Loeb returned an average 0.42% per month during the past three years with a monthly standard deviation north of 5%. Our regression results show that Daniel Loeb has a monthly alpha of 61 basis points. But this number isn’t statistically significant because of the high volatility in monthly returns. Loeb’s market beta is 0.63, higher than his historical beta. Since its inception in 1996, Third Point has had a correlation coefficient of 0.41 with the S&P 500 index. Our results show that the correlation with the market increased to 0.58 during the past three years. The coefficient on the size effect is -0.29, meaning that he is deriving his returns from small cap stocks. The coefficient on the value effect is -0.1, meaning that he is not a value investor either. On the other hand, the coefficient on the momentum effect is 0.16 (Third Point has a small momentum tilt).
Third Point returned 25.2% during the first 10 months of 2010 and it's quite possible that Daniel Loeb will make another $100+ Million this year. Dan Loeb takes 2% of assets and 20% of the performance as most hedge fund managers do. Warren Buffett expressed strong opinions against hedge funds. He said they benefit from the rising tide and investors picking hedge funds will be poorer in the end. Dan Loeb definitely benefits from the rising tide with a market beta of 0.63.
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