Time Warner Inc (TWX), The Boeing Company (BA), Comcast Corporation (CMCSA): This Tiger Cub Gets Bullish

Andreas HalvorsenAndreas Halvorsen is one of the most successful Tiger cubs. The host of Tiger cubs include various hedge fund mangers that worked for billionaire Julian Robertson’s Tiger Management. Halvorsen founded his Viking Global hedge fund in 1999, and the fund takes a bottom-up stock picking approach. It was snatching up a number of stocks last quarter, while also upping its stake in others. Outlined below are some of the hedge fund’s moves I found most interesting (check out Viking’s high upside picks).
Top pick
Viking’s top stock remained Time Warner Inc (NYSE:TWX), representing 7.7% of its 13F portfolio. Time Warner Inc (NYSE:TWX) operates with a diverse geographical footprint, operating in the U.S., U.K., Germany, Canada, France and Japan. This in part has helped the company navigate a tough economic environment, with the company managing to post first-quarter 2013 EPS of $0.82 per share, beating consensus and growing 22% from the $0.67 earned in the prior-year quarter.

One of Time Warner Inc (NYSE:TWX)’s recent initiatives includes agreements with Time Warner Cable Inc (NYSE:TWC) and Cablevision Systems Corporation (NYSE:CVC), which will bring HBO GO and MAX GO to HBO’s entire domestic subscriber base. HBO GO is now available on the Xbox, Samsung TV, the Kindle Fire and Android tablets. Time Warner Inc (NYSE:TWX) has also launched HBO Netherlands, and will introduce HBO Nordic and its first premium network in India.

These are the company’s latest initiatives to help combat the rising competition from Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) and Hulu. Netflix is now competing more directly with Time Warner Inc (NYSE:TWX)’s HBO by offering original content, including “House of Cards” and “Arrested Development.” Also, Hulu has seen an influx of buyout interest, with Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ:YHOO), Time Warner Cable and DIRECTV (NASDAQ:DTV) all making bids for the company. The purchase of Hulu by any of these companies could lead to further competition for Time Warner.

The other headwind for the stock is its 18.7 times P/E, which puts Time Warner trading inline with some of its major peers, including Comcast Corporation (NASDAQ:CMCSA) (17.8 times) and Viacom, Inc. (NASDAQ:VIAB) (17 times). Thus, with the streaming content competition and valuation, it might be worth waiting for a pull back before jumping into the stock.

Flying high
Viking snatched up The Boeing Company (NYSE:BA) after the company saw overhang from the grounding of its 787 Dreamliner. Many investors took this as a buying opportunity, including Viking. Boeing is now Viking’s second-largest stock holding and makes up 6.3% of its portfolio. The Dreamliner is now flying high and completed its first flight carrying passengers in the U.S. (from Houston to Chicago) last week.

The Boeing Company (NYSE:BA) remains the largest aircraft manufacturer in the world in terms of revenue, orders and deliveries. Last month, the aircraft company managed to report stellar 1Q 2013 results, with EPS coming in at $1.73, beating consensus by 17% and seeing 24% growth from prior-year quarter’s EPS.

One overhang for The Boeing Company (NYSE:BA) is the fact that its defense business accounts for around 50% of revenue. The defense budget cuts could have a negative impact on the company. However, the company has a strong defense business backlog, with a $392 billion backlog at the end of 1Q. Despite its exposure to the defense budget, Boeing could still provide upside for investors.

The Boeing Company (NYSE:BA)’s revenue is generated across more than 90 countries and the company should perform nicely on the back of a rebounding global economy. Boeing also expects U.S. and Canadian airliners to invest about $700 billion for fleet extensions over the next 20 years. The Boeing Company (NYSE:BA) had four hedge funds with the stock as one of its top-10 holdings last quarter, in addition to Viking, another big Boeing supporter was Seminole Capital (check out Seminole’s against the grain picks).

Big media bet
One of Viking’s big increases was Comcast Corporation (NASDAQ:CMCSA). Viking increased its shares owned by 256% in Comcast, the stock now makes up the ninth-largest positions in Viking’s portfolio.
Comcast Corporation (NASDAQ:CMCSA) is the media company that now owns all of NBC Universal after buying out GE’s 49% stake earlier this year. Although the rise of streaming video companies is also threatening Comcast, the company made a big bet on conventional paid TV with its purchase of NBC.
However, the company has various other initiatives that should help it differentiate itself with respect to the likes of Netflix. Comcast Corporation (NASDAQ:CMCSA) has a partnership with Skype for high-definition video chat from TV sets using a special hardware kit. This will allow customer the ability to make calls and send instant messages through Skype while watching TV.

The company has also been refocusing its operations by selling off other assets. Comcast Corporation (NASDAQ:CMCSA) sold the wireless spectrum it horded through the SpectrumCo venture to Verizon Wireless for approximately $2.3 billion. As part of the agreement, Comcast will still be able to offer the 4G LTE services, which eliminates the need to install a wireless network of its own.

Fellow Tiger cub, billionaire John Griffin’s Blue Ridge Capital, was also snatching up Comcast Corporation (NASDAQ:CMCSA) shares last quarter (check out Griffin’s latest moves).

Betting on change

Another one of Viking’s newest additions was Adobe Systems Incorporated (NASDAQ:ADBE). Adobe’s key segment, making up 70% of revenue, is its digital-media segment, which enables small businesses and enterprises to create content and deliver it across diverse media. Its key customers include traditional content creators, web application developers, digital media professionals and user interface designers/developers and writers.

However, one of the big changes that Adobe is making is a move from licensing to a cloud-based subscription model. Its Creative Cloud service will allow consumers to pay a monthly fee to subscribe to various Creative Suite applications like Photoshop, Illustrator and Dreamweaver.
Management has high hopes for the upcoming quarter, expecting revenue to be up 110% sequentially at the mid-point. However, showing downside will be its digital-media segment, attributed to the migration to the Creative Cloud subscription model. Management expects Adobe Marketing Cloud revenue to increase 20% year-over-year.

From a valuation perspective, Adobe is trading at a deep discount to its peers. Trading at roughly 28 times earnings, Adobe is well below the industry average of around 49 times.

Bottom line

Tiger cub Halvorsen has Time Warner Inc (NYSE:TWX) as its top pick, with The Boeing Company (NYSE:BA) in second. I believe that Time Warner is a leading media company, but it appears fairly valued. As well, the cable company will likely continue to see pressure from Netflix and Hulu.
It appears that Boeing’s Dreamliner grounding and defense budget cuts have had little impact on the company’s earnings, and so the company appears to be a buy with a strong order backlog that should help the company grow going forward.
Comcast’s recent moves, including the purchase of NBC, should help drive the longer-term growth of the stock, making it a long-term buy. Also, Adobe’s positive outlook by management and its move to the cloud is a buy signal.

The article This Tiger Cub Gets Bullish originally appeared on Fool.com and is written by Marshall Hargrave.

Marshall is a member of The Motley Fool Blog Network — entries represent the personal opinion of the blogger and are not formally edited.

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