Michael Kors Holdings Ltd (KORS)’s Shares Fall Amid Alert From Analysts & Upcoming Earnings Results

The shares of Michael Kors Holdings Ltd (NYSE:KORS) are down 6.38% after leading analysts cut its ratings. Analysts at JPMorgan and Piper Jaffray released cautious notes for high-end bag-makers including Michael Kors and Coach Inc (NYSE:COH). Erinn Murphy, an analyst at Piper Jaffray, lowered the estimates on Micahel Kors because of its piling up inventories in retailers like Dillard and Macy’s. She further pointed out the pressurized watch market in the country along with a slacking growth in the European market. She cut the price target to $38 from $44 just before the quarterly results announcement, while maintaining a “Neutral” rating for Michael Kors Holdings Ltd (NYSE:KORS).

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Morry Brown of Wedbush Securities was another analyst indicating towards a sluggish handbag industry. The analyst mentioned an aggressive promotion environment in the handbag industry throughout the year while adding that the brands are “fighting uphill against negative sentiment.” Brown maintained a “Neutral” rating for Michael Kors Holdings Ltd (NYSE:KORS) with a price target of $45 while adding that its fiscal year 2016 earnings guidance should be lowered considering the market sentiment. While talking about the trend at retail stores concerning Michael Kors, he added that “higher discounting and clearance inventory at retail locations” was common throughout the quarter. Canaccord Genuity was another analyst firm cutting down its target price to $45.00 from $48.00 with a “hold” rating for the specialty product maker. On an overall, the company had a rating of “hold” with average price target of $60.62 from 23 analysts.

Michael Kors Holdings Ltd (NYSE:KORS)’s stock rallied last week on the back of a rumored leveraged buyout offer pushing its stock as high as $42.26. The company is going to release its first quarter fiscal 2015 financial results on August 6, with analysts expecting earnings per share of $0.75 on revenues of $944.33 million. It is important to consider that the designer product company missed markets’ earnings expectations in the last quarter with reported EPS of $0.90 against Wall Street’s estimate of $0.91.

Overall, it has been a rough year for Michael Kors Holdings Ltd (NYSE:KORS) with its shares declining by 47.98% year-to-date. Smart money held a bearish outlook for the company at the end of the first quarter with 40 hedge funds holding $1.90 billion worth of stock. At the end of the fourth quarter of 2014, 46 investors from our database had positions worth $1.94 billion in aggregate. Stephen Mandel’s Lone Pine Capital was the largest shareholder of Michael Kors, among the funds we track, with a stake worth $738.05 million containing 11.23 million shares. Rob Citrone’s Discovery Capital Management and Bain Capital’s Brookside Capital are among other major stakeholders of the company. In terms of insider activity, there have not been any transactions year-to-date indicating a stable insider sentiment.

We would recommend investors to be watchful of the stock and wait for its earnings results before initiating new positions in the company.

Why are we interested in the hedge fund sentiment surrounding a company? We use 13F filings to determine the top 15 small-cap stocks held by a number of elite funds based on 16 years of research that showed their top small-cap picks are much more profitable than both their large-cap stocks and the broader market as a whole. These small-cap stocks beat the S&P 500 Total Return Index by an average of nearly one percentage point per month in our backtests, which were conducted over the period of 1999 to 2012. Moreover, since the beginning of forward testing from August 2012, the strategy worked just as our research predicted, outperforming the market every year and returning 123% over the last three years, which is more than 80 percentage points higher than the returns of the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) (see more details).

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