Capstone Turbine Corporation (CPST)’s Make-or-Break Moment Is Here

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On Thursday, Capstone Turbine Corporation (NASDAQ:CPST) will release its latest quarterly results. But lately, investors have already anticipated some huge results from the company, having bid the shares up by about 50% in just the past several weeks. Can Capstone Turbine Corporation (NASDAQ:CPST) deliver on what investors want to see?

For years, Capstone Turbine Corporation (NASDAQ:CPST) has struggled to make its innovative microturbine power systems business more commercially viable, with losses continually plaguing the company and investors suffering repeated disappointments. Will this time bring a happier ending to longtime shareholders? Let’s take an early look at what’s been happening with Capstone Turbine Corporation (NASDAQ:CPST) over the past quarter and what we’re likely to see in its quarterly report.

Stats on Capstone Turbine Corporation (NASDAQ:CPST)

Analyst EPS Estimate ($0.01)
Year-Ago EPS ($0.03)
Revenue Estimate $36.3 million
Change From Year-Ago Revenue 21%
Earnings Beats in Past 4 Quarters 1

Source: Yahoo! Finance.

Can Capstone Turbine Corporation (NASDAQ:CPST) power up its earnings this quarter?
For their part, analysts haven’t budged in recent months on their views of Capstone’s earnings, keeping their estimates for both the March quarter and the 2014 fiscal year unchanged. The stock, though, has vaulted higher, with gains of about 30% since early March.

Capstone has had huge potential for a long time, even if it hasn’t delivered on that potential. The company’s microturbines have tapped into the trend toward on-site power generation, and its flexible-fuel equipment makes it a more viable option for smaller projects that the larger generators that giants General Electric Company (NYSE:GE) and Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT) have developed. General Electric Company (NYSE:GE) and Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT) aim instead for high-efficiency products and have done an excellent job of delivering, with Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT)’s power-generation equipment reaching 96% efficiency ratings. But Capstone’s  solutions are better for residential and smaller commercial customers.

Over the past few months, though, Capstone has made progress toward its long-term mission to become profitable. In late February, CONSOL Energy Inc. (NYSE:CNX) installed one of its microturbines at a gas processing plant, taking coal-bed methane from the plant itself to provide power and generate electricity from waste gas, leading to net benefits in electricity production for CONSOL Energy Inc. (NYSE:CNX). Then in April, Capstone did multiple deals, with three orders from the Chinese oil and gas sector to supply power for exploration and production activity, as well an order from a Russian pipeline project and another for electric buses in Denver. Further orders in May have kept the excitement rising for the stock, demonstrating its increasing ability to get attention from customers for a variety of different applications.

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