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Can Hewlett-Packard Company (HPQ) Succeed Where Nokia Corporation (ADR) (NOK) is Failing?

A company that is in trouble will often deliver what poker players call a “tell.”

They will head into the “value” segment of the market. They’ll go cheap.

I have seen this foolish strategy practiced many times in technology over the years and it never works. A brand has to stand for something beyond price if it is to have any meaning.

I can certainly understand the motivation, of course. Companies need volume to remain relevant, and when they’re losing volume because their brand reputation is in tatters, the value segment is seen as a lifeline.

Nokia Corporation (ADR) (NYSE:NOK)It isn’t. It’s a boat anchor.

Nokia Corporation (ADR) (NYSE:NOK) Tries It Again

At the annual Mobile World Congress in Barcelona this weekNokia Corporation (ADR) (NYSE:NOK) is actually trying this trick for a second time.

You remember Nokia, don’t you? They used to be the big name brand in mobile telephony, back when mobile phones were basically phones and texting was considered high-tech.

They’re no longer the big dog. They lost their lead to a host of smartphones to which they had no reply, starting with those of Apple and continuing to those running Google Android. These days, while rivals like Samsung reschedule their launches for New York, Nokia CEO Stephen Elop is stuck trying to drag a few MWC reporters into his press conference.

There he’s trying to get some volume on the low end, with yet-more feature phones, while hoping he can gain a little more traction with Windows Phone units under the Lumia label.

I think CNET put it best here.“The Nokia 720, considered to be at the higher-end of the lineup, feels more like a midrange device.” Ouch.

The company’s stock has mirrored this dramatic fall. Back in 2008 it sported a 83 cent quarterly dividend and stood proudly at $36/share, a bargain. Today the dividend is down to 25 cents/share, but that still means a 6.62% yield because the shares are priced at $3.81 each. And, because Nokia is no longer profitable, pushing out that dividend is eating its own seed corn.

So it’s no surprise that they’re still trying to push volume, but it’s more like an anorexic who is heavily into exercise. Without the food of full price sales you’re still going to look horrible.

Hewlett-Packard Company (NYSE:HPQ) Into the Value Pool

Hewlett-Packard Company (NYSE:HPQ) got a huge pop last week, an earnings release that was deemed not half bad and sent shares soaring, right after I called such a move inconceivable. (I don’t think that means what I think it means.)

Still, I’m a lot more comfortable in my negative view of the company having seen its “big” MWC announcement, a 7-inch tablet priced at $169 called the Slate 7.

There are analysts who think HP has “done tablets right” by embracing both Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) Windows 7 and Google Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG)‘s Android – the new tablet is an Android. But the screen has a minimal display, minimal memory, and it’s slow. It’s running a standard version of Android, which is good, but it’s obviously aimed at the “value” segment of the market.