About a year ago, I attempted to value Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE:BRK.B), and I found it to be at least 20% undervalued at $82 per B-share. Fast forward just over a year, and the B-shares have advanced 30% to almost $107. So, I figured it was time to sharpen up my pencil and reestimate the value.
My conclusion: It is just as undervalued, even at today’s higher prices.
My valuation approach
1. Investments per share
2. Operating earnings per share
I’ve shown my math (and assumptions) below, and you’re free to use this methodology, also known as the two-column approach, to create your own valuation.
1. Investments per share
As of the end of 2012, Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE:BRK.B) held $113,786 per A-share in investments (or about $76 per B-share). That’s an increase of 16% during the year. The portfolio of investments includes debt and stock in quite a few companies, but the “big four” are American Express Company (NYSE:AXP), The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE:KO), International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE:IBM), and Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE:WFC). Most of these investments are liquid with reliable market prices. Thus, I simply value the investment portfolio at $76 per B-share.
2. Operating earnings per share
During 2012, Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE:BRK.B)’s operating businesses generated $8,085 per A-share in pre-tax earnings (or $5.39 per B-Share). This represents 16% growth over the previous year. So what’s $5.39 per B-share worth? The S&P 500 trades at 18 times after-tax earnings, or 12 times pre-tax earnings if you assume a 33% tax rate. Some might argue that since Berkshire’s collection of businesses are higher-quality than the index, they deserve a premium. Some might also argue that the index is over-priced at the moment. I won’t delve into that debate, which is highly subjective by nature. I’ll just be conservative and assume Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE:BRK.B)’s operating businesses are worth at least 10 times pre-tax earnings, or $54 per B-share.
Foolish bottom line
If I sum up $76 per B-share in investments and $54 per B-share for the operating businesses, that gives me a grand total of $130 per B-share. With the stock trading at about $107 per B-share, it’s still about 20% undervalued, even using a very conservative set of assumptions.
The article Buffett’s Berkshire Is Still 20% Undervalued originally appeared on Fool.com and is written by Brendan Mathews.
Brendan Mathews owns shares of Berkshire Hathaway. The Motley Fool recommends American Express Company (NYSE:AXP), Berkshire Hathaway, The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE:KO), and Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE:WFC). The Motley Fool owns shares of Berkshire Hathaway, International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE:IBM), and Wells Fargo.
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