In spite of America’s sweet tooth, the country is awash in sugar. So much so that the Agriculture Dept. wants to use a little-known portion of the 2008 Farm Bill to buy up surplus supplies to raise the commodity’s price. At the same time, it will sell the surplus to ethanol producers at a loss. The likely big winner in all this? Monsanto Company (NYSE:MON).
Big rock candy mountain
The U.S. produced 8-million metric tons of sugar last year, making it one of the world’s largest producers. Of that amount, 55% of it was derived from sugar beets, of which Monsanto Company (NYSE:MON)’s genetically modified seeds own 95% of that portion.
The remaining 45% came from sugarcane. As the USDA notes, U.S. sugar prices have been well above world prices since 1982 because the government supports domestic sugar prices through loans to processors and a marketing allotment program. Lately, though, sugar has been selling at its lowest level in four years, which jeopardizes growers who’ve taken out loans from the USDA when prices were higher. Last week, the agency asked the Obama administration to allow it to buy hundreds of thousands of tons of sugar under a sugar-for-ethanol program called the Feedstock Flexibility Program. Since it’s required by law to prop up sugar processors, it says that this is the cheapest way it can do it.
Yet, by ensuring that sugar prices stay high, it guarantees farmers will continue to process more sugar than necessary, particularly sugar beets, as they’re the most popular way of producing, thus giving an indirect subsidy to Monsanto Company (NYSE:MON), which will happily ply the market with its GMO seeds.
Most ethanol producers, however, can’t use sugar, because corn is the preferred feedstock (though it is possible to add some sugar into the mix), meaning they’re going to have to unload the sugar onto others. Archer Daniels Midland Company (NYSE:ADM), the largest U.S. corn-based ethanol producer, does have a sugarcane-based ethanol production facility in Brazil.
So, while sugar and ethanol processors will make out handsomely on this sweet deal, sugar users and consumers are going to get hurt. Everyone from candy makers like The Hershey Company (NYSE:HSY), beverage companies such as The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE:KO), and cereal makers like Kellogg Company (NYSE:K) will feel the pinch of higher prices. Consumers will suffer at the checkout line as the increased input costs are passed along in the form of higher food prices.