Adobe’s New CEO Takes Over in December. Is the Open CFO Search the Bigger Risk?

Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE)’s CEO search has finally come to an end. The company has recently announced Anil Chakravarthy as its next president and CEO, effective December 1, 2026. Chakravarthy will be replacing longtime CEO Shantanu Narayen, who will now transition to executive chair.

Following the news, Stifel analyst Parker Lane reiterated a Hold rating on the stock on September 4 with a $200 price target. The price target implies roughly 25% downside from current levels, a striking number considering Adobe just answered an important leadership question looming over for the past almost six months.

The timing is particularly notable considering Adobe is scheduled for its fiscal third-quarter earnings call next week on September 10.

Adobe Chooses an Insider for the Job

After 18 years as CEO, Narayen announced his intent to transition from the CEO role. This announcement led to a stock drop despite the company reporting stronger-than-expected results.

Seperately, Adobe had a strong second-quarter as well. Revenue reached a record $6.62 billion for Adobe in Q2, a 13% year-over-year increase that beat Wall-Street expectations. Annualized Recurring Revenue reached $27.10 billion at quarter end, a figure particularly important considering how its AI-first ARR tripled year-over-year and exceeded $500 million.

Now that the new CEO has been announced, it is important to note that Chakravarthy isn’t an outside hire. Chakravarthy joined Adobe in 2020 and currently leads the company’s Customer Experience Orchestration Business and worldwide field operations.

This serves as a positive for the company as Adobe will be led by someone who is already familiar with the company’s products, customers, and AI strategy. Narayen will also continue at Adobe as executive chair, which will make the handoff less abrupt for the company.

The next earnings report thus proves as a crucial turning point for the company, with stronger monetization a chance at proving that the CEO transition has been more of a continuity than a disruption.

Risk Watch: CFO Role Remains Interim

While Adobe has finally managed to resolve the question of who gets to be the next CEO, the company originally had two leadership positions to fill, one of which is still open.

The CFO search, in particular, continues for Adobe. Steven Day is currently serving as interim CFO for Adobe, with Dan Durn having departed for Marvell Technology earlier this year. Investors therefore have to wait for clarity around another critical leadership position.

Stifel’s price target, moreover, isn’t pricing in the optimism. The market has been unforgiving as well, with Adobe stock dropping more than 5% the following day after the news. Both these reactions imply that merely a leadership transition isn’t enough to alter the investment case for Adobe

Hedge Fund Analysis and Bottom-line

Recent Q2 filings from Insider Monkey show a slight level of cooling sentiment around Adobe. 81 hedge funds held positions in the stock at the end of the second quarter, modestly down from 86 in the previous quarter.

Arrowstreet Capital held an estimated 6.79 million shares, down 1% from the previous quarter. AQR Capital reduced its stake by 8%, while Harris Associates increased its position by 24%.

Overall, Adobe’s leadership transition is relatively orderly considering Chakravarthy is an insider and Narayen will remain executive chair. The next earnings report will serve as a critical test for the stock determining whether Adobe’s business is stabilizing just as its leadership is.

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