Can Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) Keep Growing?

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In the past 25 years, Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ:SBUX) has transformed itself from a local roaster and coffee shop chain in Seattle to a globally recognized brand with more than 18,000 cafes worldwide. This transformation has created a company with annual revenue of more than $13 billion. Nevertheless, Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ:SBUX) has continued averaging double-digit revenue growth. As a result, Starbucks stock has managed to maintain a generous P/E ratio above 30. Can the company keep growing fast enough — and long enough — to justify this valuation?

Starbucks CorporationWhile Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ:SBUX) is already the biggest name in the coffee business, the company still has three big growth opportunities. First, it can expand geographically, by adding new cafes in underserved areas. Second, it will expand its reach beyond coffee. Third, it will expand its consumer packaged goods business, leveraging its global brand awareness. These three growth initiatives create significant upside for Starbucks stock over the next five to 10 years.

Starbucks keeps growing

While Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ:SBUX) already operates more than 18,000 cafes, the vast majority of these are in the Americas, and particularly the U.S. Nevertheless, the company continues to see opportunities to expand in its core markets, and plans to open more than 3,000 cafes in the Americas over the next five years, with more than half of those in the U.S. Domestic expansion has not caused any significant cannibalization of existing stores, as Starbucks continues to post healthy same-store sales growth.

Eventually, the company will saturate the U.S. market with its signature cafes. Fortunately for Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ:SBUX) stock owners, the company has plenty of room for growth overseas. China is the biggest opportunity: Starbucks plans to make this the company’s biggest market outside the U.S. by doubling the number of cafes it operates in China to 1,500 by 2015.

At an investor conference last year, CEO Howard Schultz stated that while it took Starbucks 10 years to really connect with native Chinese customers, the company now has strong momentum there. One tool that has helped it connect with customers there has been localization of product offerings. Looking forward, Starbucks wants to use its portfolio of tea brands to capitalize on the popularity of tea in China and other Asian markets, thereby strengthening its popularity overseas.

Tea and crumpets

Starbucks has always had tea offerings, but the company made a big move to boost its tea profile last year with the acquisition of Teavana. For Starbucks stockholders, the Teavana acquisition is great news because it gives the company an opportunity to grow in a new market that is similar in size to the global coffee market.

While Teavana has traditionally focused on selling loose-leaf teas, Starbucks intends to open “tea bars” within Teavana shops to provide a Starbucks-like experience. Teavana beverages may also be sold inside regular Starbucks cafes.

The company is already increasing its non-coffee offerings within its cafes. In late 2011, it purchased Evolution Fresh, a fruit and vegetable juice maker. By the end of this year, bottled Evolution Fresh juices will be available in most U.S. Starbucks locations, replacing PepsiCo, Inc. (NYSE:PEP)‘s Naked Juice.

Most important, Starbucks is in the midst of significantly upgrading its food offerings. Last year, the company bought La Boulange, a Bay Area bakery. Food currently represents just 19% of sales in domestic Starbucks cafes, and executives expect that La Boulange will open the door to offering a bigger selection of baked goods and sandwiches, while improving food quality.

Increasing food sales will allow Starbucks to leverage its fixed costs, like rent and utilities. On the other hand, food sales usually carry a lower gross margin than beverages. Nevertheless, Starbucks management expects the net effect to be higher operating margins and higher profit.

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