Billionaire Stanley Druckenmiller Sells Off Consumer Stocks, Loads Up On Materials, Energy

Although Stanley Druckenmiller is not optimistic about the stock market, his family office is still actively managing its equity portfolio. The legendary investor has stated his dissatisfaction with the state of the economy and the stock market for quite some time now, pointing the finger at the lax Fed, the weakness in the Chinese economy, and companies racking up debt so they can buy back stock. Overall, Duquesne Capital liquidated 22 positions and initiated 20 new ones during the second quarter of 2016 according to the family office’s 13F filing for the quarter, and its latest moves have signaled its bullishness on commodities.

What was a source of headaches for many asset managers last year, has turned out to be a source of great returns this year, and that could continue, at least so far as Mr. Druckenmiller’s moves suggest. During the second quarter, his fund initiated a number of new positions in energy and mining companies, betting on the continued revitalization of the commodity markets. In this article we’ll take a look at the esteemed investor’s five most prominent moves during the second quarter.

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DUQUESNE CAPITAL

Fizzy Drinks Bad For One’s (Financial) Health?

We’ll start off with the stocks that Mr. Druckenmiller disposed of during the second quarter. First up is PepsiCo, Inc. (NYSE:PEP), as Duquesne Capital sold the 353,300 shares that it previously held for a nice profit, as the stock rose by 7.5% during the second quarter. Donald Yacktman’s Yacktman Asset Management reported a 21% reduction in its own holding of PepsiCo, to 10.6 million shares valued at $1.12 billion.

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Mr. Druckenmiller and his team also decided to rid their portfolio of Pepsi’s rival, The Coca-Cola Co (NYSE:KO), as healthy lifestyle trends pick up steam. At the end of the first quarter, Duquesne Capital held approximately 1.39 million shares of the fizzy soft-drink giant and sold off all of them during the second quarter. Warren Buffett‘s faith in the company is still strong, as Berkshire Hathaway continues to hold 400 million shares as of the end of June.

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Both companies have been hurt by the recent trend towards more healthy products and beverages. Excessive sugar consumption leads to a number of health problems, including obesity and diabetes, while artificial sweeteners are also believed to have a negative impact on health (perhaps even worse than sugar). As a result, there has a significant decrease in the consumption of soda in developed markets, though emerging markets are still showing some growth. What have PepsiCo, Inc. (NYSE:PEP) and The Coca-Cola Co (NYSE:KO) done about it? They’ve started selling soda in smaller containers, for consumers who would still like to enjoy a fizzy drink from time to time. The trick is that Pepsi and Coca-Cola can charge a higher price per ounce of soda when it is sold in smaller containers.

Nevertheless, this is not a long-term solution and both companies have been actively diversifying their product portfolios in response. The Coca-Cola Co (NYSE:KO) has established itself as a top player in sparkling drinks, juice, and ready-to-drink coffee, building up a portfolio of over 500 brands. PepsiCo, Inc. (NYSE:PEP), in the meantime, has also invested heavily in healthier product categories, one of which is craft sodas. According to the company, this segment has grown to account for 9% of total sales, bringing in approximately $5 billion in the most recent quarter. “We think craft is a critical growth space, and we hope this is something we will be talking about for years to come,” said Scott Finlow, PepsiCo vice president of innovation and global insights for global foodservice.

Head to the next page to find out which other stock Duquesne Capital disposed of during the second quarter and two stocks that it is betting big on.

No Time For Tobacco Turnaround

Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE:PM), the giant tobacco company, was also on the sell list of Mr. Druckenmiller’s family office, as the stock traded in a range during most of the second quarter. The company’s financial results for the second quarter have confirmed investors’ fears about its short-term prospects. Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE:PM) posted $6.65 billion in revenue and earnings of $1.15 per diluted share, missing Wall Street’s expectations of $1.20 per share on the back of $6.77 billion in revenue. The company also reported a 4.8% drop in cigarette volume, while shipment volume fell across the globe. Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE:PM)’s bottom-line was severely affected by the strong dollar in recent years and the company was forced to increase prices to prevent revenue from falling even further. However, the company’s management believes that currency headwinds are easing and have increased their 2016 earnings guidance to $4.45-to-$4.55 per share, from previous projections of $4.40-to-$4.50 per share. There were six billionaires in our database with positions in Philip Morris on June 30.

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Energy Headed Up

Duquesne Capital’s largest new addition during the quarter was a new stake in Halliburton Company (NYSE:HAL). According to its 13F filing, the fund has built a position that amounts to approximately 2.18 million shares worth $98.6 million at the end of June. Despite increased optimism, energy companies have continued to reduce their workforces during the second quarter, with Halliburton Company (NYSE:HAL) having slashed 5,000 jobs. Since the beginning of the slump in energy prices, the company has decreased its workforce by 40%. Even so, its financial report for the second quarter was not pretty, though it did top estimates. Halliburton posted $3.83 billion in revenue and an adjusted loss of $0.14 per share, while analysts had projected $3.74 billion in revenue and a loss of $0.19 per share. Halliburton Company (NYSE:HAL) CEO Dave Lesar said he expects a turnaround in the oil business in North America. “There’s a spring in their step I didn’t see earlier in the year,” Mr. Lesar said, referring to Halliburton’s customers. “In short, they are getting back to business.”

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Mining Is On The Rebound

Lastly, Mr. Druckenmiller and his team also added Freeport-McMoRan Inc (NYSE:FCX) to their shopping list, with Duquesne Capital having amassed 3.47 million shares of the company during the quarter. According to its 13F filing, the position was worth some $38.6 million at the end of June. After a massive selloff dating back to the beginning of 2011, Freeport-McMoRan Inc (NYSE:FCX) seems to have found its bottom in February 2016 and is currently up by 84% for the year. The company has been taking aggressive measures to reduce its debt, having raised $5.5 billion through asset sales and equity offerings during the second quarter. Analysts are also optimistic, having estimated a forward P/E multiple of 11 and having raised their earnings estimates for 2016 to $0.55 per share from $0.29 per share. The consensus EPS for 2017 has also registered a boost to $1.11 per share, from previous projections of $0.95 per share. Billionaire Carl Icahn is also optimistic about the prospects of Freeport-McMoRan Inc (NYSE:FCX), as his fund maintained its 104 million-share stake throughout the quarter.

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