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Apple Inc. (AAPL) On The Verge Of Major China Mobile Ltd. (ADR) (CHL) Deal


Quoting people familiar with the matter, The Wall Street Journal last Friday reported that Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) is preparing to ship iPhones to China Mobile Ltd. (ADR) (NYSE:CHL). After years of negotiations, a deal with the world’s largest wireless carrier is excellent news for Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) shareholders.

Just how big is China Mobile Ltd. (ADR) (NYSE:CHL)? Seven hundred forty-five million wireless subscribers, more than twice the population of the U.S., seven times Verizon Wireless’ subscribers, and 17 times T-Mobile’s subscribers.

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL)

The long-awaited deal
It’s been about seven years since Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) launched the first iPhone and the world’s largest carrier still lacks iProducts. For years, speculation of a deal has been just that: speculation, and no more.

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) already has deals with China Telecom and China Unicom to sell the iPhone. Though these carriers boast some impressive numbers, together they are still just half the size of China Mobile Ltd. (ADR) (NYSE:CHL).

Last Tuesday, when Apple announced it is hosting a satellite Apple event in Beijing on Wednesday September 11, there was wide speculation that a deal between China Mobile Ltd. (ADR) (NYSE:CHL) and Apple may be announced at the event. Now, given the Journal‘s report and a similar one from Bloomberg on the same day, it looks like the deal is finally here. Though it’s still uncertain whether the deal will be announced at the Beijing event, we do know that it will not be announced at Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL)’s media event tomorrow, according to Bloomberg.

The takeaway for investors
For the last eight months that China Mobile Ltd. (ADR) (NYSE:CHL) has posted subscriber numbers (up until July), its sequential growth rates in 3G subscribers have outpaced its peers. Even more, only 20% of China Mobile’s 745 million wireless subscribers are 3G subscribers, compared to 39% and 51% for China Unicom and China Telecom, respectively. This means that not only is China Mobile’s 3G base growing faster than its peers’, but it has more room to grow — together, these two facets of China Mobile’s subscriber base provide significant opportunity for Apple.

Rendering of Apple’s rumored lower-cost iPhone. Source: MacRumors.

Morgan Stanley’s Katy Huberty, after crunching some numbers, concluded that a cheaper iPhone combined with a China Mobile deal could triple Apple’s addressable smartphone market in the country. China Mobile Ltd. (ADR) (NYSE:CHL) is undoubtedly a catalyst for Apple’s iPhone segment. I’ve detailed the opportunity here, here, and here.

With iPhones accounting for more than half of Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL)’s revenue, China Mobile could help Cupertino’s tech king to finally move the needle in the right direction on its bottom line.

The article Apple Preps iPhones to Deliver to China Mobile originally appeared on and is written by Daniel Sparks.

Fool contributor Daniel Sparks owns shares of Apple. The Motley Fool recommends and owns shares of Apple. It also owns shares of China Mobile.

Copyright © 1995 – 2013 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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