elevated pace for the rest of this year and throughout calendar year 2024, as we invest in innovative products and technologies, new business awards and VAVE initiatives for cost optimization of our bill of materials. Income from operations for the third quarter was $122.4 million, a 41% increase when compared to income from operations of $86.8 million for the third quarter of last year. During the third quarter, the company had an effective tax rate of 15.9% which was primarily driven by the benefit of the foreign derived intangible income deduction.

Net income for the third quarter was $104.7 million compared to net income of $72.7 million for the third quarter of last year, which represents a 44% increase. The increase in net income was primarily the result of the quarter over quarter increases in net sales and operating profits. Earnings per diluted share for the third quarter were $0.45, a 45% increase compared to earnings per diluted share of $0.31 for the third quarter of last year. I will now hand the call over to Kevin for financial details.

Kevin Nash: Thanks Steve. Automotive net sales in the third quarter $564.5 million, a 17% increase compared with $480.9 million in the third quarter of 2022. Off dimming mirror unit shipments increased by 10% during the third quarter compared to the third quarter of 2022. Other net sales in the third quarter, which includes dual aircraft windows and fire protection products were $11.3 million compared to other net sales of $12.7 million in the third quarter of 2022. Fire protection sales decreased by $5.3 million for the third quarter compared to the third quarter of 2022, while dual aircraft window sales increased by $4 million for the third quarter of 2023 compared to last year. Share repurchases, during the third quarter of 2023, the company repurchased 0.8 million shares of its common stock at an average price of $32.41 per share.

As of September 30th 2023, the company has approximately 18 million shares remaining available for repurchase pursuant to its previously announced share repurchase plan. The company intends to continue to repurchase additional shares of its common stock in the future in support of the previously disclosed capital allocation strategy with share repurchases will vary from time to time and will take into account macroeconomic issues, market trends and other factors the company deems appropriate. Shifting over to the balance sheet. The balance sheet comparisons mentioned today are as of September 30th 2023 as compared to December 31, 2022. Cash and cash equivalents were $260.6 million compared to $214.8 million. Short term and long term investments combined $290.1 million, up from $225.3 million, which includes fixed income investments as well as the company’s equity and cost method investments.

Accounts receivable was $351.1 million, up from $276.5 million due to the increase in sales levels. Inventories were $395.5 million, down from $404.4 million and accounts payable increased to $171.4 million, up from $151.7 million. Taking a look at preliminary cash flow items for the quarter and year to date, third quarter of 2023 cash flow from operations was $125.9 million, which was an increase from $47.1 million in the third quarter of 2022. The increase was due to increases in net income and shifts in working capital. Year-to-date cash flow from operations was $367.7 million, an increase from $241.8 million in 2022, also due to increased net income and changes in working capital. Capital expenditures for the third quarter were $31.1 million compared with $50.5 million for the third quarter of last year.

There were approximately $15 million worth of expenditures accrued but not paid as of September 30, and year-to-date capital expenditures were $121.4 million compared with $108.5 million per year-to-date 2022. When including the accrued but unpaid capital expenditures, capex for the calendar year is approximately $136 million. Lastly, depreciation and amortization for the third quarter was $22.2 million compared with $23.2 million for the third quarter of 2022 and year-to-date D and A was $71 million compared with $73.3 million for year-to-date 2022. I am now hand the call over to Neil for a product update.

Neil Boehm: Thank you, Kevin. In the third quarter of 2023, we again experienced a high level of product launches. For the quarter, there were 28 net new nameplate launches of our interior and interior auto dimming mirrors and electronic features net of previously disclosed product headwinds. Additionally, during the third quarter, over 70% of the net launches contained advanced features, led by full display mirror, home link, and advanced featured exterior mirrors. Now let’s focus on Full Display Mirror. Full Display Mirror continues to gain momentum with our customers through increased launches, which has been driven by consumers and that has led to increased volumes and take rates. In the third quarter, Full Display Mirror volume performance continued to be strong, and through the first 9 months of 2023, we have shipped approximately 1.75 million units.

At the end of the second quarter, we increased our 2023 annual estimate of Full Display Mirror unit shipments to be approximately 500,000 units higher in calendar 2023, compared to calendar year 2022. Based on our current forecast, we believe our goal for 2023 is very achievable. If there aren’t any significant impact due to the ongoing strikes at our OEM customers. As we covered last quarter, over the last 2 years, we have incurred significant product cost increases due to the state of the electronics market, supply chain issues and labor constraints, but we are now at a point where we are turning our focus on optimizing designs, looking for similar quality, but lower cost components and leveraging the supply base in an effort to drive costs of our bill of materials.

As we enter the fourth quarter of 2023 and prepare our plans for 2024, the purchasing, development, and launch teams have started the process of identifying components and products where we need to make a change to help in this effort. In some situations this process will drive us to create new long term partnerships and some of our current suppliers may lose volume or be displaced completely. Our strategy is very simple. Work with key suppliers and partners to find win-win scenarios and if this means we need to move to or create new partners, then that’s what we will be executing. The first wave of these redesign projects will be kicked off here in the fourth quarter and several more in early 2024. This activity is important for us to achieve the long term financial goals of the company and we will be applying the appropriate resource focus to these projects to make them happen.

I will now hand the call back over to Steve for guidance and closing remarks.

Steve Downing: Thanks, Neil. The company’s current forecast light vehicle production for the fourth quarter of 2023 full years 2023 and 2024 are based on the mid October 2023 S&P Global Mobility forecast for light vehicle production in North America, Europe, Japan, Korea and China. Light vehicle production in these markets is expected to increase 4% for the fourth quarter of 2023 as compared to light vehicle production for the fourth quarter of last year. For calendar year 2023, light vehicle production in these markets is forecasted to increase 9% compared to calendar year 2022. Fourth quarter 2023 and calendar years 2023 2024 forecasted vehicle production volumes from S&P Global Mobility are shown in our press release from today.

Based on this light vehicle production forecast, the company is providing updated guidance estimates for calendar year 2023. Revenue for 2023 is expected to be between $2.2 billion and $2.3 billion. Gross margins for the year should be between 32.5% and 33%. Operating expenses are still expected to be between $260 million and $270 million. Given year-to-date performance, we are lowering the high end of our estimated annual tax rate for the year which is now forecasted to be between 15% and 15.5%. Given the long lead times of capital projects, capital expenditures are now expected to $200 million to $215 million for the year and depreciation and amortization is expected to be between $95 million and $100 million for the year. Additionally, based on the company’s current forecast for light vehicle production for calendar year 2024, which is currently estimated to increase by 1% as compared to 2023, the company expects calendar year 2024 revenue to be between $2.45 billion and $2.55 billion.

The company is on pace for record setting revenue this year, which has been aided by tailwinds from the relief of the supply chain constraints along with strong demand for outside mirrors and advance electronic features. Our outgrowth versus the market demonstrates that our product strategy is exceeding with our customers and consumers. At the same time, progress on the path toward improved profitability continues. As we execute the additional cost improvement initiatives that will enable us to accomplish our plan of reaching a 35% to 36% gross margin range by the end of 2024. While gross margin improvements have continued throughout 2023, the sequential improvement from the second quarter to the third quarter of this year was subdued by certain product mix issues that will hopefully subside as we move into the fourth quarter next year.

The fourth quarter will likely be impacted by the UAW strikes from both a revenue and margin perspective, but we remain confident in our ability to continue to grow revenue while improving our margin profile throughout the end of this year and into 2024. That completes our prepared comments for today, and we can now proceed to questions.

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Q&A Session

Operator: Thank you. [Operator Instructions]. Our first question will come from the line of Luke Junk of Baird. Your line is open. Your line is open. Luke, your line may be on mute. We will just come back to him later. Our next question from comes from the line of John Murphy from Bank of America.

John Murphy: Good morning guys. Just a question on the fourth quarter guide or implied EPS. It seems like there’s a fairly wide range and I am just curious why that is as a result of not knowing what’s going on with it UAW strike at the moment, hopefully it’s getting resolved soon or is there something else that’s going on?

Steve Downing: No, it’s just about the UAW risk. I mean, obviously as we are preparing this and working through it even last night, some of the news obviously could be encouraging, but at the same time, what we are having to estimate is assuming that the exposure to the Detroit III continues for a while longer and so, that’s what’s in our estimates is making sure we consider that fact.

John Murphy: Okay and then just a second question, when you are seeing mix improve and then volumes rising, the opportunity set, or the potential to get margins back potentially faster than you are expecting seems a lot more plausible than it may have 6 months ago. As you think about the progression to your ultimate gross margin targets, what are the key drivers to getting there? Are they internal or external and if external gets much better, than you may expect right now as the strike gets resolved, and volumes continue to surprise to the upside, could we get there potentially a little bit faster?

Steve Downing: Yes, I don’t think we’ll get there faster and the reason why I say that is a lot of the… you’re absolutely right, John, the growth is the key and the sales volumes and mix have to be right and so even assuming those factors, one of the things that we have to remember and one of the things we are working through and the reason for Neil’s comments in the prepared comments was really focused on saying, hey, a lot of the products, if content is coming, that’s where a lot of the cost increases happen on our advance feature products. So whereas historically, that’s always been great product mix, it also means we have some work to do to get the bill materials back in line with where we expect it to be, in order for that to have the read through and the total financial performance that we were hoping for previously.

So, whereas we have our plan, there is a lot of work, and that’s why Neil kind of made those comments during his prepared comments were about there’s some work that needs to be done. In other words, just selling isn’t going to be enough on its own. We have engineering work and obviously some bill of materials improvements that have to be made in order for us to achieve those.

John Murphy: Okay great thank you very much guys.

Operator: Thank you. One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from the line of Josh Nichols from B. Riley.

Josh Nichols: Yes, thanks for taking my question. Since we haven’t talked about it in a little bit, clearly, you’re benefiting from increased penetration rates for your interior and exterior auto dimming mirrors. Any commentary about where that stands today or if not, could you at least kind of discuss a little bit about what you’re seeing in penetration rates in some of these emerging markets like China and how that compares to where you are with more established markets in the US and Europe?

Steve Downing: Yes. I think if you look at outside mirrors especially there’s been a lot of growth in Asia, including the China market, but really, outside mirror take rates have been increasing pretty much globally and so we have done really well with that product line and beyond that, I think the next biggest one you would look at on the take rate side would be Full Display Mirror. Obviously, the number of launches that we’ve been talking about over the last couple of years have grown significantly, but even inside of those programs that we’ve already launched, the take rates have changed quite a bit in that same time period, meaning that we are moving from typically moving from base auto Dimming Mirrors to Full Display Mirrors. So both of those trends have been very positive for us over the last couple of years and based on what we are seeing, we don’t see that changing anytime soon.

Josh Nichols: And then just to follow-up on that, clearly, the Full Display Mirrors have very nice, ASP contribution relative to your other mirrors. How does it stand though on the margin? I know that there’s been some cost pressures there. Is it above the corporate average or below or I’m just curious how that’s going to impact the going forward, because that’s become an increasingly large percentage of the revenue growth.

Steve Downing: Yeah. I would say right now, we are actually, slightly below corporate average and the reason for that is some of the factors we had talked about just a couple of minutes ago with that, that was a lot of those products took the brunt of cost increases especially on the high end electronics side and so that’s why we are going to be focused on a lot of those products as we move through this year and through next year making sure that we are getting cost optimized designs in place to help get those back in line so that they’re closer to corporate average margin profile. Like we said, there’s an engineering effort that’s take place and then a launch effort and validation and so they don’t have an immediate impact, but we know it sets the stage very well for the next 18 months to 2-3 years in terms of total financial performance.

Josh Nichols: And then last question for me then. I will let someone else take a turn. I know obviously hard to frame, right, the UAW impact. It’s still going on some good potential news, right, from Ford we’ll see if that spills over the other automakers in the US, but fair to say that, while, there’s a relatively large or wider guidance range for 4Q that you are not anticipating any impact for 2024, so still that 10% growth that you’re forecasting, there’s nothing really built in for any headwinds there that’s more back to normal operating environment. Is that true?

Steve Downing: Yeah. That’s our assumption. So If we’re looking at a, if this year comes in anywhere close to S&P’s estimate for fourth quarter auto production and a 1% growth rate above that in 2024, we feel pretty comfortable we can produce the numbers inside of that revenue range.

Josh Nichols: Great. Thank you.

Operator: Our next question comes from the line of Mark Delaney from Goldman Sachs.

Mark Delaney: Good morning and thanks very much for taking the questions. First I was hoping if you could double click a little bit more in-depth around both price and costing. You talked about perhaps an opportunity to go after some of the input costs that you’ve been and some of the inflation that your company has been dealing with maybe as subsiding, if you talk a little bit more broadly as you think about 2024, but then extend that as well as how you’re thinking about pricing and as you start to negotiate with your OEM customers, you have been able to secure recoveries, does the pricing dynamic get perhaps more difficult in 2024, in particular some of these OEMs have higher labor costs now and how does that maybe net with the margin improvement targets that you laid out?